Local COVID-19 updates
Apr. 7th, 2021 07:02 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeThe state changed the raw data file format again today, and again it broke my loader software. It was a fairly straightforward fix; they're now breaking out the weekly case numbers by age for kids into four age groups (0-4 years old, 5-9, 10-14, and 15-19). It's not a data point I've been tracking, but there's other information in that sheet that I was using and thus my loader had to care that the format changed.
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 21 newly reported confirmed deaths (9 more than yesterday - up 75.0%) for a total of 17,014 deaths, 2,292 newly reported confirmed cases (726 more than yesterday - up 46.4%) for a total of 611,825 cases, and 118,123 newly reported molecular tests (56,872 more than yesterday - up 92.9%). The seven day average positivity rate is 2.46%, compared to 2.50% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 4.14%, compared to 4.16% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 35,075 (423 more than yesterday - up 1.2%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 344 and 258 newly reported probable cases (21 more than yesterday - up 8.9%) for a total of 38,748. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 21 new deaths for a total of 17,358 and 2,550 new cases for a total of 650,573. There were 755 COVID-19 patients in hospital (30 more than yesterday - up 4.1%), 179 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (10 more than yesterday - up 5.9%) and 105 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (8 more than yesterday - up 8.2%).
Today being Wednesday, the weekly data points were also updated. The average age of hospitalized patients over the past week is 61 (3 less than last week - down 4.7%) while the average age of deaths over the last two weeks is 76 (1 less than last week - down 1.3%). The fourteen-day average test turnaround time (from sample draw to DPH report) is 1.31 (compared to 1.29 last week). The average daily incidence per 100k population over the last 14 days is 28.1 (compared to 25.6 last week).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,477.0 (2 less than yesterday - down 0.1%), 840% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 77.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.46% (0 less than yesterday - down 1.7%), 219% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 91% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 713.0 (5 more than yesterday - up 0.7%), 360% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 82% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 22.0 (same as yesterday), 100% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 88% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,220 non-ICU beds, of which 7,377 (80.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 576 (6.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,267 (13.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,400 ICU beds, of which 857 (61.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 179 (12.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 364 (26.0%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,119 non-ICU beds, of which 6,872 (75.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 556 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,691 (18.5%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,382 ICU beds, of which 829 (60.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 169 (12.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 384 (27.8%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,292.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 29.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 600.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.23% (or 3.85% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
The day-to-day changes are mostly bad. Deaths, cases, estimated active cases, and hospitalizations are all up, along with the seven-day average hospitalization count; on the other hand, the seven-day averages for cases and percent-positive are both (slightly) down. Longer-term trends continue mostly bad, and the 14-day incidence rate is unsurprisingly up again.
Meanwhile, Governor Charlie Baker keeps talking about vaccinations, with emphasis on how much the Federal government is controlling both availability and distribution (by pushing so much through retail pharmacies:
Alas, no mention of rising case counts. Typically, more cases eventually turns into more hospitalizations, and then into more deaths; we'll just have to see if the big vaccination push has changed that calculus.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 41 active and 894 cumulative cases as of April 7. The corresponding values for April 6 were 34 current and 882 cumulative cases. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 1:30PM on April 3, 2021 reported 871 cumulative cases with 38 individuals in isolation, 801 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 21 newly reported confirmed deaths (9 more than yesterday - up 75.0%) for a total of 17,014 deaths, 2,292 newly reported confirmed cases (726 more than yesterday - up 46.4%) for a total of 611,825 cases, and 118,123 newly reported molecular tests (56,872 more than yesterday - up 92.9%). The seven day average positivity rate is 2.46%, compared to 2.50% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 4.14%, compared to 4.16% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 35,075 (423 more than yesterday - up 1.2%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 344 and 258 newly reported probable cases (21 more than yesterday - up 8.9%) for a total of 38,748. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 21 new deaths for a total of 17,358 and 2,550 new cases for a total of 650,573. There were 755 COVID-19 patients in hospital (30 more than yesterday - up 4.1%), 179 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (10 more than yesterday - up 5.9%) and 105 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (8 more than yesterday - up 8.2%).
Today being Wednesday, the weekly data points were also updated. The average age of hospitalized patients over the past week is 61 (3 less than last week - down 4.7%) while the average age of deaths over the last two weeks is 76 (1 less than last week - down 1.3%). The fourteen-day average test turnaround time (from sample draw to DPH report) is 1.31 (compared to 1.29 last week). The average daily incidence per 100k population over the last 14 days is 28.1 (compared to 25.6 last week).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,477.0 (2 less than yesterday - down 0.1%), 840% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 77.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.46% (0 less than yesterday - down 1.7%), 219% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 91% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 713.0 (5 more than yesterday - up 0.7%), 360% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 82% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 22.0 (same as yesterday), 100% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 88% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,220 non-ICU beds, of which 7,377 (80.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 576 (6.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,267 (13.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,400 ICU beds, of which 857 (61.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 179 (12.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 364 (26.0%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,119 non-ICU beds, of which 6,872 (75.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 556 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,691 (18.5%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,382 ICU beds, of which 829 (60.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 169 (12.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 384 (27.8%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,292.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 29.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 600.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.23% (or 3.85% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
The day-to-day changes are mostly bad. Deaths, cases, estimated active cases, and hospitalizations are all up, along with the seven-day average hospitalization count; on the other hand, the seven-day averages for cases and percent-positive are both (slightly) down. Longer-term trends continue mostly bad, and the 14-day incidence rate is unsurprisingly up again.
Meanwhile, Governor Charlie Baker keeps talking about vaccinations, with emphasis on how much the Federal government is controlling both availability and distribution (by pushing so much through retail pharmacies:
About 1.5 million Massachusetts residents have preregistered to book a COVID-19 vaccine appointment since the state's online system launched last month, Governor Charlie Baker said Wednesday.
Baker said more than 800,000 people who preregistered have received "the opportunity to book appointments."
The preregistration system, available on the state's website, initially offered appointments at seven mass vaccination sites across the state.
After touring a vaccination site in Revere, Baker said the state later this week will add two regional vaccination collaboratives to the preregistration system, in Amherst-Northampton and Marshfield.
"The vaccine is obviously a crucial part of how we get past the pandemic," Baker said, adding that more than 4 million doses have been administered in Massachusetts, with 1.5 million residents fully vaccinated. The state is focused on vaccinating the senior population and communities of color, groups disproportionately affected by the pandemic, he said.
[ ... ]
"The feds have made really clear that they view the retail pharmacy channel as the primary channel, from their point of view, with respect to geographic distribution," Baker said. "When they talk about on April 19 getting to the point where it's open for every, everybody should be open and eligible — which we think is great, since we picked that day too, I'm glad they followed our lead — the big thing they say is by then, everybody in America will be within five miles of a [vaccination] site. And a huge part of the way they think about that is driven 100 percent by the pharmacy, the retail pharmacy rollout."
The federal government is "also putting a lot of doses into community health centers, as are we, to make sure that we have plenty of available supply to serve those communities," Baker added. "But the more people talk about, you know, where else and how else this can be done, for me that all comes down to how much supply is actually going to be available."
Alas, no mention of rising case counts. Typically, more cases eventually turns into more hospitalizations, and then into more deaths; we'll just have to see if the big vaccination push has changed that calculus.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 41 active and 894 cumulative cases as of April 7. The corresponding values for April 6 were 34 current and 882 cumulative cases. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 1:30PM on April 3, 2021 reported 871 cumulative cases with 38 individuals in isolation, 801 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.