edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
[personal profile] edschweppe
As of 5PM today (Thursday December 22, 2022), the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 96 newly reported confirmed deaths (15 more than last Thursday - up 18.5%) for a total of 21,149 deaths, 9,216 newly reported confirmed cases (825 more than last Thursday - up 9.8%) for a total of 1,959,910 cases, and 104,324 newly reported molecular tests (293 more than last Thursday - up 0.3%). Note that today's death data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 13.7 newly reported deaths per day (67 less than last Thursday - down 83.1%).
Note that today's case/test data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 1,316.6 newly reported cases per day (7,074 less than last Thursday - down 84.3%), and 14,903.4 newly reported molecular tests per day (89,128 less than last Thursday - down 85.7%).

Note that last Thursday's death data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 11.6 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 84 more than last Thursday's values - up 729.6%.
Note that last Thursday's case/test data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 1,198.7 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 8,017 more than last Thursday's values - up 668.8%. There were 14,861.6 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 89,462 more than last Thursday's values - up 602.0%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 9.58%, compared to 8.68% last Thursday. The state also reported 14 newly reported probable deaths (14 less than last Thursday - down 50.0%) for a total of 1,644 and 1,651 newly reported probable cases (185 more than last Thursday - up 12.6%) for a total of 185,057. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 110 new deaths for a total of 22,793 and 10,867 new cases for a total of 2,144,967. There were 908 COVID-19 patients in hospital (52 more than last Thursday - up 6.1%), 101 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (10 more than last Thursday - up 11.0%) and 38 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (8 more than last Thursday - up 26.7%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,037.0 (106 more than last Thursday - up 11.4%), 1,520% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 96.0% below the highest observed value of 23,225.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 9.58% (0 more than last Thursday - up 10.4%), 3,014% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 65% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 884.0 (104 more than last Thursday - up 13.3%), 952% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 78% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 12.0 (3 more than last Thursday - up 33.3%), 1,100% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/10/2021 and 94% below the highest observed value of 176.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,910 non-ICU beds, of which 7,593 (85.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 807 (9.1%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 510 (5.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,194 ICU beds, of which 959 (80.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 101 (8.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 134 (11.2%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported last Thursday a total of 8,876 non-ICU beds, of which 7,598 (85.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 765 (9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 513 (5.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported last Thursday a total of 1,193 ICU beds, of which 950 (79.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 91 (7.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 152 (12.7%) remained available.

One week ago (December 15), the 7 day confirmed case average was 931.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 780.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 8.68%.

Two weeks ago (December 8), the 7 day confirmed case average was 835.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 707.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.85%.

One year ago (December 22, 2021), the 7 day confirmed case average was 4,400.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 24.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 1,522.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.02%.

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 4,074 total cases, with a two-week case count of 45 cases, a daily incidence rate of 13.4 which is lower than last week, with a corresponding risk color code of red (if the state was still reporting color codes). Acton is also listed as having 112,447 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 579 and a two-week positive test count of 49, for a percent-positive rate of 8.46 which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 1,959,910 total cases, with a two-week case count of 16,769 cases, a daily incidence rate of 17.0 which is higher than last week. Massachusetts is also listed as having 48,880,560 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 205,286 and a two-week positive test count of 18,373, for a percent-positive rate of 8.95 which is higher than last week.

As of July 1, 2021, the state is no longer reporting risk color codes. However, if it was, of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 123 would be coded gray (compared to 112 last week), 25 would be coded green (compared to 45 last week), and 35 would be coded yellow (compared to 50 last week).The remaining 168 towns would be coded red (compared to 144 last week): Abington, Acton, Acushnet, Agawam, Amesbury, Andover, Arlington, Ashland, Athol, Attleboro, Auburn, Barnstable, Belchertown, Bellingham, Belmont, Beverly, Billerica, Boston, Bourne, Braintree, Brewster, Bridgewater, Brockton, Brookline, Burlington, Cambridge, Carver, Charlton, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Chicopee, Clinton, Concord, Danvers, Dartmouth, Dedham, Dennis, Dracut, Dudley, Duxbury, East Bridgewater, East Longmeadow, Easthampton, Easton, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Falmouth, Fitchburg, Foxborough, Framingham, Franklin, Gardner, Gloucester, Grafton, Greenfield, Hanover, Hanson, Harwich, Haverhill, Hingham, Holbrook, Holden, Holliston, Holyoke, Hopkinton, Hudson, Hull, Kingston, Lawrence, Leicester, Leominster, Littleton, Longmeadow, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Mansfield, Marblehead, Marlborough, Marshfield, Mashpee, Maynard, Medfield, Medford, Medway, Melrose, Methuen, Middleborough, Middleton, Milford, Milton, Monson, Montague, Nantucket, Natick, Needham, New Bedford, Newburyport, Norfolk, North Adams, North Andover, North Attleborough, North Reading, Northampton, Northborough, Northbridge, Norton, Norwell, Norwood, Oxford, Palmer, Peabody, Pembroke, Pittsfield, Plymouth, Quincy, Randolph, Raynham, Reading, Revere, Rockland, Salem, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Shrewsbury, Somerville, South Hadley, Southbridge, Southwick, Spencer, Springfield, Stoneham, Stoughton, Sudbury, Swampscott, Swansea, Taunton, Tewksbury, Tyngsborough, Uxbridge, Wakefield, Walpole, Waltham, Ware, Wareham, Watertown, Webster, West Springfield, Westborough, Westfield, Westford, Weston, Westport, Weymouth, Wilbraham, Wilmington, Winchendon, Winchester, Winthrop, Woburn, Worcester, Wrentham, and Yarmouth.

30 cities/towns would be newly coded red this week (Arlington, Athol, Belmont, Bridgewater, Brookline, Concord, Dudley, Foxborough, Grafton, Hanover, Holliston, Hudson, Leicester, Lunenburg, Mansfield, Maynard, Medfield, Middleton, Monson, Montague, Natick, Needham, North Reading, Northampton, Norwell, Rockland, Sudbury, Tyngsborough, Webster, and Weston) and 6 cities/towns would no longer be coded red this week (Groton, Millbury, Newton, Sandwich, Somerset, and Southborough).

Of the 10 towns nearby (including my own town), 2 are coded gray (Boxborough, and Stow), one is coded green (Carlisle), none are coded yellow, and 7 are coded red (Acton, Chelmsford, Concord, Littleton, Maynard, Sudbury, and Westford).

Of the 10 towns near my church, 5 are coded gray (Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, and Stow), none are coded green, none are coded yellow, and 5 are coded red (Acton, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, and Sudbury).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

As of December 22, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3222 counties nationwide, 2475 counties (76.82% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 472 counties (14.65% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 198 counties (6.15% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 77 counties (2.39% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 13 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester), and 1 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate (Dukes).

Barnstable County has 170.430 cases per 100k, 11.25 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Berkshire County has 140.060 cases per 100k, 8.16 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Bristol County has 115.000 cases per 100k, 9.35 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Dukes County has suppressed cases per 100k, 4.65 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Essex County has 156.650 cases per 100k, 10.39 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Franklin County has 126.820 cases per 100k, 7.92 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampden County has 210.350 cases per 100k, 11.71 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampshire County has 137.410 cases per 100k, 6.53 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Middlesex County has 128.250 cases per 100k, 9.29 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Nantucket County has 228.090 cases per 100k, 11.81 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Norfolk County has 106.680 cases per 100k, 8.28 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Plymouth County has 121.450 cases per 100k, 8.36 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Suffolk County has 131.980 cases per 100k, 9.56 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Worcester County has 111.240 cases per 100k, 8.85 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high

The underlying query for this data is available here.

This compares to the previous week:
As of December 15, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3222 counties nationwide, 2406 counties (74.67% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 533 counties (16.54% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 202 counties (6.27% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 81 counties (2.51% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 11 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Nantucket, Suffolk, Worcester), and 3 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Dukes, Norfolk, Plymouth).

Barnstable County has 108.930 cases per 100k, 9.22 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Berkshire County has 124.060 cases per 100k, 7.36 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Bristol County has 117.120 cases per 100k, 9.63 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Dukes County has 92.310 cases per 100k, 4.76 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Essex County has 147.020 cases per 100k, 10.14 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Franklin County has 115.420 cases per 100k, 8.65 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampden County has 207.770 cases per 100k, 10.73 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampshire County has 113.780 cases per 100k, 5.11 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Middlesex County has 113.920 cases per 100k, 8.4 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Nantucket County has 236.860 cases per 100k, 15.04 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Norfolk County has 95.500 cases per 100k, 7.88 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Plymouth County has 98.810 cases per 100k, 8.38 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Suffolk County has 120.540 cases per 100k, 8.84 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Worcester County has 109.680 cases per 100k, 8.13 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high

The underlying query for this data is available here.

As of December 22, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3218 counties nationwide: 343 counties (10.66%, representing 17.38% of the population) with High community level, 1303 counties (40.49%, representing 46.29% of the population) with Medium community level, and 1572 counties (48.85%, representing 36.33% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported the following COVID Community Levels for the 14 counties in Massachusetts (population 6892503): 2 counties (representing 6.93% of the state's population) with High community level (Hampden, Nantucket), 11 counties (representing 91.26% of the state's population) with Medium community level (Barnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester), and 1 counties (representing 1.81% of the state's population) with Low community level (Berkshire).

Barnstable County (population 212990) has 170.43 cases per 100k (implying 363.00 cases in the county), 15.8 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 140.06 cases per 100k (implying 175.00 cases in the county), 9.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 115.0 cases per 100k (implying 650.00 cases in the county), 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 6.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 46.16 cases per 100k (implying 8.00 cases in the county), 15.8 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Medium.
Essex County (population 789034) has 156.65 cases per 100k (implying 1,236.02 cases in the county), 11.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 6.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 126.82 cases per 100k (implying 89.00 cases in the county), 14.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 210.35 cases per 100k (implying 981.01 cases in the county), 10.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 8.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 137.41 cases per 100k (implying 221.00 cases in the county), 10.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 8.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 128.25 cases per 100k (implying 2,067.00 cases in the county), 15.8 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 228.09 cases per 100k (implying 26.00 cases in the county), 15.8 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 106.68 cases per 100k (implying 753.99 cases in the county), 15.8 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 121.45 cases per 100k (implying 633.00 cases in the county), 15.8 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 131.98 cases per 100k (implying 1,061.00 cases in the county), 15.8 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 111.24 cases per 100k (implying 923.98 cases in the county), 14.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
The CDC community level data implies a total of 9,188.00 cases statewide.
The underlying query for this data is available here.

This compares to the previous week:
As of December 15, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3210 counties nationwide: 295 counties (9.19%, representing 11.18% of the population) with High community level, 1124 counties (35.02%, representing 43.97% of the population) with Medium community level, and 1791 counties (55.79%, representing 44.85% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported the following COVID Community Levels for the 14 counties in Massachusetts (population 6892503): 1 counties (representing 0.17% of the state's population) with High community level (Nantucket), 11 counties (representing 95.69% of the state's population) with Medium community level (Barnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester), and 2 counties (representing 4.15% of the state's population) with Low community level (Berkshire, Hampshire).
Barnstable County (population 212990) has 108.93 cases per 100k (implying 232.01 cases in the county), 13.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 124.06 cases per 100k (implying 155.01 cases in the county), 3.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.6 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 117.12 cases per 100k (implying 661.98 cases in the county), 12.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 92.31 cases per 100k (implying 16.00 cases in the county), 13.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Essex County (population 789034) has 147.02 cases per 100k (implying 1,160.04 cases in the county), 11.3 hospitalizations per 100k and 6.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 115.42 cases per 100k (implying 81.00 cases in the county), 13.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.3 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 207.77 cases per 100k (implying 968.98 cases in the county), 7.3 hospitalizations per 100k and 7.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 113.78 cases per 100k (implying 182.99 cases in the county), 7.3 hospitalizations per 100k and 7.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 113.92 cases per 100k (implying 1,836.05 cases in the county), 13.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 236.86 cases per 100k (implying 27.00 cases in the county), 13.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 95.5 cases per 100k (implying 674.97 cases in the county), 13.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 98.81 cases per 100k (implying 515.00 cases in the county), 13.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 120.54 cases per 100k (implying 969.03 cases in the county), 13.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 109.68 cases per 100k (implying 911.03 cases in the county), 13.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.3 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
The CDC community level data implies a total of 8,391.08 cases statewide.

The underlying query for this data is available here.

(The town of Acton has stopped updating its COVID-19 Information Center and Google Data Studio dashboard.)

Gee, I guess we're getting our winter surge in COVID cases again this year, aren't we?

Today's 96 newly reported confirmed COVID deaths aren't just nearly twenty percent higher than last week's report (81) but are the highest reported since the state went to weekly reporting back in July. Newly confirmed cases are up almost ten percent to 9,216 (the highest that count has been since 9,646 were reported on August 4). Hospitalizations are up as well, with a current count of 908 COVID patients. All four seven-day averages are up; in particular, the percent-positive rate is up nearly a full percentage point compared to last week at 9.58%.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are also reporting bad news regarding community transmission and risk levels; nationwide, 343 counties representing 17.38% of the population are at the highest risk level. Two of those counties (Hampden and Nantucket) are in Massachusetts. Eleven other counties in Massachusetts are at Medium risk level; only Berkshire County has a low enough rate of new hospitalizations to make it to Low level.

Not what I'd call tidings of comfort and joy. Alas.

(no subject)

Date: 2022-12-22 11:53 pm (UTC)
jenett: Big and Little Dipper constellations on a blue watercolor background (Default)
From: [personal profile] jenett
My work has announced a return to mandatory masking January 3rd (at this point, all the teaching staff and students are gone for break, and many of the other staff aren't on campus either, hence the timing and the advance warning.) Mandatory for staff, visitors, and strongly strongly encouraged for students (some of whom can't mask for other medical reasons, or where it's a real struggle due to competing disabilities.)

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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