Local COVID-19 updates
Apr. 5th, 2021 05:40 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeToday's state dashboard includes the following notice:
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 43 newly reported confirmed deaths (13 more than Saturday - up 43.3%) for a total of 16,981 deaths, 2,912 newly reported confirmed cases (649 more than Saturday - up 28.7%) for a total of 607,967 cases, and 113,587 newly reported molecular tests (2,929 less than Saturday - down 2.5%). The seven day average positivity rate is 2.36%, compared to 2.44% Saturday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 3.90%, compared to 4.05% Saturday. The number of estimated active cases was 35,167 (1,010 more than Saturday - up 3.0%). The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (1 less than Saturday - down 50.0%) for a total of 344 and 76 newly reported probable cases (114 less than Saturday - down 60.0%) for a total of 38,253. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 44 new deaths for a total of 17,325 and 2,988 new cases for a total of 646,220. There were 707 COVID-19 patients in hospital (same as Saturday), 163 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (1 less than Saturday - down 0.6%) and 93 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (same as Saturday).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,629.0 (56 more than Saturday - up 3.6%), 937% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 74.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.36% (0 less than Saturday - down 3.3%), 206% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 91% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 701.0 (14 more than Saturday - up 2.0%), 352% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 82% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 24.0 (1 less than Saturday - down 4.0%), 118% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 87% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,038 non-ICU beds, of which 6,716 (74.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 544 (6.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,778 (19.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,382 ICU beds, of which 838 (60.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 163 (11.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 381 (27.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported Saturday a total of 9,198 non-ICU beds, of which 7,344 (79.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 543 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,311 (14.3%) remained available. Hospitals also reported Saturday a total of 1,386 ICU beds, of which 872 (62.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 164 (11.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 350 (25.3%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,354.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 27.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 601.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.00% (or 3.43% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
We see a mixed bag day-to-day. Deaths and cases are up, neither of which are good. On the other hand, neither deaths nor cases are twice or more Saturday's numbers, so the jump is conceivably due in part to being two day's worth of data reported at once. On the other other hand, tests were actually down, which is quite bad for a two-day number, and the estimated total active cases count is up (which is bad no matter what). The seven-day case and hospitalization averages are up (never good), while the seven-day percent-positive and death averages are down slightly (better).
Compared to two weeks ago, though, the seven-day case, hospitalization and percent-positive averages are all up, which is terrible. Especially given that two weeks ago was when Governor Charlie Baker moved the state to Phase 4 Step 1 of the reopening plan. I guess this isn't a "significant surge" in cases. Yet.
Today, Massachusetts expanded eligibility for COVID-19 vaccinations to include folks 55 years of age or older, as well as those with one or more of the "certain medical conditions" listed on the Centers for Disease Prevention and Control website; everyone 16 years old or older will be eligible on April 19. (That age limitation is based on the age limits of the current Emergency Use Authorizations.)
Of course, the state still has folks chasing multiple websites to try and find appointments, and there still isn't anywhere near enough vaccine available to meet demand.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 28 active and 876 cumulative cases as of April 5. For both April 3 and 4, the town showed 30 active and 871 cumulative cases. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 1:30PM on April 3, 2021 reported 871 cumulative cases with 38 individuals in isolation, 801 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.
Please note: Because the dashboard was not posted on Sunday, April 4th, the report for Monday, April 5th includes two days of data.So, on the one hand, I'd expect today's numbers to be noticably higher than normal (because two days of data), but on the other hand I'd expect today's numbers to be lower than normal (because weekend reporting wonkiness). What do we actually see?
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 43 newly reported confirmed deaths (13 more than Saturday - up 43.3%) for a total of 16,981 deaths, 2,912 newly reported confirmed cases (649 more than Saturday - up 28.7%) for a total of 607,967 cases, and 113,587 newly reported molecular tests (2,929 less than Saturday - down 2.5%). The seven day average positivity rate is 2.36%, compared to 2.44% Saturday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 3.90%, compared to 4.05% Saturday. The number of estimated active cases was 35,167 (1,010 more than Saturday - up 3.0%). The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (1 less than Saturday - down 50.0%) for a total of 344 and 76 newly reported probable cases (114 less than Saturday - down 60.0%) for a total of 38,253. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 44 new deaths for a total of 17,325 and 2,988 new cases for a total of 646,220. There were 707 COVID-19 patients in hospital (same as Saturday), 163 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (1 less than Saturday - down 0.6%) and 93 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (same as Saturday).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,629.0 (56 more than Saturday - up 3.6%), 937% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 74.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.36% (0 less than Saturday - down 3.3%), 206% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 91% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 701.0 (14 more than Saturday - up 2.0%), 352% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 82% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 24.0 (1 less than Saturday - down 4.0%), 118% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 87% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,038 non-ICU beds, of which 6,716 (74.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 544 (6.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,778 (19.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,382 ICU beds, of which 838 (60.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 163 (11.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 381 (27.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported Saturday a total of 9,198 non-ICU beds, of which 7,344 (79.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 543 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,311 (14.3%) remained available. Hospitals also reported Saturday a total of 1,386 ICU beds, of which 872 (62.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 164 (11.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 350 (25.3%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,354.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 27.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 601.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.00% (or 3.43% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
We see a mixed bag day-to-day. Deaths and cases are up, neither of which are good. On the other hand, neither deaths nor cases are twice or more Saturday's numbers, so the jump is conceivably due in part to being two day's worth of data reported at once. On the other other hand, tests were actually down, which is quite bad for a two-day number, and the estimated total active cases count is up (which is bad no matter what). The seven-day case and hospitalization averages are up (never good), while the seven-day percent-positive and death averages are down slightly (better).
Compared to two weeks ago, though, the seven-day case, hospitalization and percent-positive averages are all up, which is terrible. Especially given that two weeks ago was when Governor Charlie Baker moved the state to Phase 4 Step 1 of the reopening plan. I guess this isn't a "significant surge" in cases. Yet.
Today, Massachusetts expanded eligibility for COVID-19 vaccinations to include folks 55 years of age or older, as well as those with one or more of the "certain medical conditions" listed on the Centers for Disease Prevention and Control website; everyone 16 years old or older will be eligible on April 19. (That age limitation is based on the age limits of the current Emergency Use Authorizations.)
Of course, the state still has folks chasing multiple websites to try and find appointments, and there still isn't anywhere near enough vaccine available to meet demand.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 28 active and 876 cumulative cases as of April 5. For both April 3 and 4, the town showed 30 active and 871 cumulative cases. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 1:30PM on April 3, 2021 reported 871 cumulative cases with 38 individuals in isolation, 801 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.