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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 15 newly reported confirmed deaths (7 more than Friday - up 87.5%) for a total of 19,732 deaths, 4,090 newly reported confirmed cases (2,412 more than Friday - up 143.7%) for a total of 1,771,427 cases, and 58,235 newly reported molecular tests (28,312 more than Friday - up 94.6%). Note that today's death data covers 4 days. Averaged over that period, there were 3.8 newly reported deaths per day (4 less than Friday - down 53.1%). Note that today's case/test data covers 4 days. Averaged over that period, there were 1,022.5 newly reported cases per day (656 less than Friday - down 39.1%), and 14,558.8 newly reported molecular tests per day (15,364 less than Friday - down 51.3%). The seven day average positivity rate is 6.66%, compared to 6.22% Friday. The state also reported 2 newly reported probable deaths (1 more than Friday - up 100.0%) for a total of 1,238 and 396 newly reported probable cases (233 more than Friday - up 142.9%) for a total of 159,602. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 17 new deaths for a total of 20,970 and 4,486 new cases for a total of 1,931,029. There were 509 COVID-19 patients in hospital (23 more than Friday - up 4.7%), 45 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (2 more than Friday - up 4.7%) and 15 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (5 more than Friday - up 50.0%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,034.0 (110 less than Friday - down 9.6%), 1,515% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 96.0% below the highest observed value of 23,202.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 6.66% (0 more than Friday - up 7.2%), 2,065% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 76% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 490.0 (4 more than Friday - up 0.8%), 483% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 88% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 6.0 (same as Friday), 500% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 97% below the highest observed value of 176.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,422 non-ICU beds, of which 7,127 (84.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 464 (5.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 831 (9.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,191 ICU beds, of which 885 (74.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 45 (3.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 261 (21.9%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported Friday a total of 8,790 non-ICU beds, of which 7,745 (88.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 443 (5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 602 (6.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported Friday a total of 1,192 ICU beds, of which 936 (78.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 43 (3.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 213 (17.9%) remained available.

One week ago (June 28), the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,128.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 6.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 475.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.63%.

Two weeks ago (June 21), the 7 day confirmed case average was 980.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 8.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 475.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.39%.

There was no state report on July 5, 2021, as the Fourth of July was a Sunday and the state took Monday the Fifth off in celebration. On July 2, 2021, the 7 day confirmed case average was 59.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 1.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 100.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 0.38%.

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

As of July 4, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3220 counties nationwide, 2827 counties (87.80% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 252 counties (7.83% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 82 counties (2.55% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 59 counties (1.83% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts have a Community Transmission Level of High.

Barnstable County has 147.420 cases per 100k, 8.67 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Berkshire County has 196.890 cases per 100k, 6.62 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Bristol County has 123.850 cases per 100k, 7.08 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Dukes County has 386.570 cases per 100k, 17.8 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Essex County has 143.720 cases per 100k, 6.66 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Franklin County has 126.820 cases per 100k, 5.49 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampden County has 154.170 cases per 100k, 6.93 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampshire County has 172.230 cases per 100k, 6.1 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Middlesex County has 161.130 cases per 100k, 6.87 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Nantucket County has 271.950 cases per 100k, 12.58 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Norfolk County has 141.630 cases per 100k, 6.85 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Plymouth County has 124.140 cases per 100k, 6.54 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Suffolk County has 148.150 cases per 100k, 6.86 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Worcester County has 114.250 cases per 100k, 5.33 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high

There are 2 counties containing the Isles of Shoals:
Rockingham County, New Hampshire has 122.990 cases per 100k, 9.81 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
York County, Maine has 141.110 cases per 100k, 8.74 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high

The underlying query for this data is available here.

As of June 30, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3221 counties nationwide: 627 counties (19.47%, representing 33.01% of the population) with High community level, 1142 counties (35.45%, representing 36.04% of the population) with Medium community level, and 1452 counties (45.08%, representing 30.95% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported the following COVID Community Levels for the 14 counties in Massachusetts (population 6892503): 2 counties (representing 0.42% of the state's population) with Medium community level (Dukes, Nantucket), and 12 counties (representing 99.58% of the state's population) with Low community level (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester).

Barnstable County (population 212990) has 143.2 cases per 100k, 9.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 192.09 cases per 100k, 6.0 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 125.08 cases per 100k, 6.6 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 398.11 cases per 100k, 9.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Essex County (population 789034) has 134.59 cases per 100k, 5.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 153.89 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.3 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 140.23 cases per 100k, 6.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 174.72 cases per 100k, 6.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 163.24 cases per 100k, 9.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 210.54 cases per 100k, 9.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 137.1 cases per 100k, 9.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 107.83 cases per 100k, 9.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 151.76 cases per 100k, 9.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 116.42 cases per 100k, 9.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.3 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.

There are 2 counties containing the Isles of Shoals:
Rockingham County, New Hampshire (population 309769) has 118.48 cases per 100k, 5.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
York County, Maine (population 207641) has 132.92 cases per 100k, 4.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.6 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.

The underlying query for this data is available here.

Given that yesterday was the Fourth of July, and thus today's report supposedly covers four days of case and death reporting, it's no surprise that the raw numbers of deaths and cases are up compared to Friday; given that today's report covers four days which includes weekends, it's no surprise that today's numbers averaged over those four days are lower than Friday's. Hospitalizations are up, however, and that's not good news at any time. Seven-day averages for cases are down compared to Friday, but still over a thousand (which is awful), while averages for hospitalizations and percent-positive are both up.

The Fourth of July (specifically the celebratory gatherings) may have been a superspreader event this year:
With Fourth of July weekend celebrations in the rearview mirror, people should keep an eye out for possible symptoms of COVID-19, experts said Tuesday.

“After a holiday, we see increases in cases because people are more likely to gather in larger groups, spend more time indoors at larger gatherings. Those are conditions that increase the rates of SARS-CoV-2 transmission.” said Dr. Sabrina Assoumou, an assistant professor of medicine at Boston University School of Medicine and an attending physician in the section of infectious diseases at Boston Medical Center.

Holiday travel can also contribute to COVID-19 case increases, she said, noting the situation in a crowded airport where many people aren’t wearing masks.

“It’s definitely a time to be more vigilant,” she said.

She said she recommended that people who have been in higher-risk settings should look out for COVID-19 symptoms such as fever, runny nose, cough, and fatigue.

If symptoms develop, people should get tested to find out if they have COVID-19, she said.

Even if a first rapid test is negative, she recommended, people should mask up until taking a second test two or three days later. If they continue to be worried after a second negative rapid test, they could consider getting a PCR test, she said.

Since people can have COVID-19 and be asymptomatic, people who have no symptoms could also decide to take a test two or three days after they’ve possibly been exposed, she said, particularly if they plan to be in contact with vulnerable people like the elderly.

The Boston Public Health Commission tweeted a strong recommendation that people who attended a Fourth of July gathering test for COVID-19.

The holiday arrived as concerns have been growing about the arrival of the new Omicron subvariants BA.4 and particularly BA.5, which are highly transmissible and appear to be better able to evade the immunity people have built up from getting sick from COVID-19 previously or getting vaccinated.

The new subvariants are likely to cause an increase in cases, Assoumou said. BA.4 and BA.5 accounted for an estimated 17.8 and 41.6 percent of cases, respectively, in New England in the week ending Saturday, according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard estimated last week that by mid-July the two variants will account for over 90 percent of cases in Massachusetts.

Oh, yay. Just what we needed.

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 19 active and 3,647 cumulative cases as of July 4; the current case count jumped to as high as 35 on July 2. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.
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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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