Local COVID-19 updates
Apr. 12th, 2022 06:33 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeAs of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 12 newly reported confirmed deaths (5 more than yesterday - up 71.4%) for a total of 19,049 deaths, 1,712 newly reported confirmed cases (2,288 less than yesterday - down 57.2%) for a total of 1,580,245 cases, and 40,660 newly reported molecular tests (71,712 less than yesterday - down 63.8%).
Note that today's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 4.0 newly reported deaths per day (3 less than yesterday - down 42.9%).
Note that yesterday's case/test data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 1,333.3 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 379 more than yesterday's values - up 28.4%. There were 37,457.3 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 3,203 more than yesterday's values - up 8.6%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 3.42%, compared to 3.00% yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (4 less than yesterday) for a total of 1,117 and 270 newly reported probable cases (3 more than yesterday - up 1.1%) for a total of 135,904. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 12 new deaths for a total of 20,166 and 1,982 new cases for a total of 1,716,149. There were 262 COVID-19 patients in hospital (19 more than yesterday - up 7.8%), 33 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (3 less than yesterday - down 8.3%) and 15 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (9 less than yesterday - down 37.5%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,222.0 (8 more than yesterday - up 0.7%), 1,809% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 95.0% below the highest observed value of 23,204.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.42% (0 more than yesterday - up 14.3%), 1,011% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 88% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 236.0 (14 more than yesterday - up 6.3%), 180% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 94% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 4.0 (same as yesterday), 300% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 98% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,693 non-ICU beds, of which 7,572 (87.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 229 (2.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 892 (10.3%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,218 ICU beds, of which 922 (75.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 33 (2.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 263 (21.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,840 non-ICU beds, of which 7,853 (88.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 207 (2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 780 (8.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,254 ICU beds, of which 934 (74.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 36 (2.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 284 (22.6%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 736.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 4.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 223.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.20%.
One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,613.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 714.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.30% (or 3.97% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
As of April 11, 2022, the CDC reported that, of 3218 counties nationwide, 420 counties (13.05% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 406 counties (12.62% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 1440 counties (44.75% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 952 counties (29.58% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 8 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Berkshire, Essex, Franklin, Hampshire, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Suffolk), and 6 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Barnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Hampden, Plymouth, Worcester).
As of April 7, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3224 counties nationwide: 19 counties (0.59%) with High community level, 123 counties (3.82%) with Medium community level, and 3082 counties (95.60%) with Low community level. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts have a COVID Community Level of Low.
Almost all the day-to-day comparisons are bad. Deaths are up while cases are down, but the weirdness of the state's weekend reporting means that both today's deaths and yesterday's cases are three-day totals; using the three-day averages for comparison, deaths are down and cases are up. In fact, today's 1,712 newly reported cases are the highest for a single-day Tuesday since 1,792 were reported on February 8. Hospitalizations are also up, to the highest level reported since March 9. All four of the seven-day averages are also up, with percent-positive in particular leaping nearly half a percentage point to 3.42%.
While the CDC's data API for county-level community transmission isn't reporting today's data yet, the agency's COVID-19 Integrated County View page for Massachusetts does have today's data available if one clicks on the "County Level Latest Data for Massachusetts" button. That list shows Suffolk County with a seven-day case rate per 100k population of 206.62, above the 200.0 threshold for a "Community Level" of Medium. Middlesex County (190.61), Berkshire (184.08) and Hampshire (169.74) are close behind. I'm going to go out on a little bit of a limb and say that, come Thursday when the CDC next updates its "Community Level", at least three counties in Massachusetts will be upgraded to Medium level. (So far, the hospitalization counts are still low enough that we shouldn't see any High community level. For a while, at least.)
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is currently displaying a "Data Set Configuration Error" message and 2,945 cumulative cases. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.
Note that today's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 4.0 newly reported deaths per day (3 less than yesterday - down 42.9%).
Note that yesterday's case/test data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 1,333.3 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 379 more than yesterday's values - up 28.4%. There were 37,457.3 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 3,203 more than yesterday's values - up 8.6%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 3.42%, compared to 3.00% yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (4 less than yesterday) for a total of 1,117 and 270 newly reported probable cases (3 more than yesterday - up 1.1%) for a total of 135,904. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 12 new deaths for a total of 20,166 and 1,982 new cases for a total of 1,716,149. There were 262 COVID-19 patients in hospital (19 more than yesterday - up 7.8%), 33 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (3 less than yesterday - down 8.3%) and 15 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (9 less than yesterday - down 37.5%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,222.0 (8 more than yesterday - up 0.7%), 1,809% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 95.0% below the highest observed value of 23,204.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.42% (0 more than yesterday - up 14.3%), 1,011% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 88% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 236.0 (14 more than yesterday - up 6.3%), 180% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 94% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 4.0 (same as yesterday), 300% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 98% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,693 non-ICU beds, of which 7,572 (87.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 229 (2.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 892 (10.3%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,218 ICU beds, of which 922 (75.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 33 (2.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 263 (21.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,840 non-ICU beds, of which 7,853 (88.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 207 (2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 780 (8.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,254 ICU beds, of which 934 (74.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 36 (2.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 284 (22.6%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 736.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 4.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 223.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.20%.
One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,613.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 714.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.30% (or 3.97% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
As of April 11, 2022, the CDC reported that, of 3218 counties nationwide, 420 counties (13.05% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 406 counties (12.62% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 1440 counties (44.75% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 952 counties (29.58% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 8 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Berkshire, Essex, Franklin, Hampshire, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Suffolk), and 6 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Barnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Hampden, Plymouth, Worcester).
As of April 7, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3224 counties nationwide: 19 counties (0.59%) with High community level, 123 counties (3.82%) with Medium community level, and 3082 counties (95.60%) with Low community level. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts have a COVID Community Level of Low.
Almost all the day-to-day comparisons are bad. Deaths are up while cases are down, but the weirdness of the state's weekend reporting means that both today's deaths and yesterday's cases are three-day totals; using the three-day averages for comparison, deaths are down and cases are up. In fact, today's 1,712 newly reported cases are the highest for a single-day Tuesday since 1,792 were reported on February 8. Hospitalizations are also up, to the highest level reported since March 9. All four of the seven-day averages are also up, with percent-positive in particular leaping nearly half a percentage point to 3.42%.
While the CDC's data API for county-level community transmission isn't reporting today's data yet, the agency's COVID-19 Integrated County View page for Massachusetts does have today's data available if one clicks on the "County Level Latest Data for Massachusetts" button. That list shows Suffolk County with a seven-day case rate per 100k population of 206.62, above the 200.0 threshold for a "Community Level" of Medium. Middlesex County (190.61), Berkshire (184.08) and Hampshire (169.74) are close behind. I'm going to go out on a little bit of a limb and say that, come Thursday when the CDC next updates its "Community Level", at least three counties in Massachusetts will be upgraded to Medium level. (So far, the hospitalization counts are still low enough that we shouldn't see any High community level. For a while, at least.)
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is currently displaying a "Data Set Configuration Error" message and 2,945 cumulative cases. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.