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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 10 newly reported confirmed deaths (2 more than yesterday - up 25.0%) for a total of 19,129 deaths, 3,341 newly reported confirmed cases (534 more than yesterday - up 19.0%) for a total of 1,614,807 cases, and 69,463 newly reported molecular tests (7,750 more than yesterday - up 12.6%).The seven day average positivity rate is 5.04%, compared to 4.87% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 6.88%; that rate was not reported yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (1 less than yesterday) for a total of 1,128 and 403 newly reported probable cases (30 more than yesterday - up 8.0%) for a total of 138,713. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 10 new deaths for a total of 20,257 and 3,744 new cases for a total of 1,753,520. There were 431 COVID-19 patients in hospital (18 more than yesterday - up 4.4%), 31 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (1 less than yesterday - down 3.1%) and 10 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (same as yesterday).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,853.0 (126 more than yesterday - up 7.3%), 2,795% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 93.0% below the highest observed value of 23,207.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 5.04% (0 more than yesterday - up 3.6%), 1,537% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 82% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 404.0 (7 more than yesterday - up 1.8%), 380% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 90% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 4.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 33.3%), 300% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 98% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,919 non-ICU beds, of which 7,869 (88.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 400 (4.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 650 (7.3%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,238 ICU beds, of which 948 (76.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 31 (2.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 259 (20.9%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,911 non-ICU beds, of which 7,834 (87.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 381 (4%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 696 (7.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,250 ICU beds, of which 936 (74.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 32 (2.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 282 (22.6%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,394.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 4.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 261.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 3.66% (or 5.01% excluding higher education).

One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 916.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 8.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 637.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.71% (or 2.92% excluding higher education).

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 2,969 total cases, with a two-week case count of 94 cases, a daily incidence rate of 28.3 which is higher than last week, with a corresponding risk color code of red (if the state was still reporting color codes). Acton is also listed as having 97,413 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 1,623 and a two-week positive test count of 96, for a percent-positive rate of 5.91 which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 1,611,466 total cases, with a two-week case count of 27,670 cases, a daily incidence rate of 28.4 which is higher than last week. Massachusetts is also listed as having 43,677,169 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 680,541 and a two-week positive test count of 29,845, for a percent-positive rate of 4.39 which is higher than last week.

As of July 1, 2021, the state is no longer reporting risk color codes. However, if it was, of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 94 would be coded gray (compared to 96 last week), 16 would be coded green (compared to 32 last week), and 104 would be coded yellow (compared to 146 last week).The remaining 137 towns would be coded red (compared to 77 last week): Abington, Acton, Acushnet, Adams, Agawam, Amesbury, Andover, Ashland, Barnstable, Bedford, Bellingham, Beverly, Billerica, Blackstone, Boston, Bourne, Braintree, Bridgewater, Brookline, Burlington, Cambridge, Canton, Carlisle, Charlton, Chatham, Chelmsford, Chicopee, Clinton, Concord, Dalton, Deerfield, Dennis, Dover, Dracut, Duxbury, East Longmeadow, Falmouth, Framingham, Georgetown, Gloucester, Great Barrington, Hadley, Hamilton, Hanover, Hanson, Harwich, Haverhill, Hingham, Holbrook, Holden, Hopkinton, Hudson, Ipswich, Lakeville, Lee, Lexington, Littleton, Ludlow, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Mansfield, Marblehead, Marion, Marshfield, Mashpee, Maynard, Medfield, Medford, Medway, Melrose, Methuen, Middleton, Millbury, Millis, Monson, Montague, Nantucket, Natick, Needham, Newton, Norfolk, North Adams, North Attleborough, North Reading, Northborough, Norwood, Oxford, Palmer, Peabody, Pittsfield, Plymouth, Quincy, Reading, Rehoboth, Revere, Rockport, Rowley, Rutland, Salem, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Sharon, Shrewsbury, Somerville, Southampton, Southborough, Southbridge, Southwick, Springfield, Stoneham, Sturbridge, Sudbury, Swampscott, Swansea, Uxbridge, Wakefield, Walpole, Ware, Wayland, Wellesley, Wenham, West Boylston, West Springfield, Westfield, Westford, Weston, Westwood, Weymouth, Wilbraham, Williamstown, Winchester, Winthrop, Wrentham, and Yarmouth.

66 cities/towns would be newly coded red this week (Abington, Acton, Acushnet, Amesbury, Ashland, Billerica, Blackstone, Boston, Bourne, Braintree, Brookline, Cambridge, Canton, Charlton, Chicopee, Clinton, Concord, Deerfield, Dennis, Dover, Dracut, Duxbury, Hanson, Harwich, Haverhill, Holbrook, Lee, Lexington, Lynn, Malden, Mansfield, Marion, Marshfield, Maynard, Methuen, Middleton, Millbury, Millis, Monson, Natick, North Adams, Norwood, Oxford, Palmer, Peabody, Pittsfield, Plymouth, Quincy, Rehoboth, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Sharon, Southbridge, Springfield, Sturbridge, Swansea, Uxbridge, Ware, Wayland, Wenham, West Boylston, West Springfield, Westfield, Westwood, and Winchester) and 6 cities/towns would no longer be coded red this week (Boxford, Cohasset, Foxborough, Norwell, Pembroke, and Plainville).

Of the 10 towns nearby (including my own town), one is coded gray (Boxborough), none are coded green, one is coded yellow (Stow), and 8 are coded red (Acton, Carlisle, Chelmsford, Concord, Littleton, Maynard, Sudbury, and Westford).

Of the 10 towns near my church, 2 are coded gray (Berlin, and Boxborough), one is coded green (Harvard), 3 are coded yellow (Bolton, Marlborough, and Stow), and 4 are coded red (Acton, Hudson, Maynard, and Sudbury).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

As of April 27, 2022, the CDC reported that, of 3220 counties nationwide, 836 counties (25.96% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 579 counties (17.98% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 1219 counties (37.86% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 586 counties (18.20% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts have a Community Tranmission Level of High.

As of April 28, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3224 counties nationwide: 56 counties (1.74%) with High community level, 258 counties (8.00%) with Medium community level, and 2910 counties (90.26%) with Low community level. The CDC also reported the following COVID Community Levels for the 14 counties in Massachusetts: 7 counties with Medium community level (Barnstable, Berkshire, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk), and 7 counties with Low community level (Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Nantucket, Plymouth, Worcester).

No good news today, alas. Deaths up, cases up, hospitalizations up. Today's 3,341 newly reported confirmed cases are the highest single-day report since 4,195 cases were reported on February 4. Today's 431 hospitalizations are the highest that number has been reported since February 28. In case that's not gloomy enough, all four seven-day averages are up, with the average for hospitalizations over four hundred for the first time since March 4 and percent-positive over five percent (at 5.04%) for the first time since February 4. The state's city/town data also is depressing, with 137 commmunities in the highest-risk category (up from 77 last week), including the city of Boston, my own town of Acton, and most of the towns surrounding mine. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention updated their "COVID Community Level" numbers as well today; half the counties in Massachusetts now are at Medium level, including my county of Middlesex. The CDC is reporting that our "Health Service Area" is running right at an average of eight daily new COVID admissions per 100k population; if that climbs over ten, we jump to High level, where the CDC actually recommends indoor mask wearing again.

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 31 active and 3,049 cumulative cases as of April 27. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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