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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 17 newly reported confirmed deaths (5 more than yesterday - up 41.7%) for a total of 19,392 deaths, 3,485 newly reported confirmed cases (401 more than yesterday - up 13.0%) for a total of 1,707,849 cases, and 44,168 newly reported molecular tests (747 less than yesterday - down 1.7%).The seven day average positivity rate is 8.32%, compared to 8.33% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 9.17%; that rate was not reported yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 1,169 and 475 newly reported probable cases (150 less than yesterday - down 24.0%) for a total of 151,611. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 17 new deaths for a total of 20,561 and 3,960 new cases for a total of 1,859,460. There were 814 COVID-19 patients in hospital (2 less than yesterday - down 0.2%), 79 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (2 more than yesterday - up 2.6%) and 31 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (6 less than yesterday - down 16.2%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 2,246.0 (59 less than yesterday - down 2.6%), 3,409% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 91.0% below the highest observed value of 23,198.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 8.32% (0 less than yesterday - down 0.0%), 2,605% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 70% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 817.0 (8 less than yesterday - down 1.0%), 872% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 79% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 11.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 10.0%), 1,000% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 94% below the highest observed value of 176.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,910 non-ICU beds, of which 7,550 (84.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 735 (8.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 625 (7.0%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,246 ICU beds, of which 923 (74.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 79 (6.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 244 (19.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,911 non-ICU beds, of which 7,480 (83.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 739 (8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 692 (7.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,266 ICU beds, of which 950 (75.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 77 (6.1%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 239 (18.9%) remained available.

One week ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 2,986.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 8.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 780.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 9.35% (or 10.62% excluding higher education).

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 2,855.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 7.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 664.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 8.24% (or 9.80% excluding higher education).

One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 230.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 6.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 284.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 0.86% (or 1.31% excluding higher education).

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 3,270 total cases, with a two-week case count of 161 cases, a daily incidence rate of 48.5 which is lower than last week, with a corresponding risk color code of red (if the state was still reporting color codes). Acton is also listed as having 100,819 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 1,780 and a two-week positive test count of 170, for a percent-positive rate of 9.55 which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 1,704,364 total cases, with a two-week case count of 50,455 cases, a daily incidence rate of 51.7 which is higher than last week. Massachusetts is also listed as having 44,924,144 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 605,188 and a two-week positive test count of 54,161, for a percent-positive rate of 8.95 which is higher than last week.

As of July 1, 2021, the state is no longer reporting risk color codes. However, if it was, of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 56 would be coded gray (compared to 62 last week), 19 would be coded green (compared to 14 last week), and 18 would be coded yellow (compared to 23 last week).The remaining 258 towns would be coded red (compared to 252 last week): Abington, Acton, Acushnet, Adams, Agawam, Amesbury, Amherst, Andover, Arlington, Ashburnham, Ashland, Athol, Attleboro, Auburn, Avon, Ayer, Barnstable, Barre, Bedford, Belchertown, Bellingham, Belmont, Berkley, Beverly, Billerica, Blackstone, Bolton, Boston, Bourne, Boxborough, Boxford, Boylston, Braintree, Brewster, Bridgewater, Brockton, Brookline, Burlington, Cambridge, Canton, Carlisle, Carver, Charlton, Chatham, Chelmsford, Cheshire, Chicopee, Clinton, Cohasset, Concord, Dalton, Danvers, Dartmouth, Dedham, Deerfield, Dennis, Dighton, Douglas, Dover, Dracut, Dudley, Duxbury, East Bridgewater, East Longmeadow, Eastham, Easthampton, Easton, Edgartown, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Falmouth, Fitchburg, Foxborough, Framingham, Franklin, Freetown, Gardner, Georgetown, Gloucester, Grafton, Granby, Great Barrington, Greenfield, Groton, Groveland, Hadley, Halifax, Hamilton, Hampden, Hanover, Hanson, Harvard, Harwich, Hatfield, Haverhill, Hingham, Holbrook, Holden, Holliston, Holyoke, Hopedale, Hopkinton, Hudson, Hull, Ipswich, Kingston, Lakeville, Lancaster, Lanesborough, Lawrence, Lee, Leicester, Lenox, Leominster, Lexington, Lincoln, Littleton, Longmeadow, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Manchester, Mansfield, Marblehead, Marion, Marlborough, Marshfield, Mashpee, Mattapoisett, Maynard, Medfield, Medford, Medway, Melrose, Mendon, Methuen, Middleborough, Middleton, Milford, Millbury, Millis, Milton, Monson, Montague, Nahant, Nantucket, Natick, Needham, New Bedford, Newbury, Newburyport, Newton, Norfolk, North Adams, North Andover, North Attleborough, North Reading, Northborough, Northbridge, Norton, Norwell, Norwood, Orange, Orleans, Oxford, Palmer, Paxton, Peabody, Pembroke, Pepperell, Pittsfield, Plainville, Plymouth, Quincy, Randolph, Raynham, Reading, Rehoboth, Revere, Rockland, Rockport, Rowley, Rutland, Salem, Salisbury, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Sharon, Sheffield, Sherborn, Shirley, Shrewsbury, Somerset, Somerville, Southampton, Southborough, Southbridge, Southwick, Spencer, Springfield, Sterling, Stoneham, Stoughton, Stow, Sturbridge, Sudbury, Sunderland, Sutton, Swampscott, Swansea, Taunton, Templeton, Tewksbury, Tisbury, Topsfield, Townsend, Tyngsborough, Upton, Uxbridge, Wakefield, Walpole, Waltham, Ware, Wareham, Watertown, Wayland, Webster, Wellesley, Wenham, West Boylston, West Bridgewater, West Brookfield, West Springfield, Westborough, Westfield, Westford, Westminster, Weston, Westport, Westwood, Weymouth, Whitman, Wilbraham, Williamstown, Wilmington, Winchendon, Winchester, Winthrop, Woburn, Worcester, Wrentham, and Yarmouth.

6 cities/towns would be newly coded red this week (Avon, Edgartown, Hatfield, Norton, Sherborn, and Shirley) and 0 cities/towns would no longer be coded red this week ().

Of the 10 towns nearby (including my own town), none are coded gray, none are coded green, none are coded yellow, and 10 are coded red (Acton, Boxborough, Carlisle, Chelmsford, Concord, Littleton, Maynard, Stow, Sudbury, and Westford).

Of the 10 towns near my church, none are coded gray, one is coded green (Berlin), none are coded yellow, and 9 are coded red (Acton, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, Stow, and Sudbury).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

As of May 25, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3220 counties nationwide, 1971 counties (61.21% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 500 counties (15.53% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 537 counties (16.68% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 212 counties (6.58% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 13 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester), and 1 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Nantucket).

Barnstable County has 273.720 cases per 100k, 9.27 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Berkshire County has 591.460 cases per 100k, 9.95 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Bristol County has 276.880 cases per 100k, 9.17 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Dukes County has 294.250 cases per 100k, 7.35 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Essex County has 300.110 cases per 100k, 9.49 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Franklin County has 267.880 cases per 100k, 6.92 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampden County has 406.110 cases per 100k, 11.35 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Hampshire County has 446.430 cases per 100k, 6.42 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Middlesex County has 371.160 cases per 100k, 8.78 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Nantucket County has 87.730 cases per 100k, 8.48 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Norfolk County has 326.130 cases per 100k, 9.73 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Plymouth County has 269.190 cases per 100k, 9.02 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Suffolk County has 362.230 cases per 100k, 8.9 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
Worcester County has 291.350 cases per 100k, 8.61 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of high
The underlying query for this data is available here.

As of May 26, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3223 counties nationwide: 250 counties (7.76%, representing 23.10% of the population) with High community level, 668 counties (20.73%, representing 32.55% of the population) with Medium community level, and 2305 counties (71.52%, representing 44.35% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported the following COVID Community Levels for the 14 counties in Massachusetts: 11 counties (representing 90.73% of the state's population) with High community level (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester), and 3 counties (representing 9.27% of the state's population) with Medium community level (Hampden, Hampshire, Nantucket).

Barnstable County (population 212990) has 271.84 cases per 100k, 15.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 550.65 cases per 100k, 15.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 9.6 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 271.4 cases per 100k, 10.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.3 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 305.79 cases per 100k, 15.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Essex County (population 789034) has 296.95 cases per 100k, 10.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 5.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 265.03 cases per 100k, 14.3 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 383.6 cases per 100k, 8.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 6.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 409.75 cases per 100k, 8.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 6.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of Medium.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 355.96 cases per 100k, 15.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 96.5 cases per 100k, 15.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Medium.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 325.85 cases per 100k, 15.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 272.45 cases per 100k, 15.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 339.22 cases per 100k, 15.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.7 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 270.28 cases per 100k, 14.3 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of High and a community level of High.
The underlying query for this data is available here.

Day-to-day deaths and cases are up, but hospitalizations are down very slightly. The seven-day averages for cases, hospitalizations and percent-positive are all down compared to yesterday, but that for deaths ticked upward.

The state's city/town data is also out, and it's too damn depressing, with every single town bordering mine having high enough case counts and percent-positive to warrant the worst "red" risk code (if the state still cared, that is).

Nationally, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have updated their COVID Community Levels page. The count of counties with High level is actually down slightly (from 297 last week to 250 this week), but the percentage of the population living in High level counties is actually much higher (23.10% this week compared to 16.14% last week). The number of Medium counties is up while that of Low counties is down; more importantly, this week most Americans live in High or Medium counties (55.65% in High or Medium, 44.35% in Low). Here in Massachusetts, the CDC is again putting eleven of fourteen counties (representing 90.73% of the population) in the High level, meaning indoor public masking is recommended for everybody. (Most of the folks I see in the grocery store aren't wearing masks, although most of the staff are masked up.)

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 43 active and 3,389 cumulative cases as of May 25. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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