Local COVID-19 updates
May. 18th, 2021 05:53 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeThe state's fancy Tableau data visualization doodad appears to be broken; however, the raw data file does seem to be available, so I can actually provide more readable data than the state currently can!
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 6 newly reported confirmed deaths (13 less than yesterday - down 68.4%) for a total of 17,419 deaths, 359 newly reported confirmed cases (78 more than yesterday - up 27.8%) for a total of 657,478 cases, and 37,627 newly reported molecular tests (17,374 more than yesterday - up 85.8%). The seven day average positivity rate is 1.06%, compared to 1.02% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 1.71%, compared to 1.66% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 12,701 (1,126 less than yesterday - down 8.1%). The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (1 more than yesterday) for a total of 360 and 79 newly reported probable cases (61 more than yesterday - up 338.9%) for a total of 45,298. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 7 new deaths for a total of 17,779 and 438 new cases for a total of 702,776. There were 326 COVID-19 patients in hospital (10 less than yesterday - down 3.0%), 93 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (3 less than yesterday - down 3.1%) and 54 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (2 less than yesterday - down 3.6%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 370.0 (49 less than yesterday - down 11.7%), 135% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 95.0% below the highest observed value of 6,238.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 1.06% (0 more than yesterday - up 4.4%), 38% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 96% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 373.0 (12 less than yesterday - down 3.1%), 140% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 91% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 8.0 (same as yesterday), 0% above the lowest observed value of 8.0 on 5/16/2021 and 96% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,083 non-ICU beds, of which 7,040 (77.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 233 (2.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,810 (19.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,359 ICU beds, of which 825 (60.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 93 (6.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 441 (32.5%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,040 non-ICU beds, of which 6,917 (76.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 240 (3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,883 (20.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,361 ICU beds, of which 816 (60.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 96 (7.1%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 449 (33.0%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 730.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 559.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.60% (or 2.74% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
And the data ... is mixed. Newly reported deaths are down day-to-day, but newly reported cases are up. Estimated active cases continue their downward trend, as do the hospitalization counts; however, the seven-day positivity average is actually up compared to yesterday. Things are definitely better than two weeks ago, but the case and hospitalization averages are still way, way above their lows from last year.
It was, in fact, exactly one year ago today that Governor Baker announced the first version of the state's reopening plan. Things are nowhere near as bleak as they were then. But are they so much better that it's okay to throw out the social-distancing and mask-wearing mandates? Over the last seven days, the state reported an average of 621.3 new cases (both confirmed and probable) every day. The state's latest vaccination report claims over 3.2 million people have received full vaccination. The Census Bureau recently announced that the Massachusetts population last year was just over seven million. Some very rough math implies that there are around 4.8 million people in the state who aren't protected by vaccinations; if six hundred of them are getting infected every day, that's a daily incidence of over twelve new cases per 100k vulnerable population. That isn't my idea of a "new normal" - or, at least, not the sort of "new normal" I'd want.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 8 active and 977 cumulative cases as of May 16. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 12PM on May 17, 2021 reported 975 cumulative cases with 6 individuals in isolation, 937 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 6 newly reported confirmed deaths (13 less than yesterday - down 68.4%) for a total of 17,419 deaths, 359 newly reported confirmed cases (78 more than yesterday - up 27.8%) for a total of 657,478 cases, and 37,627 newly reported molecular tests (17,374 more than yesterday - up 85.8%). The seven day average positivity rate is 1.06%, compared to 1.02% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 1.71%, compared to 1.66% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 12,701 (1,126 less than yesterday - down 8.1%). The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (1 more than yesterday) for a total of 360 and 79 newly reported probable cases (61 more than yesterday - up 338.9%) for a total of 45,298. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 7 new deaths for a total of 17,779 and 438 new cases for a total of 702,776. There were 326 COVID-19 patients in hospital (10 less than yesterday - down 3.0%), 93 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (3 less than yesterday - down 3.1%) and 54 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (2 less than yesterday - down 3.6%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 370.0 (49 less than yesterday - down 11.7%), 135% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 95.0% below the highest observed value of 6,238.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 1.06% (0 more than yesterday - up 4.4%), 38% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 96% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 373.0 (12 less than yesterday - down 3.1%), 140% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 91% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 8.0 (same as yesterday), 0% above the lowest observed value of 8.0 on 5/16/2021 and 96% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,083 non-ICU beds, of which 7,040 (77.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 233 (2.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,810 (19.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,359 ICU beds, of which 825 (60.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 93 (6.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 441 (32.5%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,040 non-ICU beds, of which 6,917 (76.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 240 (3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,883 (20.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,361 ICU beds, of which 816 (60.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 96 (7.1%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 449 (33.0%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 730.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 559.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.60% (or 2.74% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
And the data ... is mixed. Newly reported deaths are down day-to-day, but newly reported cases are up. Estimated active cases continue their downward trend, as do the hospitalization counts; however, the seven-day positivity average is actually up compared to yesterday. Things are definitely better than two weeks ago, but the case and hospitalization averages are still way, way above their lows from last year.
It was, in fact, exactly one year ago today that Governor Baker announced the first version of the state's reopening plan. Things are nowhere near as bleak as they were then. But are they so much better that it's okay to throw out the social-distancing and mask-wearing mandates? Over the last seven days, the state reported an average of 621.3 new cases (both confirmed and probable) every day. The state's latest vaccination report claims over 3.2 million people have received full vaccination. The Census Bureau recently announced that the Massachusetts population last year was just over seven million. Some very rough math implies that there are around 4.8 million people in the state who aren't protected by vaccinations; if six hundred of them are getting infected every day, that's a daily incidence of over twelve new cases per 100k vulnerable population. That isn't my idea of a "new normal" - or, at least, not the sort of "new normal" I'd want.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 8 active and 977 cumulative cases as of May 16. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 12PM on May 17, 2021 reported 975 cumulative cases with 6 individuals in isolation, 937 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.