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As of 5PM today (Thursday September 15, 2022), the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 37 newly reported confirmed deaths (20 less than last Thursday - down 35.1%) for a total of 20,206 deaths, 7,936 newly reported confirmed cases (1,313 more than last Thursday - up 19.8%) for a total of 1,860,512 cases, and 125,254 newly reported molecular tests (23,127 more than last Thursday - up 22.6%). Note that today's death data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 5.3 newly reported deaths per day (52 less than last Thursday - down 90.7%).
Note that today's case/test data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 1,133.7 newly reported cases per day (5,489 less than last Thursday - down 82.9%), and 17,893.4 newly reported molecular tests per day (84,234 less than last Thursday - down 82.5%).

Note that last Thursday's death data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 8.1 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 29 more than last Thursday's values - up 354.4%.
Note that last Thursday's case/test data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 946.1 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 6,990 more than last Thursday's values - up 738.8%. There were 14,589.6 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 110,664 more than last Thursday's values - up 758.5%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 7.32%, compared to 7.13% last Thursday. The state also reported 15 newly reported probable deaths (1 less than last Thursday - down 6.2%) for a total of 1,382 and 1,068 newly reported probable cases (352 more than last Thursday - up 49.2%) for a total of 169,823. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 52 new deaths for a total of 21,588 and 9,004 new cases for a total of 2,030,335. There were 591 COVID-19 patients in hospital (18 more than last Thursday - up 3.1%), 48 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (7 less than last Thursday - down 12.7%) and 14 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (1 less than last Thursday - down 6.7%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 920.0 (189 more than last Thursday - up 25.9%), 1,337% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 97.0% below the highest observed value of 23,205.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 7.32% (0 more than last Thursday - up 2.7%), 2,279% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 74% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 569.0 (8 less than last Thursday - down 1.4%), 577% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 86% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 5.0 (4 less than last Thursday - down 44.4%), 400% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/10/2021 and 98% below the highest observed value of 176.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,830 non-ICU beds, of which 7,743 (87.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 543 (6.1%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 544 (6.2%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,198 ICU beds, of which 958 (80.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 48 (4.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 192 (16.0%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported last Thursday a total of 8,645 non-ICU beds, of which 7,425 (85.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 518 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 702 (8.1%) remained available. Hospitals also reported last Thursday a total of 1,193 ICU beds, of which 891 (74.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 55 (4.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 247 (20.7%) remained available.

One week ago (September 8), the 7 day confirmed case average was 731.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 577.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.13%.

Two weeks ago (September 1), the 7 day confirmed case average was 862.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 8.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 593.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.61%.

One year ago (September 15, 2021), the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,381.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 653.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.44%.

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 3,813 total cases, with a two-week case count of 45 cases, a daily incidence rate of 13.4 which is lower than last week, with a corresponding risk color code of red (if the state was still reporting color codes). Acton is also listed as having 108,280 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 617 and a two-week positive test count of 49, for a percent-positive rate of 7.94 which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 1,860,512 total cases, with a two-week case count of 14,153 cases, a daily incidence rate of 14.4 which is lower than last week. Massachusetts is also listed as having 47,382,876 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 218,443 and a two-week positive test count of 15,697, for a percent-positive rate of 7.19 which is lower than last week.

As of July 1, 2021, the state is no longer reporting risk color codes. However, if it was, of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 127 would be coded gray (compared to 120 last week), 41 would be coded green (compared to 39 last week), and 39 would be coded yellow (compared to 40 last week).The remaining 144 towns would be coded red (compared to 152 last week): Abington, Acton, Acushnet, Adams, Agawam, Amesbury, Amherst, Andover, Arlington, Ashland, Attleboro, Auburn, Barnstable, Bedford, Belchertown, Bellingham, Beverly, Billerica, Boston, Bourne, Braintree, Brockton, Burlington, Cambridge, Canton, Carver, Charlton, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Chicopee, Clinton, Danvers, Dartmouth, Dedham, Dennis, Dracut, Dudley, Duxbury, East Bridgewater, East Longmeadow, Easthampton, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Falmouth, Fitchburg, Framingham, Franklin, Gloucester, Grafton, Greenfield, Hanover, Hanson, Harwich, Haverhill, Hingham, Holbrook, Holden, Holyoke, Hopkinton, Hull, Kingston, Lakeville, Lawrence, Leicester, Leominster, Lexington, Littleton, Longmeadow, Lowell, Ludlow, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Mansfield, Marblehead, Mashpee, Maynard, Medford, Medway, Melrose, Methuen, Middleborough, Milford, Millbury, Natick, New Bedford, Newton, North Adams, North Reading, Northbridge, Norwood, Oxford, Palmer, Peabody, Pepperell, Pittsfield, Plymouth, Quincy, Raynham, Reading, Rehoboth, Revere, Rockland, Salem, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Shrewsbury, Somerset, Somerville, South Hadley, Southborough, Southbridge, Spencer, Springfield, Stoneham, Stoughton, Swampscott, Taunton, Tewksbury, Tyngsborough, Uxbridge, Wakefield, Waltham, Ware, Wareham, Webster, West Springfield, Westfield, Weston, Westport, Weymouth, Whitman, Wilbraham, Wilmington, Winchendon, Winchester, Winthrop, Woburn, Worcester, Wrentham, and Yarmouth.

11 cities/towns would be newly coded red this week (Adams, Amesbury, Amherst, Canton, Hanson, Hull, Medway, Pepperell, Rehoboth, Tyngsborough, and Wrentham) and 19 cities/towns would no longer be coded red this week (Athol, Brewster, Bridgewater, Foxborough, Gardner, Lunenburg, Milton, Nantucket, Needham, North Andover, North Attleborough, Norwell, Pembroke, Sharon, Southwick, Swansea, Watertown, Wayland, and Westford).

Of the 10 towns nearby (including my own town), 3 are coded gray (Boxborough, Carlisle, and Stow), 2 are coded green (Concord, and Sudbury), one is coded yellow (Westford), and 4 are coded red (Acton, Chelmsford, Littleton, and Maynard).

Of the 10 towns near my church, 5 are coded gray (Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, and Stow), one is coded green (Sudbury), 2 are coded yellow (Hudson, and Marlborough), and 2 are coded red (Acton, and Maynard).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

As of September 14, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3222 counties nationwide, 2685 counties (83.33% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 345 counties (10.71% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 116 counties (3.60% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 76 counties (2.36% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 5 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Barnstable, Berkshire, Essex, Hampden, Hampshire), and 9 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Bristol, Dukes, Franklin, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester).

Barnstable County has 103.290 cases per 100k, 9.38 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Berkshire County has 152.870 cases per 100k, 8.71 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Bristol County has 93.770 cases per 100k, 8.78 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Dukes County has 98.080 cases per 100k, 6.72 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Essex County has 108.870 cases per 100k, 7.42 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Franklin County has 76.950 cases per 100k, 7.34 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Hampden County has 125.650 cases per 100k, 10.26 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampshire County has 100.110 cases per 100k, 5.03 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Middlesex County has 88.420 cases per 100k, 6.82 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Nantucket County has suppressed cases per 100k, 2.2 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Norfolk County has 76.260 cases per 100k, 5.07 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Plymouth County has 88.640 cases per 100k, 7.63 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Suffolk County has 93.790 cases per 100k, 5.94 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Worcester County has 99.800 cases per 100k, 7.65 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial

The underlying query for this data is available here.

As of September 15, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3223 counties nationwide: 431 counties (13.37%, representing 8.34% of the population) with High community level, 1157 counties (35.90%, representing 34.96% of the population) with Medium community level, and 1635 counties (50.73%, representing 56.70% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported the following COVID Community Levels for the 14 counties in Massachusetts (population 6892503): 7 counties (representing 56.37% of the state's population) with Medium community level (Barnstable, Dukes, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk), and 7 counties (representing 43.63% of the state's population) with Low community level (Berkshire, Bristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester).

Barnstable County (population 212990) has 103.29 cases per 100k, 11.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 152.87 cases per 100k, 4.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 93.77 cases per 100k, 9.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 98.08 cases per 100k, 11.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Essex County (population 789034) has 108.87 cases per 100k, 7.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.6 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 76.94 cases per 100k, 9.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 125.65 cases per 100k, 4.6 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 100.11 cases per 100k, 4.6 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 88.42 cases per 100k, 11.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 70.18 cases per 100k, 11.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 76.26 cases per 100k, 11.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 88.64 cases per 100k, 11.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 93.79 cases per 100k, 11.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 99.8 cases per 100k, 9.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.

The underlying query for this data is available here.

Well, this sucks. The good news is that the number of newly reported deaths (37 over the past week) are down substantially from last week. The bad news is that the number of newly reported cases (7,936) is way up compared to last week, while the hospitalization counts and percent-positive are both up as well. That surge in hospitalizations is showing up in the COVID Community Levels reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; while not yet reflected on their website, their data indicates that half the counties in the state are back to Medium (due to new hospitalizations rising to 11.1 per 100k population).

Meanwhile, the town of Acton's Google Data Studio dashboard is apparently no longer being maintained; there's no link to it anymore on the town's main COVID-19 page and the page is showing a "Data Set Configuration Error" message. Clicking on the "See details" link shows the following text:
Data Studio cannot connect to your data set.

There was a problem fetching data from the underlying Google Sheet.

Error ID: 8489da00
So that's that for the town's reporting, I guess. Sigh.
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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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