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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 30 newly reported confirmed deaths (16 less than yesterday - down 34.8%) for a total of 14,317 deaths, 2,270 newly reported confirmed cases (276 less than yesterday - down 10.8%) for a total of 500,415 cases, and 88,302 newly reported molecular tests (5,616 less than yesterday - down 6.0%). The seven day average positivity rate is 3.53%, compared to 3.61% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 5.27%, compared to 5.29% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 71,929 (19 less than yesterday - down 0.0%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 290 and 128 newly reported probable cases (9 more than yesterday - up 7.6%) for a total of 26,008. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 30 new deaths for a total of 14,607 and 2,398 new cases for a total of 526,423. There were 1,676 COVID-19 patients in hospital (same as yesterday), 373 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (2 more than yesterday - up 0.5%) and 222 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (9 less than yesterday - down 3.9%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 2,543.0 (116 more than yesterday - up 4.8%), 1,519% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 60.0% below the highest observed value of 6,240.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.53% (0 less than yesterday - down 2.3%), 358% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 87% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 1,824.0 (34 less than yesterday - down 1.8%), 1,076% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 53% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 50.0 (5 less than yesterday - down 9.1%), 354% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 72% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 9,145 non-ICU beds, of which 6,109 (66.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,303 (14.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,733 (19.0%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,477 ICU beds, of which 759 (51.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 373 (25.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 345 (23.4%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,178 non-ICU beds, of which 6,352 (69.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,305 (14%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,521 (16.6%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,483 ICU beds, of which 791 (53.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 371 (25.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 321 (21.6%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,786.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 62.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,204.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.91% (or 7.24% excluding higher education).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

The day-to-day drops in deaths and cases are nice, but it's Monday which means we're still dealing with weekend reporting lags, so I'm not overly excited. I'm also not happy that the ICU count ticked up slightly; I am happy to see the percent-positive rate continue downward, as well as seeing the continuing improvements in the seven-day averages compared to two weeks ago.

One year ago today, Massachusetts reported its first COVID-19 case. I didn't start posting these local COVID-19 updates until March 13. Today, the state's total confirmed case count topped half a million. Not a pleasant milestone.

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 47 active and 685 cumulative cases as of January 31. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 1:30PM on January 25, 2021 reported 655 cumulative cases with 49 individuals in isolation, 575 persons recovered and 31 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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