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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 6 newly reported confirmed deaths (29 less than yesterday - down 82.9%) for a total of 19,657 deaths, 1,700 newly reported confirmed cases (64 more than yesterday - up 3.9%) for a total of 1,755,678 cases, and 35,022 newly reported molecular tests (2,468 more than yesterday - up 7.6%).The seven day average positivity rate is 5.53%, compared to 5.52% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 5.80%; that rate was not reported yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (3 less than yesterday - down 75.0%) for a total of 1,224 and 134 newly reported probable cases (126 less than yesterday - down 48.5%) for a total of 158,160. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 7 new deaths for a total of 20,881 and 1,834 new cases for a total of 1,913,838. There were 459 COVID-19 patients in hospital (1 more than yesterday - up 0.2%), 33 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (5 more than yesterday - up 17.9%) and 17 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (3 more than yesterday - up 21.4%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,004.0 (20 more than yesterday - up 2.0%), 1,468% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 96.0% below the highest observed value of 23,201.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 5.53% (0 more than yesterday - up 0.2%), 1,698% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 80% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 465.0 (3 less than yesterday - down 0.6%), 453% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 88% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (same as yesterday), 800% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 176.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,797 non-ICU beds, of which 7,804 (88.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 426 (4.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 567 (6.4%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,215 ICU beds, of which 965 (79.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 33 (2.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 217 (17.9%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,734 non-ICU beds, of which 7,717 (88.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 430 (5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 587 (6.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,209 ICU beds, of which 960 (79.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 28 (2.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 221 (18.3%) remained available.

One week ago (June 16), the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,110.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 8.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 521.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.54% (or 5.85% excluding higher education).

Two weeks ago (June 9), the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,410.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 596.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 6.38% (or 6.81% excluding higher education).

One year ago (June 23, 2021), the 7 day confirmed case average was 52.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 3.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 106.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 0.32% (or 0.42% excluding higher education).

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 3,458 total cases, with a two-week case count of 72 cases, a daily incidence rate of 21.7 which is lower than last week, with a corresponding risk color code of red (if the state was still reporting color codes). Acton is also listed as having 103,556 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 1,172 and a two-week positive test count of 81, for a percent-positive rate of 6.91 which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 1,753,978 total cases, with a two-week case count of 20,171 cases, a daily incidence rate of 20.7 which is lower than last week. Massachusetts is also listed as having 45,809,341 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 399,438 and a two-week positive test count of 22,627, for a percent-positive rate of 5.66 which is lower than last week.

As of July 1, 2021, the state is no longer reporting risk color codes. However, if it was, of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 102 would be coded gray (compared to 96 last week), 29 would be coded green (compared to 17 last week), and 82 would be coded yellow (compared to 59 last week).The remaining 138 towns would be coded red (compared to 179 last week): Abington, Acton, Acushnet, Adams, Amherst, Andover, Ashland, Barnstable, Bedford, Belchertown, Bellingham, Belmont, Beverly, Billerica, Boston, Bourne, Braintree, Bridgewater, Brookline, Burlington, Cambridge, Canton, Carlisle, Charlton, Chelmsford, Chicopee, Clinton, Concord, Dartmouth, Dedham, Dennis, Dracut, Duxbury, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Falmouth, Foxborough, Framingham, Franklin, Gloucester, Grafton, Great Barrington, Hanover, Hanson, Harwich, Haverhill, Hingham, Holbrook, Holden, Holliston, Holyoke, Hopkinton, Hudson, Lakeville, Lawrence, Lexington, Littleton, Longmeadow, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Mansfield, Marblehead, Marshfield, Mashpee, Medfield, Medford, Medway, Melrose, Methuen, Middleborough, Middleton, Milford, Millbury, Nantucket, Natick, New Bedford, Newton, Norfolk, North Andover, North Attleborough, North Reading, Northborough, Northbridge, Norwell, Norwood, Peabody, Pembroke, Pittsfield, Plymouth, Quincy, Raynham, Reading, Rehoboth, Revere, Salem, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Sharon, Shrewsbury, Somerville, South Hadley, Southborough, Southbridge, Springfield, Stoneham, Sturbridge, Sudbury, Swampscott, Taunton, Tewksbury, Tyngsborough, Wakefield, Walpole, Waltham, Watertown, Wayland, Wellesley, West Springfield, Westborough, Westford, Weston, Westport, Westwood, Weymouth, Whitman, Wilbraham, Wilmington, Winchendon, Winthrop, Woburn, and Yarmouth.

1 cities/towns would be newly coded red this week (Amherst) and 42 cities/towns would no longer be coded red this week (Agawam, Arlington, Attleboro, Auburn, Ayer, Berkley, Boxborough, Brewster, Carver, Chatham, Dalton, Dudley, East Longmeadow, Easthampton, Easton, Fitchburg, Greenfield, Ipswich, Lee, Lenox, Leominster, Marlborough, Maynard, Millis, Milton, Needham, Newburyport, Orange, Palmer, Pepperell, Randolph, Rockport, Southampton, Spencer, Stoughton, Stow, Swansea, Wareham, Westfield, Winchester, Worcester, and Wrentham).

Of the 10 towns nearby (including my own town), none are coded gray, one is coded green (Stow), 2 are coded yellow (Boxborough, and Maynard), and 7 are coded red (Acton, Carlisle, Chelmsford, Concord, Littleton, Sudbury, and Westford).

Of the 10 towns near my church, one is coded gray (Berlin), 3 are coded green (Bolton, Harvard, and Stow), 3 are coded yellow (Boxborough, Marlborough, and Maynard), and 3 are coded red (Acton, Hudson, and Sudbury).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

As of June 22, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3221 counties nationwide, 2656 counties (82.46% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 328 counties (10.18% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 149 counties (4.63% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 88 counties (2.73% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 12 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk), and 2 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Nantucket, Worcester).

Barnstable County has 118.780 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Berkshire County has 172.880 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Bristol County has 100.850 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Dukes County has 236.560 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Essex County has 126.990 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Franklin County has 116.840 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampden County has 149.670 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampshire County has 135.550 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Middlesex County has 147.790 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Nantucket County has 96.500 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Norfolk County has 111.490 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Plymouth County has 104.950 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Suffolk County has 151.880 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Worcester County has 96.790 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
The underlying query for this data is available here.

As of June 23, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3221 counties nationwide: 392 counties (12.17%, representing 22.54% of the population) with High community level, 997 counties (30.95%, representing 35.80% of the population) with Medium community level, and 1832 counties (56.88%, representing 41.66% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported the following COVID Community Levels for the 14 counties in Massachusetts (population 6892503): 1 counties (representing 0.25% of the state's population) with Medium community level (Dukes), and 13 counties (representing 99.75% of the state's population) with Low community level (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester).

Barnstable County (population 212990) has 132.87 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 174.48 cases per 100k, 6.0 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 101.38 cases per 100k, 6.3 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 248.1 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Essex County (population 789034) has 127.12 cases per 100k, 5.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 98.32 cases per 100k, 6.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 145.81 cases per 100k, 6.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 126.22 cases per 100k, 6.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 152.82 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 96.5 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 114.75 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 112.24 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 147.28 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 96.31 cases per 100k, 6.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
The underlying query for this data is available here.

Day-over-day deaths are down by a bunch compared to yesterday; this makes me suspect that, despite what the state says on their dashboard, they lumped four days of deaths data into the Wednesday report this week (the second day of the week with a report) rather than the Tuesday report (which, courtesy of Juneteenth, was the first day of the week with a report this week). Cases are up slightly, as were hospitalizations. The seven-day averages for cases and percent-positive were both up as well compared to yesterday; compared to last week and the week before, they're both down; compared to last year, they're way up.

The state's city/town data is also out; overall, the state is doing better than last Thursday, but still has 138 towns (mine included) in the highest-risk category. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have updated their COVID Community Level maps; none of Massachusetts' counties are now at High level, and only one (Dukes, aka Martha's Vineyard) is even at Medium level; the other thirteen are at Low, courtesy of both case rates dropping below 200 cases per 100k population per week and new hospitalizations dropping below 10 per 100k per week. Most of the state still has high community transmission, though, so as far as I'm concerned, there's no reason to stop masking indoors. (I regret to note that, based on today's shopping runs, I remain distinctly in the minority. On the other hand, I also have successfully managed not to get COVID yet.)

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 21 active and 3,586 cumulative cases as of June 22. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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