Local COVID-19 updates
Apr. 16th, 2021 05:41 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeAs of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 13 newly reported confirmed deaths (8 more than yesterday - up 160.0%) for a total of 17,100 deaths, 1,962 newly reported confirmed cases (78 more than yesterday - up 4.1%) for a total of 628,512 cases, and 107,587 newly reported molecular tests (6,066 more than yesterday - up 6.0%). The seven day average positivity rate is 2.28%, compared to 2.30% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 3.92%, compared to 4.09% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 35,100 (378 less than yesterday - down 1.1%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 345 and 254 newly reported probable cases (15 more than yesterday - up 6.3%) for a total of 40,770. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 13 new deaths for a total of 17,445 and 2,216 new cases for a total of 669,282. There were 699 COVID-19 patients in hospital (11 less than yesterday - down 1.5%), 164 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (2 more than yesterday - up 1.2%) and 98 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (4 less than yesterday - down 3.9%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,359.0 (36 less than yesterday - down 2.6%), 765% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 79.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.28% (0 less than yesterday - down 1.1%), 195% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 92% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 703.0 (5 less than yesterday - down 0.7%), 353% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 82% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 12.5%), 12% above the lowest observed value of 8.0 on 4/15/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,205 non-ICU beds, of which 7,646 (83.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 535 (5.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,024 (11.1%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,385 ICU beds, of which 881 (63.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 164 (11.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 340 (24.5%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,262 non-ICU beds, of which 7,606 (82.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 548 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,108 (12.0%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,385 ICU beds, of which 887 (64.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 162 (11.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 336 (24.3%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,556.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 25.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 677.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.55% (or 4.24% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
A mixed bag at best. Deaths and cases are both up day-by-day, but estimated total cases, hospitalizations and three of the four seven-day averages are all down compared to yesterday. The seven-day hospitalization average is still noticably above where it was two weeks ago; however, the other three averages are all well below that day's numbers, which does qualify as a good sign.
Mind, those case numbers are still way, way too high for comfort; the good folks at https://www.covidactnow.org/ show Massachusetts as having the twelfth-highest daily incidence rate in the nation, at 29.2 daily cases per 100k population. To be considered low risk per the Key Metrics for COVID Suppression paper from the Harvard Global Health Institute, we would have to have a daily incidence rate of less than one daily case per 100k population. We ain't anywhere near there yet.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 38 active and 927 cumulative cases as of April 15. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 4:45PM on April 13, 2021 reported 914 cumulative cases with 30 individuals in isolation, 852 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,359.0 (36 less than yesterday - down 2.6%), 765% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 79.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.28% (0 less than yesterday - down 1.1%), 195% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 92% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 703.0 (5 less than yesterday - down 0.7%), 353% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 82% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 12.5%), 12% above the lowest observed value of 8.0 on 4/15/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,205 non-ICU beds, of which 7,646 (83.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 535 (5.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,024 (11.1%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,385 ICU beds, of which 881 (63.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 164 (11.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 340 (24.5%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,262 non-ICU beds, of which 7,606 (82.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 548 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,108 (12.0%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,385 ICU beds, of which 887 (64.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 162 (11.7%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 336 (24.3%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,556.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 25.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 677.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.55% (or 4.24% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
A mixed bag at best. Deaths and cases are both up day-by-day, but estimated total cases, hospitalizations and three of the four seven-day averages are all down compared to yesterday. The seven-day hospitalization average is still noticably above where it was two weeks ago; however, the other three averages are all well below that day's numbers, which does qualify as a good sign.
Mind, those case numbers are still way, way too high for comfort; the good folks at https://www.covidactnow.org/ show Massachusetts as having the twelfth-highest daily incidence rate in the nation, at 29.2 daily cases per 100k population. To be considered low risk per the Key Metrics for COVID Suppression paper from the Harvard Global Health Institute, we would have to have a daily incidence rate of less than one daily case per 100k population. We ain't anywhere near there yet.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 38 active and 927 cumulative cases as of April 15. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 4:45PM on April 13, 2021 reported 914 cumulative cases with 30 individuals in isolation, 852 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.