Oct. 25th, 2020

edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
As of 4PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 24 newly reported confirmed deaths (16 more than yesterday - up 200.0%) for a total of 9,640 deaths, 1,097 newly reported confirmed cases (31 less than yesterday - down 2.7%) for a total of 147,120 cases, and 17,020 new patients tested by molecular tests (2,148 less than yesterday - down 11.2%) for a total of 2,632,162 individuals tested. There were 82,846 new molecular tests reported (12,825 more than yesterday - up 18.3%) with a total of 5,668,015 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 6.4%, compared to 5.9% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (same as yesterday) for a total of 224 deaths, and zero newly reported probable cases (75 less than yesterday) for a total of 3,445 cases. The state also reported 190 patients tested by antibody tests (50 less than yesterday - down 20.8%) for a total of 125,829 patients, and 396 patients tested by antigen tests (1,569 less than yesterday - down 79.8%) for a total of 174,264 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 25 new deaths for a total of 9,864 and 1,097 new cases for a total of 150,565.

The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 924.7 compared to 639.9 last week (up 44.5%) and 532.6 two weeks ago (up 73.6%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 17.6 compared to 18.4 last week (down 4.7%) and 13.3 two weeks ago (up 32.3%). The seven day average number of newly tested individuals per day is 16,789.9 compared to 14,754.9 last week (up 13.8%) and 14,963.3 two weeks ago (up 12.2%). The seven day average percentage of individuals coming back confirmed positive per day is 5.5% compared to 4.3% last week and 3.6% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)

Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.5%, 89% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 553, 83% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 1, 1 above the lowest observed value of 0 on October 18. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 17, 86% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.

The "good" news, such as it is, is that day-to-day case counts are down a bit and total tests are up somewhat. Deaths are way up, though, and newly tested individuals are down. Worse - much worse - are the seven-day averages, particularly for new cases and percent of people testing positive, as well as just the simple fact that we're above a thousand new cases per day for two days in a row, and over seven hundred new cases per day for four days running. The only good news in the state's "key metrics" is that the number of hospitals using surge capacity is back down to one; everything else is way, way above the lowest observed values.

Still no reaction that I've heard of from the Governor, but experts contacted by the Boston Globe are worried:
Read more... )
I, too, would really, really like to know what Governor Baker's plan is.

The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 6:25PM on October 21, the town of Acton reported 224 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 8 individuals in isolation, 194 recovered and 21 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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