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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 4 newly reported confirmed deaths (3 less than yesterday - down 42.9%) for a total of 17,270 deaths, 786 newly reported confirmed cases (329 less than yesterday - down 29.5%) for a total of 647,768 cases, and 61,480 newly reported molecular tests (37,807 less than yesterday - down 38.1%). The seven day average positivity rate is 1.49%, compared to 1.56% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 2.57%, compared to 2.62% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 24,104 (527 less than yesterday - down 2.1%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 351 and 107 newly reported probable cases (84 less than yesterday - down 44.0%) for a total of 43,404. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 4 new deaths for a total of 17,621 and 893 new cases for a total of 691,172. There were 525 COVID-19 patients in hospital (16 less than yesterday - down 3.0%), 143 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (3 less than yesterday - down 2.1%) and 81 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (3 more than yesterday - up 3.8%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 869.0 (4 more than yesterday - up 0.5%), 453% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 87.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 1.49% (0 less than yesterday - down 4.6%), 93% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 95% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 588.0 (13 less than yesterday - down 2.2%), 279% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 85% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (same as yesterday), 0% above the lowest observed value of 9.0 on 4/30/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 9,186 non-ICU beds, of which 7,305 (79.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 382 (4.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,499 (16.3%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,393 ICU beds, of which 907 (65.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 143 (10.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 343 (24.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,227 non-ICU beds, of which 7,567 (82.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 395 (4%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,265 (13.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,390 ICU beds, of which 905 (65.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 146 (10.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 339 (24.4%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,318.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 8.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 703.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.97% (or 3.42% excluding higher education).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

Great to see deaths and cases down day-to-day; however, the corresponding drop in tests makes me suspicious that the cases drop, at least, may be due to weekend reporting wonkiness rather than an actual improvement in the overall situation. Drops in estimated active cases and hospitalization counts are encouraging, as are the drops in the seven-day averages for hospitalizations and percent-positive (both day-to-day and compared to two weeks ago). Less encouraging is the day-to-day uptick in the seven-day case average, and the fact that all three averages are still well above their lows of last summer.

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 12 active and 961 cumulative cases as of May 2. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 6PM on April 27, 2021 reported 951 cumulative cases with 13 individuals in isolation, 906 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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