Local COVID-19 updates
Sep. 9th, 2020 06:23 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeAs of 4PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 4 newly reported confirmed deaths (4 less than yesterday - down 50.0%) for a total of 8,937 deaths, 182 newly reported confirmed cases (14 more than yesterday - up 8.3%) for a total of 121,396 cases, and 11,350 new patients tested by molecular tests (1,911 more than yesterday - up 20.2%) for a total of 1,888,323 individuals tested, with a total of 2,798,585 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 1.6%, compared to 1.8% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (1 more than yesterday) for a total of 209 deaths, and zero newly reported probable cases (3 less than yesterday) for a total of 1,747 cases. The state also reported 262 patients tested by antibody tests (218 more than yesterday - up 495.5%) for a total of 115,319 patients, and 399 patients tested by antigen tests (1,364 less than yesterday - down 77.4%) for a total of 95,385 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 5 new deaths for a total of 9,146 and 182 new cases for a total of 123,143.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 281.4 compared to 334.4 last week (down 15.8%) and 339.5 two weeks ago (down 17.1%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 12.0 compared to 14.0 last week (down 14.3%) and 18.3 two weeks ago (down 34.5%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 16,903.1 compared to 20,786.4 last week (down 18.7%) and 22,870.5 two weeks ago (down 26.1%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 1.7% compared to 1.6% last week and 1.5% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 0.8%, 0% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 8. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 329, 9% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 3, 3 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 7, 0% above the lowest observed value of 7 on September 6.
I'm not surprised that the day-to-day case counts are up, but I'm pleasantly surprised that they're up only slightly. Fewer deaths are also always a good thing, and the drop in percent-positive is encouraging. Even more encouraging, though, is the drop in the week-to-week seven-day average cases and deaths; much less encouraging is the continuing upward trend in the week-to-week seven-day average percent positive ratio.
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 191 cases, with a two week case count of 5 new cases in the last fourteen days (lower than last week), a daily incidence rate of 1.5 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of green. Acton is also listed as having 7,358 total tests, with 1,295 total tests and 7 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.54% over the last fourteen days, which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 121,396 cases, with a two week case count of 4,507 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 4.6 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 2,798,585 total tests, with 567,709 total tests and 5,508 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.97% over the last fourteen days, which is lower than last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwwealth, 207 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 84 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 47 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 13 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Chatham, Chelsea, Dedham, Everett, Framingham, Lawrence, Lynn, Lynnfield, Methuen, Monson, New Bedford, Revere, and Winthrop.
As of 8 AM today, the town of Acton is reporting 200 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 3 individuals in isolation, 176 recovered and 21 fatalities; that's two more cases, one fewer persons currently in isolation, and three more persons recovered compared to the previous report on August 31. Still no new deaths; may that trend continue.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 281.4 compared to 334.4 last week (down 15.8%) and 339.5 two weeks ago (down 17.1%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 12.0 compared to 14.0 last week (down 14.3%) and 18.3 two weeks ago (down 34.5%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 16,903.1 compared to 20,786.4 last week (down 18.7%) and 22,870.5 two weeks ago (down 26.1%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 1.7% compared to 1.6% last week and 1.5% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 0.8%, 0% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 8. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 329, 9% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 3, 3 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 7, 0% above the lowest observed value of 7 on September 6.
I'm not surprised that the day-to-day case counts are up, but I'm pleasantly surprised that they're up only slightly. Fewer deaths are also always a good thing, and the drop in percent-positive is encouraging. Even more encouraging, though, is the drop in the week-to-week seven-day average cases and deaths; much less encouraging is the continuing upward trend in the week-to-week seven-day average percent positive ratio.
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 191 cases, with a two week case count of 5 new cases in the last fourteen days (lower than last week), a daily incidence rate of 1.5 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of green. Acton is also listed as having 7,358 total tests, with 1,295 total tests and 7 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.54% over the last fourteen days, which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 121,396 cases, with a two week case count of 4,507 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 4.6 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 2,798,585 total tests, with 567,709 total tests and 5,508 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.97% over the last fourteen days, which is lower than last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwwealth, 207 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 84 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 47 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 13 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Chatham, Chelsea, Dedham, Everett, Framingham, Lawrence, Lynn, Lynnfield, Methuen, Monson, New Bedford, Revere, and Winthrop.
As of 8 AM today, the town of Acton is reporting 200 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 3 individuals in isolation, 176 recovered and 21 fatalities; that's two more cases, one fewer persons currently in isolation, and three more persons recovered compared to the previous report on August 31. Still no new deaths; may that trend continue.