edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
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As of 5PM today (Thursday September 08, 2022), the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 57 newly reported confirmed deaths (8 more than last Thursday - up 16.3%) for a total of 20,169 deaths, 6,623 newly reported confirmed cases (1,167 less than last Thursday - down 15.0%) for a total of 1,852,576 cases, and 102,127 newly reported molecular tests (7,688 less than last Thursday - down 7.0%). Note that today's death data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 8.1 newly reported deaths per day (41 less than last Thursday - down 83.4%).
Note that today's case/test data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 946.1 newly reported cases per day (6,844 less than last Thursday - down 87.9%), and 14,589.6 newly reported molecular tests per day (95,225 less than last Thursday - down 86.7%).

Note that last Thursday's death data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 7.0 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 50 more than last Thursday's values - up 714.3%.
Note that last Thursday's case/test data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 1,112.9 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 5,510 more than last Thursday's values - up 495.1%. There were 15,687.9 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 86,439 more than last Thursday's values - up 551.0%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 7.13%, compared to 7.61% last Thursday. The state also reported 16 newly reported probable deaths (8 less than last Thursday - down 33.3%) for a total of 1,367 and 716 newly reported probable cases (236 less than last Thursday - down 24.8%) for a total of 168,755. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 73 new deaths for a total of 21,536 and 7,339 new cases for a total of 2,021,331. There were 573 COVID-19 patients in hospital (33 less than last Thursday - down 5.4%), 55 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (1 less than last Thursday - down 1.8%) and 15 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (6 less than last Thursday - down 28.6%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 731.0 (131 less than last Thursday - down 15.2%), 1,042% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 97.0% below the highest observed value of 23,205.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 7.13% (0 less than last Thursday - down 6.3%), 2,217% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 74% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 577.0 (16 less than last Thursday - down 2.7%), 586% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 86% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (1 more than last Thursday - up 12.5%), 800% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/10/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 176.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,645 non-ICU beds, of which 7,425 (85.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 518 (6.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 702 (8.1%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,193 ICU beds, of which 891 (74.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 55 (4.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 247 (20.7%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported last Thursday a total of 8,698 non-ICU beds, of which 7,553 (86.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 550 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 595 (6.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported last Thursday a total of 1,188 ICU beds, of which 914 (76.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 56 (4.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 218 (18.4%) remained available.

One week ago (September 1), the 7 day confirmed case average was 862.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 8.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 593.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.61%.

Two weeks ago (August 25), the 7 day confirmed case average was 914.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 7.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 583.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.84%.

One year ago (September 8, 2021), the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,076.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 7.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 596.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.38%.

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 3,787 total cases, with a two-week case count of 51 cases, a daily incidence rate of 15.2 which is higher than last week, with a corresponding risk color code of red (if the state was still reporting color codes). Acton is also listed as having 107,941 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 637 and a two-week positive test count of 54, for a percent-positive rate of 8.48 which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 1,852,576 total cases, with a two-week case count of 14,934 cases, a daily incidence rate of 15.2 which is lower than last week. Massachusetts is also listed as having 47,257,622 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 219,218 and a two-week positive test count of 16,586, for a percent-positive rate of 7.57 which is lower than last week.

As of July 1, 2021, the state is no longer reporting risk color codes. However, if it was, of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 120 would be coded gray (compared to 114 last week), 39 would be coded green (compared to 33 last week), and 40 would be coded yellow (compared to 45 last week).The remaining 152 towns would be coded red (compared to 159 last week): Abington, Acton, Acushnet, Agawam, Andover, Arlington, Ashland, Athol, Attleboro, Auburn, Barnstable, Bedford, Belchertown, Bellingham, Beverly, Billerica, Boston, Bourne, Braintree, Brewster, Bridgewater, Brockton, Burlington, Cambridge, Carver, Charlton, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Chicopee, Clinton, Danvers, Dartmouth, Dedham, Dennis, Dracut, Dudley, Duxbury, East Bridgewater, East Longmeadow, Easthampton, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Falmouth, Fitchburg, Foxborough, Framingham, Franklin, Gardner, Gloucester, Grafton, Greenfield, Hanover, Harwich, Haverhill, Hingham, Holbrook, Holden, Holyoke, Hopkinton, Kingston, Lakeville, Lawrence, Leicester, Leominster, Lexington, Littleton, Longmeadow, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Mansfield, Marblehead, Mashpee, Maynard, Medford, Melrose, Methuen, Middleborough, Milford, Millbury, Milton, Nantucket, Natick, Needham, New Bedford, Newton, North Adams, North Andover, North Attleborough, North Reading, Northbridge, Norwell, Norwood, Oxford, Palmer, Peabody, Pembroke, Pittsfield, Plymouth, Quincy, Raynham, Reading, Revere, Rockland, Salem, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Sharon, Shrewsbury, Somerset, Somerville, South Hadley, Southborough, Southbridge, Southwick, Spencer, Springfield, Stoneham, Stoughton, Swampscott, Swansea, Taunton, Tewksbury, Uxbridge, Wakefield, Waltham, Ware, Wareham, Watertown, Wayland, Webster, West Springfield, Westfield, Westford, Weston, Westport, Weymouth, Whitman, Wilbraham, Wilmington, Winchendon, Winchester, Winthrop, Woburn, Worcester, and Yarmouth.

9 cities/towns would be newly coded red this week (Arlington, Athol, Brewster, Carver, Lexington, North Reading, Scituate, Somerset, and Winchendon) and 16 cities/towns would no longer be coded red this week (Adams, Brookline, Groton, Hanson, Holliston, Hudson, Hull, Marlborough, Medfield, Newburyport, Pepperell, Randolph, Sudbury, Tyngsborough, Walpole, and Wrentham).

Of the 10 towns nearby (including my own town), 2 are coded gray (Carlisle, and Stow), 2 are coded green (Boxborough, and Concord), one is coded yellow (Sudbury), and 5 are coded red (Acton, Chelmsford, Littleton, Maynard, and Westford).

Of the 10 towns near my church, 4 are coded gray (Berlin, Bolton, Harvard, and Stow), one is coded green (Boxborough), 3 are coded yellow (Hudson, Marlborough, and Sudbury), and 2 are coded red (Acton, and Maynard).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

As of September 7, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3222 counties nationwide, 2808 counties (87.15% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 273 counties (8.47% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 81 counties (2.51% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 60 counties (1.86% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 10 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Worcester), and 4 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk).

Barnstable County has 127.240 cases per 100k, 8.24 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Berkshire County has 149.670 cases per 100k, 7.62 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Bristol County has 108.810 cases per 100k, 8.32 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Dukes County has 109.620 cases per 100k, 7.53 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Essex County has 121.160 cases per 100k, 7.69 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Franklin County has 129.670 cases per 100k, 6.6 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampden County has 165.750 cases per 100k, 9.16 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampshire County has 108.190 cases per 100k, 5.7 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Middlesex County has 109.510 cases per 100k, 6.75 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Nantucket County has suppressed cases per 100k, 7.62 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Norfolk County has 97.910 cases per 100k, 5.6 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Plymouth County has 95.930 cases per 100k, 8.67 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Suffolk County has 98.020 cases per 100k, 6.23 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Worcester County has 114.010 cases per 100k, 7.59 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high

The underlying query for this data is available here.

As of September 8, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3222 counties nationwide: 555 counties (17.23%, representing 11.62% of the population) with High community level, 1279 counties (39.70%, representing 40.94% of the population) with Medium community level, and 1388 counties (43.08%, representing 47.44% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts (population 6892503) have a COVID Community Level of Low.

Barnstable County (population 212990) has 127.24 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 149.67 cases per 100k, 7.8 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.6 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 108.81 cases per 100k, 6.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.6 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 109.62 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Essex County (population 789034) has 121.16 cases per 100k, 7.6 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.3 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 129.67 cases per 100k, 8.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 165.75 cases per 100k, 5.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 6.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 108.19 cases per 100k, 5.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 6.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 109.51 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 70.18 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 97.91 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 95.93 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 98.02 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 114.01 cases per 100k, 8.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.

The underlying query for this data is available here.

Overall, the slow but steady decline in cases continues; today's 6,623 newly reported cases over the course of the last seven days is the first time we've been below seven thousand since the state shifted to once-per-week reporting, and the first time since March 30 that a seven-day trailing average of newly reported cases was below one thousand. Not so good news regarding deaths, however, as today's 57 newly reported deaths are up for the third week in a row (and are the highest since the once-per-week reporting shift). Hopefully that trend will start to reverse in the next few weeks, as hospitalizations are down compared to last week. The downtick in hospitalizations is why all fourteen Massachusetts counties have a COVID Community Level of "Low" in the latest numbers from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (although most of Massachusetts still has high community transmission numbers).

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 16 active and 3,892 cumulative cases as of August 28 (eleven days ago), and has not been updated since. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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