Oct. 19th, 2020

edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
As of 4PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 15 newly reported confirmed deaths (1 more than yesterday - up 7.1%) for a total of 9,532 deaths, 827 newly reported confirmed cases (83 more than yesterday - up 11.2%) for a total of 141,474 cases, and 17,654 new patients tested by molecular tests (2,066 more than yesterday - up 13.3%) for a total of 2,532,287 individuals tested. There were 70,708 new molecular tests reported (9,438 less than yesterday - down 11.8%) with a total of 5,239,651 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 4.7%, compared to 4.8% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (1 more than yesterday) for a total of 221 deaths, and 1 newly reported probable case (1 more than yesterday) for a total of 3,014 cases. The state also reported 186 patients tested by antibody tests (same as yesterday) for a total of 124,340 patients, and 498 patients tested by antigen tests (286 more than yesterday - up 134.9%) for a total of 162,655 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 16 new deaths for a total of 9,753 and 828 new cases for a total of 144,488.

The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 648.7 compared to 575.4 last week (up 12.7%) and 587.4 two weeks ago (up 10.4%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 18.7 compared to 12.3 last week (up 52.3%) and 16.1 two weeks ago (up 15.9%). The seven day average number of newly tested individuals per day is 14,591.0 compared to 16,039.9 last week (down 9.0%) and 16,028.1 two weeks ago (down 9.0%). The seven day average percentage of individuals coming back confirmed positive per day is 4.4% compared to 3.6% last week and 3.7% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)

Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.2%, 59% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 494, 64% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 0, 0 above the lowest observed value of 0 on October 18. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 18, 89% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.

Not good news. Day-to-day deaths and cases up, while seven-day averages are all going in bad directions (cases, deaths and percent-positive all up, tests down). At least there aren't any hospitals using surge capacity ... today.

And Massachusetts is still doing far better than most of the country. According to at least one epidemiologist, the worst could still be to come:
Read more... )
Yay. </sarcasm>

The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 9:15PM on October 14, the town of Acton reported 217 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 5 individuals in isolation, 191 recovered and 21 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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