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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 63 newly reported confirmed deaths (38 more than yesterday - up 152.0%) for a total of 19,692 deaths, 9,228 newly reported confirmed cases (3,755 less than yesterday - down 28.9%) for a total of 1,002,266 cases, and 70,320 newly reported molecular tests (40,182 less than yesterday - down 36.4%).

Note that the previous days's data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 4,327.7 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 4,900 more than the previous day's values - up 113.2%. There were 36,834.0 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 33,486 more than the previous day's values - up 90.9%.

The seven day average positivity rate is 11.08%, compared to 9.49% yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 446 and 1,122 newly reported probable cases (314 more than yesterday - up 38.9%) for a total of 77,394. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 63 new deaths for a total of 20,138 and 10,350 new cases for a total of 1,079,660. There were 1,707 COVID-19 patients in hospital (71 more than yesterday - up 4.3%), 381 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (3 more than yesterday - up 0.8%) and 250 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (8 more than yesterday - up 3.3%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 5,446.0 (25 less than yesterday - down 0.5%), 8,409% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 23.0% below the highest observed value of 7,060.0 on 12/23/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 11.08% (0 more than yesterday - up 16.7%), 3,494% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 60% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 1,621.0 (25 more than yesterday - up 1.6%), 1,807% above the lowest observed value of 85.0 on 7/9/2021 and 59% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 24.0 (same as yesterday), 2,300% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 87% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,728 non-ICU beds, of which 6,353 (72.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,326 (15.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,049 (12.0%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,247 ICU beds, of which 659 (52.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 381 (30.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 207 (16.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,555 non-ICU beds, of which 6,019 (70.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,258 (15%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,278 (14.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,231 ICU beds, of which 623 (50.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 378 (30.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 230 (18.7%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,322.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 20.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 1,276.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.18%.

One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,035.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 49.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,103.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 6.68%.

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

Unsurprisingly awful news in today's data; deaths way up (although that's three days of death reports), cases way up (compared to the average over the weekend), hospitalizations up as well. Today, the Commonwealth officially reported its millionth confirmed case; the current running total is 1,002,266. Today's 1,707 COVID patients is the highest that number has been reported since the state reported 1,739 on January 30.

And, in really discouraging news, the seven-day average for percent-positive jumped another percentage point and a half, to 11.01%. It hasn't been that high since the catastrophic initial wave of cases at the beginning of the pandemic.

Of course, there's no sign from Governor Charlie Baker that he's at all interested in taking action to reduce the case counts. And, to be fair, this particular surge hasn't yet resulting in the horrible hospitalization and death rates that we saw in the initial outbreak or last winter's surge, which does rather imply that the state's high vaccination rates are working to protect folks from the worst outcomes. But there's no indication at all that this surge in cases is going to peak any time soon, and we're awfully close to running out of hospital beds.

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 164 active and 1,660 cumulative cases as of December 27; that's the highest the active case count has ever been. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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