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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 83 newly reported confirmed deaths (42 more than yesterday - up 102.4%) for a total of 14,013 deaths, 3,022 newly reported confirmed cases (807 more than yesterday - up 36.4%) for a total of 484,639 cases, and 96,203 newly reported molecular tests (46,502 more than yesterday - up 93.6%). The seven day average positivity rate is 4.67%, compared to 4.77% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 6.44%, compared to 6.37% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 80,909 (4,486 less than yesterday - down 5.3%). The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (same as yesterday) for a total of 291 and 298 newly reported probable cases (18 more than yesterday - up 6.4%) for a total of 24,864. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 84 new deaths for a total of 14,304 and 3,320 new cases for a total of 509,503. There were 1,930 COVID-19 patients in hospital (21 less than yesterday - down 1.1%), 418 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (13 less than yesterday - down 3.0%) and 270 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (8 less than yesterday - down 2.9%).

Today being Wednesday, the weekly data points were also updated. The average age of hospitalized patients over the past week is 70 (1 less than last week - down 1.4%) while the average age of deaths over the last two weeks is 80 (1 more than last week - up 1.3%). The fourteen-day average test turnaround time (from sample draw to DPH report) is 1.92 (compared to 2.05 last week). The average daily incidence per 100k population over the last 14 days is 59.4 (compared to 75.5 last week).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 2,677.0 (334 less than yesterday - down 11.1%), 1,605% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 58.0% below the highest observed value of 6,240.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 4.67% (0 less than yesterday - down 2.1%), 506% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 83% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 2,037.0 (35 less than yesterday - down 1.7%), 1,214% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 48% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 57.0 (2 more than yesterday - up 3.6%), 418% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 68% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 9,239 non-ICU beds, of which 6,503 (70.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,512 (16.4%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,224 (13.2%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,470 ICU beds, of which 789 (53.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 418 (28.4%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 263 (17.9%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,141 non-ICU beds, of which 6,294 (68.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,520 (17%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,327 (14.5%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,478 ICU beds, of which 745 (50.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 431 (29.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 302 (20.4%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 4,009.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 67.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,282.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.11% (or 8.29% excluding higher education).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

Day to day, cases and deaths are both up a lot; in fact, today Massachusetts passed the rather grim fourteen thousand dead milestone, with a total of 14,013 confirmed COVID deaths. On the other hand, newly reported tests are way up, and overall percent-positive continues its downward trend. Estimated active cases and hospitalization counts are all down as well. The fourteen-day average daily incidence per hundred thousand population is also well down from last week. Despite the day-over-day noisiness, it's starting to look as if the longer-term trends are in fact in the good direction.

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 41 active and 665 cumulative cases as of January 26. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 1:30PM on January 25, 2021 reported 655 cumulative cases with 49 individuals in isolation, 575 persons recovered and 31 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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