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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 61 newly reported confirmed deaths (35 more than yesterday - up 134.6%) for a total of 19,304 deaths, 4,039 newly reported confirmed cases (7,039 less than yesterday - down 63.5%) for a total of 916,547 cases, and 63,250 newly reported molecular tests (179,608 less than yesterday - down 74.0%).

Note that the previous days's data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 8.7 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 52 more than the previous day's values - up 603.8%. There were 3,692.7 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 346 more than the previous day's values - up 9.4%. There were 80,952.7 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 17,703 less than the previous day's values - down 21.9%.

The seven day average positivity rate is 5.18%, compared to 4.79% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (2 less than yesterday - down 66.7%) for a total of 421 and 646 newly reported probable cases (52 more than yesterday - up 8.8%) for a total of 69,399. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 62 new deaths for a total of 19,725 and 4,685 new cases for a total of 985,946. There were 1,410 COVID-19 patients in hospital (55 more than yesterday - up 4.1%), 304 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (17 more than yesterday - up 5.9%) and 165 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (6 more than yesterday - up 3.8%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 3,322.0 (284 less than yesterday - down 7.9%), 5,090% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 47.0% below the highest observed value of 6,229.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 5.18% (0 more than yesterday - up 8.0%), 1,579% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 81% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 1,276.0 (37 more than yesterday - up 3.0%), 1,401% above the lowest observed value of 85.0 on 7/9/2021 and 68% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 17.0 (3 more than yesterday - up 21.5%), 1,900% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 89% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,866 non-ICU beds, of which 6,926 (78.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,106 (12.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 834 (9.4%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,264 ICU beds, of which 762 (60.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 304 (24.1%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 198 (15.7%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,770 non-ICU beds, of which 6,934 (79.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,068 (12%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 768 (8.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,262 ICU beds, of which 775 (61.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 287 (22.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 200 (15.8%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,736.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 10.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 799.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 4.46%.

One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,584.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 43.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 1,644.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.71%.

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

The day-over-day comparisons are almost all extremely bad. Deaths are way up, more than double yesterday's total; today's 61 reported deaths are the highest number reported since the 66 deaths reported on March 3. Cases are up as well compared to the three-day average of yesterday's totals. Hospitalizations are up yet again; tooday's count of 1,410 is the highest that number has been since 1,451 were reported on February 6. The seven-day average for newly reported cases is down a bit, but the other three averages are up; deaths are up a lot, and percent-positive is back above five percent. Oh, and the state has less than two hundred non-ICU hospital beds available (out of 8,866 total). Yay?

The Massachusetts Medical Society today called for a statewide mask mandate for indoor public spaces:
The Massachusetts Medical Society is pushing for a statewide mask mandate for indoor public spaces, with COVID-19 cases rising and straining hospitals, as several cities and towns have already reinstituted mandates in their communities.

"As the number of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations continue an alarming upward trend that is straining our health care system, the physicians of the Massachusetts Medical Society recommend that masks be required at all public indoor settings in the Commonwealth, regardless of vaccination status," said Dr. Carole Allen, president of the society, in a statement released Tuesday.

Wearing masks indoors "is an effective and appropriate way to slow transmission" of the virus, she said. "We must all work together to take steps to confront and stem what could be a continued rise in cases, hospitalizations, serious illness, and death."

Her comments come as some municipalities have already reinstituted some form of indoor mask mandate, including Boston, which brought back its mandate in response to the Delta variant in September under then-acting mayor Kim Janey.

Other communities with current mask mandates for at least municipal facilities include Georgetown, Lowell, Salem, Worcester, Fall River, and Pittsfield.

[ ... ]

Governor Charlie Baker told reporters during a Monday briefing that Massachusetts has no plans to re-implement a statewide mask mandate.

"Public transportation has a mask mandate," Baker said. "Long-term care has a mask mandate. Public schools have a mask mandate. Health care organizations have mask mandates. ... Keep in mind that we're in a very different place than we were in before. Five million people are fully vaccinated. A million and a half of those are boosted."

Hopefully they'll succeed in getting the governor's attention, although I'm frankly skeptical.

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 43 active and 1,446 cumulative cases as of December 13. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 1PM on November 22, 2021 reported 1304 cumulative cases with 54 individuals in isolation, 1218 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.

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Edmund Schweppe

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