Local (and not-so-local) COVID-19 updates
Jun. 8th, 2022 05:27 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 16 newly reported confirmed deaths (2 less than yesterday - down 11.1%) for a total of 19,514 deaths, 1,780 newly reported confirmed cases (260 less than yesterday - down 12.7%) for a total of 1,734,099 cases, and 34,324 newly reported molecular tests (8,751 more than yesterday - up 34.2%).
Note that yesterday's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 6.0 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 10 more than yesterday's values - up 166.7%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 6.62%, compared to 6.81% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (3 less than yesterday - down 75.0%) for a total of 1,195 and 344 newly reported probable cases (6 less than yesterday - down 1.7%) for a total of 155,449. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 17 new deaths for a total of 20,709 and 2,124 new cases for a total of 1,889,548. There were 567 COVID-19 patients in hospital (18 less than yesterday - down 3.1%), 53 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (same as yesterday) and 16 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (6 less than yesterday - down 27.3%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,502.0 (259 less than yesterday - down 14.7%), 2,246% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 94.0% below the highest observed value of 23,199.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 6.62% (0 less than yesterday - down 2.9%), 2,050% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 76% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 623.0 (18 less than yesterday - down 2.8%), 641% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 84% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 8.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 14.3%), 700% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 96% below the highest observed value of 176.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,785 non-ICU beds, of which 7,685 (87.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 514 (5.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 586 (6.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,235 ICU beds, of which 972 (78.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 53 (4.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 210 (17.0%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,667 non-ICU beds, of which 7,364 (85.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 532 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 771 (8.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,210 ICU beds, of which 898 (74.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 53 (4.4%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 259 (21.4%) remained available.
One week ago (June 1), the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,528.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 7.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 728.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.72%.
Two weeks ago (May 25), the 7 day confirmed case average was 2,305.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 10.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 825.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 8.33%.
One year ago (June 8, 2021), the 7 day confirmed case average was 120.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 4.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 194.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 0.52% (or 0.74% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
As of June 7, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3220 counties nationwide, 2524 counties (78.39% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 354 counties (10.99% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 235 counties (7.30% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 107 counties (3.32% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts have a Community Tranmission Level of High.
Barnstable County has 261.510 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Berkshire County has 391.380 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Bristol County has 227.350 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Dukes County has 207.710 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Essex County has 258.290 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Franklin County has 247.930 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampden County has 314.560 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampshire County has 283.530 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Middlesex County has 330.960 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Nantucket County has 157.910 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Norfolk County has 287.640 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Plymouth County has 217.000 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Suffolk County has 289.090 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Worcester County has 238.620 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
The underlying query for this data is available here.
As of June 2, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3224 counties nationwide: 241 counties (7.48%, representing 21.39% of the population) with High community level, 736 counties (22.83%, representing 34.54% of the population) with Medium community level, and 2247 counties (69.70%, representing 44.07% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported the following COVID Community Levels for the 14 counties in Massachusetts: 5 counties (representing 49.41% of the state's population) with High community level (Barnstable, Franklin, Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk), 8 counties (representing 42.39% of the state's population) with Medium community level (Berkshire, Dukes, Essex, Hampden, Hampshire, Nantucket, Plymouth, Worcester), and 1 counties (representing 8.20% of the state's population) with Low community level (Bristol).
Barnstable County (population 212990) has 209.4 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 352.16 cases per 100k, 8.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 6.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 180.11 cases per 100k, 8.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 167.32 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Essex County (population 789034) has 212.41 cases per 100k, 8.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 202.34 cases per 100k, 12.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 253.87 cases per 100k, 6.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 228.81 cases per 100k, 6.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 260.22 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 114.05 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 214.21 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 174.4 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 224.9 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 188.53 cases per 100k, 12.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
The underlying query for this data is available here.
Mostly good news on the day-over-day comparisons. The 16 newly reported deaths today are fewer than the 18 reported yesterday, but yesterday covered three days; today's report is much higher than the average over those three days. On the other hand, newly reported cases and hospitalizations are down, as are the seven-day averages for cases, hospitalizations and percent-positive. Overall, things are noticably better than a couple of weeks ago, and far, far worse than this time last year.
In hopefully good news, Moderna announced today that their new bivalent COVID vaccine provides even better protection against the Omicron variant than their original:
Unfortunately, the study wasn't designed to measure effectiveness against infection, only against severe illness and death. But even better protection against said severe illness and death is still a Good Thing.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 25 active and 3,509 cumulative cases as of June 7. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.
Note that yesterday's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 6.0 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 10 more than yesterday's values - up 166.7%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 6.62%, compared to 6.81% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (3 less than yesterday - down 75.0%) for a total of 1,195 and 344 newly reported probable cases (6 less than yesterday - down 1.7%) for a total of 155,449. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 17 new deaths for a total of 20,709 and 2,124 new cases for a total of 1,889,548. There were 567 COVID-19 patients in hospital (18 less than yesterday - down 3.1%), 53 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (same as yesterday) and 16 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (6 less than yesterday - down 27.3%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,502.0 (259 less than yesterday - down 14.7%), 2,246% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 94.0% below the highest observed value of 23,199.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 6.62% (0 less than yesterday - down 2.9%), 2,050% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 76% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 623.0 (18 less than yesterday - down 2.8%), 641% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 84% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 8.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 14.3%), 700% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 96% below the highest observed value of 176.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,785 non-ICU beds, of which 7,685 (87.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 514 (5.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 586 (6.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,235 ICU beds, of which 972 (78.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 53 (4.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 210 (17.0%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,667 non-ICU beds, of which 7,364 (85.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 532 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 771 (8.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,210 ICU beds, of which 898 (74.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 53 (4.4%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 259 (21.4%) remained available.
One week ago (June 1), the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,528.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 7.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 728.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.72%.
Two weeks ago (May 25), the 7 day confirmed case average was 2,305.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 10.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 825.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 8.33%.
One year ago (June 8, 2021), the 7 day confirmed case average was 120.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 4.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 194.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 0.52% (or 0.74% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
As of June 7, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3220 counties nationwide, 2524 counties (78.39% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 354 counties (10.99% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 235 counties (7.30% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 107 counties (3.32% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts have a Community Tranmission Level of High.
Barnstable County has 261.510 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Berkshire County has 391.380 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Bristol County has 227.350 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Dukes County has 207.710 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Essex County has 258.290 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Franklin County has 247.930 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampden County has 314.560 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampshire County has 283.530 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Middlesex County has 330.960 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Nantucket County has 157.910 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Norfolk County has 287.640 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Plymouth County has 217.000 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Suffolk County has 289.090 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Worcester County has 238.620 cases per 100k, percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
The underlying query for this data is available here.
As of June 2, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3224 counties nationwide: 241 counties (7.48%, representing 21.39% of the population) with High community level, 736 counties (22.83%, representing 34.54% of the population) with Medium community level, and 2247 counties (69.70%, representing 44.07% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported the following COVID Community Levels for the 14 counties in Massachusetts: 5 counties (representing 49.41% of the state's population) with High community level (Barnstable, Franklin, Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk), 8 counties (representing 42.39% of the state's population) with Medium community level (Berkshire, Dukes, Essex, Hampden, Hampshire, Nantucket, Plymouth, Worcester), and 1 counties (representing 8.20% of the state's population) with Low community level (Bristol).
Barnstable County (population 212990) has 209.4 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 352.16 cases per 100k, 8.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 6.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 180.11 cases per 100k, 8.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Low.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 167.32 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Essex County (population 789034) has 212.41 cases per 100k, 8.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 202.34 cases per 100k, 12.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 253.87 cases per 100k, 6.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 228.81 cases per 100k, 6.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 260.22 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 114.05 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 214.21 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 174.4 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 224.9 cases per 100k, 12.7 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.0 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 188.53 cases per 100k, 12.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
The underlying query for this data is available here.
Mostly good news on the day-over-day comparisons. The 16 newly reported deaths today are fewer than the 18 reported yesterday, but yesterday covered three days; today's report is much higher than the average over those three days. On the other hand, newly reported cases and hospitalizations are down, as are the seven-day averages for cases, hospitalizations and percent-positive. Overall, things are noticably better than a couple of weeks ago, and far, far worse than this time last year.
In hopefully good news, Moderna announced today that their new bivalent COVID vaccine provides even better protection against the Omicron variant than their original:
Moderna's experimental COVID-19 vaccine that combines its original shot with protection against the omicron variant appears to work, the company announced Wednesday.
COVID-19 vaccine makers are studying updated boosters that might be offered in the fall to better protect people against future coronavirus surges.
Moderna's preliminary study results show people given the combination shot experienced a higher boost in omicron-fighting antibodies than if they just got a fourth dose of the original vaccine.
"We believe strongly that this data supports an update of the vaccine," Dr. Stephen Hoge, Moderna's president, said Wednesday.
Today's COVID-19 vaccines all are based on the original version of the coronavirus. They're still providing strong protection against severe disease, hospitalization and death even after the appearance of the super-contagious omicron variant -- especially if people have had an initial booster dose.
[ ... ]
Moderna's new study tested people who'd had three prior vaccinations, giving 377 of them a fourth dose of the original vaccine and another 437 the combo shot.
The study wasn't designed to track how well the updated booster prevented COVID-19 cases and it was tested only against omicron, not the variants dominant now. But the bivalent vaccine sparked a nearly eight-fold rise in levels of antibodies capable of fighting omicron. Importantly, that was 1.75 times better than the antibody jump from simply giving a fourth dose of the original vaccine, Moderna said.
The data hasn't undergone scientific review, and these initial measurements were taken a month after booster shots. Antibodies naturally wane so it's not clear how long that protection could last. Moderna plans to track the levels at three and six months but already is manufacturing doses to be ready if regulators in the U.S. or elsewhere order a change for fall shots.
Unfortunately, the study wasn't designed to measure effectiveness against infection, only against severe illness and death. But even better protection against said severe illness and death is still a Good Thing.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 25 active and 3,509 cumulative cases as of June 7. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.