Apr. 24th, 2021

edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Wall-o-text )

The day-by-day numbers today are for the most part trending in a good direction; deaths down, cases down, tests up, hospitalizations down. The estimated active cases count is down below 30,000 for the first time since March 27. The seven-day average case count ticked up slightly, but the seven-day average percent-positive rate dropped below two percent and the seven-day hospitalization rate also dropped. All the seven-day averages are comfortably below where they were two weeks ago, so that's good to see.

Of course, even these improving numbers still stink compared to the levels needed for a green "low risk" rating from the good folks at https://www.covidactnow.org/; their risk level metrics won't give you a green rating unless the daily incidence rate is below one average daily case per 100k population, the estimated infection rate is below 0.9 people each COVID-19 infected person spreads the virus to (on average), and a positive test rate below three percent. Massachusetts currently meets two of those three metrics (estimated infection rate and percent-positive); however, our daily incidence rate is 22.2, over twenty times that needed to consider things "on track for containment". We've got a long way to go.

And we may never get to the ideal of "no more COVID-19": As hopes rise for pandemic's close, some are preparing for never-ending COVID
Read more... )
Oh, joy. On the other hand, getting COVID-19 down to the same level of dangerousness as influenza would be a huge win. Perhaps mRNA technology can be used to make better flu shots, too?

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 19 active and 946 cumulative cases as of April 23. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 4:45PM on April 13, 2021 reported 914 cumulative cases with 30 individuals in isolation, 852 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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