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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 22 newly reported confirmed deaths (5 less than yesterday - down 18.5%) for a total of 18,342 deaths, 1,532 newly reported confirmed cases (40 more than yesterday - up 2.7%) for a total of 766,883 cases, and 102,065 newly reported molecular tests (697 more than yesterday - up 0.7%).The seven day average positivity rate is 1.84%, compared to 1.83% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 3.25%; that rate was not reported yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 387 and 190 newly reported probable cases (33 more than yesterday - up 21.0%) for a total of 54,778. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 22 new deaths for a total of 18,729 and 1,722 new cases for a total of 821,661. There were 571 COVID-19 patients in hospital (18 less than yesterday - down 3.1%), 150 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (6 less than yesterday - down 3.8%) and 92 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (4 more than yesterday - up 4.5%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 975.0 (5 more than yesterday - up 0.5%), 1,423% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 85.0% below the highest observed value of 6,231.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 1.84% (0 more than yesterday - up 0.2%), 496% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 93% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 594.0 (8 less than yesterday - down 1.3%), 598% above the lowest observed value of 85.0 on 7/9/2021 and 85% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 13.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 8.3%), 1,200% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 93% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,894 non-ICU beds, of which 7,721 (86.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 421 (4.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 752 (8.5%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,282 ICU beds, of which 894 (69.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 150 (11.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 238 (18.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,913 non-ICU beds, of which 7,687 (86.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 433 (5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 793 (8.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,276 ICU beds, of which 889 (69.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 156 (12.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 231 (18.1%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,205.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 12.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 653.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.11% (or 3.68% excluding higher education).

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 1,117 total cases, with a two-week case count of 43 cases, a daily incidence rate of 12.9 which is higher than last week, with a corresponding risk color code of yellow (if the state was still reporting color codes). Acton is also listed as having 63,480 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 2,541 and a two-week positive test count of 47, for a percent-positive rate of 1.85 which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 765,351 total cases, with a two-week case count of 19,840 cases, a daily incidence rate of 20.3 which is lower than last week. Massachusetts is also listed as having 29,137,847 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 1,191,875 and a two-week positive test count of 22,835, for a percent-positive rate of 1.92 which is lower than last week.

As of July 1, 2021, the state is no longer reporting risk color codes. However, if it was, of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 110 would be coded gray (compared to 96 last week), 33 would be coded green (compared to 38 last week), and 160 would be coded yellow (compared to 173 last week).The remaining 48 towns would be coded red (compared to 44 last week): Acushnet, Ashburnham, Athol, Ayer, Barre, Berkley, Blackstone, Carver, Chicopee, Dalton, Dighton, East Bridgewater, Fall River, Fitchburg, Freetown, Gardner, Haverhill, Holyoke, Hull, Lawrence, Littleton, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Mattapoisett, Methuen, Middleborough, Middleton, Monson, New Bedford, North Brookfield, Orange, Raynham, Rutland, Southbridge, Springfield, Sterling, Sutton, Swansea, Taunton, Templeton, Townsend, Tyngsborough, Wareham, West Boylston, West Bridgewater, Westminster, Westport, and Winchendon.

13 cities/towns would be newly coded red this week (Ashburnham, Ayer, Barre, East Bridgewater, Gardner, Holyoke, Hull, Littleton, Mattapoisett, North Brookfield, Raynham, Townsend, and West Bridgewater) and 9 cities/towns would no longer be coded red this week (Brookfield, Charlton, Dartmouth, Millis, Seekonk, Shirley, Southborough, Sturbridge, and Ware).

Of the 10 towns nearby (including my own town), 3 are coded gray (Boxborough, Carlisle, and Stow), 2 are coded green (Maynard, and Sudbury), 4 are coded yellow (Acton, Chelmsford, Concord, and Westford), and one is coded red (Littleton).

Of the 10 towns near my church, 5 are coded gray (Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, and Stow), 2 are coded green (Maynard, and Sudbury), 3 are coded yellow (Acton, Hudson, and Marlborough), and none are coded red.

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

Day-to-day changes are somewhat mixed. Deaths are down (although, at 22, are still IMNSHO way too high); cases are up slightly; hospitalizations are down slightly. The seven-day average for hospitalizations is down as well, which is slightly encouraging; the averages for deaths, cases and percent-positive are, alas, all up. In further not-too-encouraging news, the weekly city/town numbers are out, and the count of towns that would qualify for the old "red" high-risk level is up to 48 this week - including Littleton, literally next door to my town of Acton. Acton, itself, has been seeing a bit of a surge, and this week qualifies for the old "yellow" risk color code.

I noticed this afternoon that Westford (another town neighboring mine) has joined Littleton and Carlisle in mandating mask wearing in indoor public spaces. Of course, the entire state (except, currently, Martha's Vineyard and Nantucket) is at "sustained" or "high" levels of community transmission according to the CDC, and thus everyone should be masked up in indoor public spaces. On the other hand, other towns like Acton and Concord are choosing not to mandate anything at all. Oh, if only Governor Charlie Baker gave a rat's ass about public health anymore ...

(Radio station WBUR is maintaining a list of towns with mask mandates.)

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 29 active and 1,157 cumulative cases as of October 6. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 11:45AM on May 28, 2021 reported 978 cumulative cases with 3 individuals in isolation, 943 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

January 2026

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