Local COVID-19 updates
Apr. 26th, 2021 05:21 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeAs of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 12 newly reported confirmed deaths (6 more than yesterday - up 100.0%) for a total of 17,211 deaths, 812 newly reported confirmed cases (273 less than yesterday - down 25.2%) for a total of 641,211 cases, and 42,169 newly reported molecular tests (32,355 less than yesterday - down 43.4%). The seven day average positivity rate is 1.72%, compared to 1.74% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 3.00%, compared to 3.13% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 29,601 (38 more than yesterday - up 0.1%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 351 and 69 newly reported probable cases (60 less than yesterday - down 46.5%) for a total of 42,454. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 12 new deaths for a total of 17,562 and 881 new cases for a total of 683,665. There were 625 COVID-19 patients in hospital (16 less than yesterday - down 2.5%), 154 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (2 more than yesterday - up 1.3%) and 97 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (1 more than yesterday - up 1.0%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,021.0 (5 more than yesterday - up 0.5%), 550% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 84.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 1.72% (0 less than yesterday - down 1.4%), 123% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 94% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 661.0 (9 less than yesterday - down 1.3%), 326% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 83% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (same as yesterday), 0% above the lowest observed value of 9.0 on 4/24/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,043 non-ICU beds, of which 6,869 (76.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 471 (5.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,703 (18.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,368 ICU beds, of which 806 (58.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 154 (11.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 408 (29.8%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,142 non-ICU beds, of which 7,083 (77.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 489 (5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,570 (17.2%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,391 ICU beds, of which 861 (61.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 152 (10.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 378 (27.2%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,613.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 714.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.30% (or 3.97% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Day-to-day deaths are up (not good), tests are down (also not good), but cases are also down (good, with the caveat that we're coming off the weekend). Estimated active cases are up (not good), but hospitalizations are down, and the seven-day average percent-positive is down, as is the seven-day hospitalization average. The seven-day case average is up very slightly, and the seven-day deaths average remains at the lowest observed value. The seven-day averages are all lower than or equal to their corresponding values from two weeks ago, which is definitely good news.
One piece of news that isn't obviously COVID-related, but will probably have at least some impact on statistics going forward: the US Census Bureau announced today that Massachusetts' population went up over the past decade, and now sits at 7,029,917:
Given that daily incidence statistics are based on cases per 100k population, and the population is higher than expected, there will (eventually) be a slight downtick in reported daily incidence numbers. At the moment, the folks at Covid Act Now are still using their old population estimate, and the state's daily incidence is 21.0 daily new cases per 100k population. Still too high, but trending in the right direction.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 17 active and 947 cumulative cases as of April 26. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 4:45PM on April 13, 2021 reported 914 cumulative cases with 30 individuals in isolation, 852 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,021.0 (5 more than yesterday - up 0.5%), 550% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 84.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 1.72% (0 less than yesterday - down 1.4%), 123% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 94% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 661.0 (9 less than yesterday - down 1.3%), 326% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 83% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (same as yesterday), 0% above the lowest observed value of 9.0 on 4/24/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,043 non-ICU beds, of which 6,869 (76.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 471 (5.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,703 (18.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,368 ICU beds, of which 806 (58.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 154 (11.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 408 (29.8%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,142 non-ICU beds, of which 7,083 (77.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 489 (5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,570 (17.2%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,391 ICU beds, of which 861 (61.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 152 (10.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 378 (27.2%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,613.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 714.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.30% (or 3.97% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Day-to-day deaths are up (not good), tests are down (also not good), but cases are also down (good, with the caveat that we're coming off the weekend). Estimated active cases are up (not good), but hospitalizations are down, and the seven-day average percent-positive is down, as is the seven-day hospitalization average. The seven-day case average is up very slightly, and the seven-day deaths average remains at the lowest observed value. The seven-day averages are all lower than or equal to their corresponding values from two weeks ago, which is definitely good news.
One piece of news that isn't obviously COVID-related, but will probably have at least some impact on statistics going forward: the US Census Bureau announced today that Massachusetts' population went up over the past decade, and now sits at 7,029,917:
Massachusetts' population grew to slightly more than 7 million people last year, a 7.4 percent jump from 2010 and a large enough increase to ensure the state keeps its nine seats in the US House of Representatives for the next decade, federal US Census officials announced Monday.
No New England state lost, or gained, seats in their congressional delegation with the U.S. Census Bureau’s long-awaited release of population figures Monday, showing growth nationwide slowed to its second lowest rate in the country’s history.
Even still, the 7,029,917 people counted as Massachusetts residents exceeded estimates for the state by more than 100,000 people, and the state's rate of growth far exceeded the 3.1 percent it grew in the decade before 2010, when Massachusetts lost a congressional seat following that census count.
Given that daily incidence statistics are based on cases per 100k population, and the population is higher than expected, there will (eventually) be a slight downtick in reported daily incidence numbers. At the moment, the folks at Covid Act Now are still using their old population estimate, and the state's daily incidence is 21.0 daily new cases per 100k population. Still too high, but trending in the right direction.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 17 active and 947 cumulative cases as of April 26. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 4:45PM on April 13, 2021 reported 914 cumulative cases with 30 individuals in isolation, 852 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.