Local COVID-19 updates
Jan. 7th, 2021 05:52 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeAs of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 71 newly reported confirmed deaths (28 less than yesterday - down 28.3%) for a total of 12,634 deaths, 7,136 newly reported confirmed cases (717 more than yesterday - up 11.2%) for a total of 393,188 cases, and 108,412 newly reported molecular tests (5,839 more than yesterday - up 5.7%). The seven day average positivity rate is 7.83%, compared to 8.25% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 9.08%, compared to 9.45% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 81,604 (1,637 more than yesterday - up 2.0%). The state also reported 2 newly reported probable deaths (1 less than yesterday - down 33.3%) for a total of 275 and 412 newly reported probable cases (20 less than yesterday - down 4.6%) for a total of 18,413. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 73 new deaths for a total of 12,909 and 7,548 new cases for a total of 411,601. There were 2,386 COVID-19 patients in hospital (30 less than yesterday - down 1.2%), 455 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (13 more than yesterday - up 2.9%) and 277 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (4 less than yesterday - down 1.4%).
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 3,373 (204 more than yesterday - up 6.4%), 2,048% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4 and 31% below the highest observed value of 4,819 on January 2. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 7.8% (0 less than yesterday - down 5.1%), 915% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21 and 72% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on April 15. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 2,342 (16 more than yesterday - up 0.7%), 1,410% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26 and 40% below the highest observed value of 3,874 on April 27. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 61 (1 less than yesterday - down 1.6%), 454% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9 and 66% below the highest observed value of 175 on April 24.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,294 non-ICU beds, of which 6,308 (68%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,931 (21%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,055 (11%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,453 ICU beds, of which 725 (50%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 455 (31%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 273 (19%) remained available. By comparison, yesterday hospitals reported 9,294 non-ICU beds, of which 6,291 (68%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,974 (21%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,029 (11%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,477 ICU beds, of which 730 (49%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 442 (30%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 305 (21%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 2,854, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 52, the 7 day hospitalization average was 1,982, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.8% (or 7.02% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Day-to-day deaths are down a bit, which is nice; the seven-day percent positivity rate is also down, which is nicer. But the number of newly reported cases is not just up substantially. Today's 7,136 newly reported cases mark the first time ever that the state has reported more than seven thousand cases in a single 24-hour period. (The 12/26/2020 and 1/2/2021 reports were higher, but reflected two days of data due to the state not reporting anything on Christmas or New Years Days.) Also concerning are the continued increases in COVID-19 patients in ICUs and on ventilators, and the continued decreases in ICU beds available.
The state used to include city/town level case and test counts, along with a color-coded risk assessment, in its Thursday Weekly Public Health Report. Today's edition does not include that information. The underlying data that used to power that report is now included in the daily raw data file, and (after some poking about) I can find some of that information displayed under the "City and Town" tab of the interactive daily dashboard; however, that dashboard does not include the risk color codes. Has Governor Baker given up on them? In any case, I'll have to tweak my code some more to handle those changes. (Arrgh.)
One thing the Governor is doing: extending the current restrictions for at least two more weeks:
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 41 active and 557 cumulative cases as of January 5; it apparently has not been updated since then. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 9PM on December 15 reported 433 cumulative cases with 63 individuals in isolation, 345 persons recovered and 25 fatalities.
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 3,373 (204 more than yesterday - up 6.4%), 2,048% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4 and 31% below the highest observed value of 4,819 on January 2. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 7.8% (0 less than yesterday - down 5.1%), 915% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21 and 72% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on April 15. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 2,342 (16 more than yesterday - up 0.7%), 1,410% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26 and 40% below the highest observed value of 3,874 on April 27. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 61 (1 less than yesterday - down 1.6%), 454% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9 and 66% below the highest observed value of 175 on April 24.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,294 non-ICU beds, of which 6,308 (68%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,931 (21%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,055 (11%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,453 ICU beds, of which 725 (50%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 455 (31%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 273 (19%) remained available. By comparison, yesterday hospitals reported 9,294 non-ICU beds, of which 6,291 (68%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,974 (21%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,029 (11%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,477 ICU beds, of which 730 (49%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 442 (30%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 305 (21%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 2,854, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 52, the 7 day hospitalization average was 1,982, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.8% (or 7.02% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Day-to-day deaths are down a bit, which is nice; the seven-day percent positivity rate is also down, which is nicer. But the number of newly reported cases is not just up substantially. Today's 7,136 newly reported cases mark the first time ever that the state has reported more than seven thousand cases in a single 24-hour period. (The 12/26/2020 and 1/2/2021 reports were higher, but reflected two days of data due to the state not reporting anything on Christmas or New Years Days.) Also concerning are the continued increases in COVID-19 patients in ICUs and on ventilators, and the continued decreases in ICU beds available.
The state used to include city/town level case and test counts, along with a color-coded risk assessment, in its Thursday Weekly Public Health Report. Today's edition does not include that information. The underlying data that used to power that report is now included in the daily raw data file, and (after some poking about) I can find some of that information displayed under the "City and Town" tab of the interactive daily dashboard; however, that dashboard does not include the risk color codes. Has Governor Baker given up on them? In any case, I'll have to tweak my code some more to handle those changes. (Arrgh.)
One thing the Governor is doing: extending the current restrictions for at least two more weeks:
Governor Charlie Baker said Thursday that the state is extending by two weeks the capacity restrictions on various industries to combat the spread of COVID-19 and that officials are closely eyeing the hospital situation as well.
Baker, speaking during his regular State House news conference, said the restrictions will now be extended until at least Jan. 24, as acute care beds at state hospitals have gone from about 67 percent occupied before Thanksgiving to 83 percent occupied by Dec. 15.
Since mid-December, he said, "we've only recovered one percentage point since that peak."
He said "capacity limits will remain at 25 percent for most businesses," Baker said. "Indoor and outdoor gathering limits will remain 25 people outside and 10 people inside, including for events. And over the next two weeks we'll continue to look at and evaluate the data to make further decisions."
[ ... ]
State Health and Human Services Secretary Marylou Sudders also briefed reporters, detailing efforts to address shrinking hospital capacity statewide amid the spike in COVID cases.
"Earlier today we designated our statewide hospital capacity to the highest level of concern," Sudders said. "Tier 4 is defined as active and ongoing constraint warranting intervention."
Sudders said the seven-day available hospital capacity average is below the established threshold of 20 percent across the state.
"Direct care staff are being reassigned from their regular shifts and units to help care for individuals with COVID-19 and others," Sudders said. "Hospitals are managing by daily patient load balancing, transferring patients within their system, or to other hospitals where capacity exists, as well as to our field hospitals."
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 41 active and 557 cumulative cases as of January 5; it apparently has not been updated since then. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 9PM on December 15 reported 433 cumulative cases with 63 individuals in isolation, 345 persons recovered and 25 fatalities.
(no subject)
Date: 2021-01-10 04:33 am (UTC)My town of Acton is listed as having 548 total cases, with a two-week case count of 75 cases, a daily incidence rate of 22.6 which is lower than last week, and a risk color code of yellow. Acton is also listed as having 24,406 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 2,207 and a two-week positive test count of 89, for a percent-positive rate of 4.03 which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 386,052 total cases, with a two-week case count of 59,568 cases, a daily incidence rate of 61.1 which is higher than last week, and a risk color code of red. Massachusetts is also listed as having 11,308,785 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 888,021 and a two-week positive test count of 68,461, for a percent-positive rate of 7.71 which is higher than last week.
Of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 69 are coded gray (compared to 76 last week), 11 are coded green (compared to 10 last week), and 52 are coded yellow (compared to 75 last week). The remaining 219 towns (compared to 190 last week) are coded red: Abington, Acushnet, Adams, Agawam, Amesbury, Andover, Ashburnham, Ashland, Athol, Attleboro, Auburn, Avon, Ayer, Barnstable, Barre, Belchertown, Bellingham, Berkley, Beverly, Billerica, Blackstone, Bolton, Boston, Bourne, Boxford, Boylston, Braintree, Brewster, Bridgewater, Brockton, Burlington, Canton, Carver, Charlton, Chatham, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Cheshire, Chicopee, Clinton, Cohasset, Danvers, Dartmouth, Dedham, Dennis, Dighton, Douglas, Dracut, Dudley, Duxbury, East Bridgewater, East Brookfield, East Longmeadow, Easthampton, Easton, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Fitchburg, Foxborough, Framingham, Franklin, Freetown, Gardner, Georgetown, Gloucester, Grafton, Granby, Great Barrington, Groveland, Hadley, Halifax, Hamilton, Hampden, Hanover, Hanson, Harwich, Haverhill, Hingham, Holbrook, Holden, Holliston, Holyoke, Hopedale, Hudson, Hull, Ipswich, Kingston, Lakeville, Lancaster, Lawrence, Lee, Leicester, Leominster, Littleton, Longmeadow, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Manchester, Mansfield, Marion, Marlborough, Marshfield, Mashpee, Mattapoisett, Maynard, Medford, Melrose, Merrimac, Methuen, Middleborough, Middleton, Milford, Millbury, Millis, Milton, Monson, Montague, Nahant, Nantucket, New Bedford, Newbury, Norfolk, North Andover, North Attleborough, North Brookfield, North Reading, Northbridge, Norton, Norwell, Norwood, Oak Bluffs, Orange, Orleans, Oxford, Palmer, Paxton, Peabody, Pembroke, Pepperell, Plainville, Plymouth, Quincy, Randolph, Raynham, Reading, Rehoboth, Revere, Rochester, Rockland, Rockport, Rowley, Rutland, Salem, Salisbury, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Shirley, Shrewsbury, Somerset, South Hadley, Southampton, Southborough, Southbridge, Southwick, Spencer, Springfield, Sterling, Stoneham, Stoughton, Stow, Sturbridge, Sutton, Swampscott, Swansea, Taunton, Templeton, Tewksbury, Tisbury, Topsfield, Townsend, Tyngsborough, Upton, Uxbridge, Wakefield, Walpole, Waltham, Ware, Wareham, Warren, Watertown, Wayland, Webster, Wenham, West Boylston, West Bridgewater, West Brookfield, West Springfield, Westfield, Westford, Westminster, Westport, Westwood, Weymouth, Whitman, Wilbraham, Wilmington, Winchendon, Winthrop, Woburn, Worcester, Wrentham, and Yarmouth.
31 cities/towns are newly coded red this week (Adams, Ashland, Barre, Belchertown, Bolton, Bourne, Brewster, Chatham, Cheshire, Duxbury, East Brookfield, Easthampton, Gloucester, Great Barrington, Hampden, Harwich, Hingham, Marion, Maynard, Medford, Nahant, Northbridge, Oak Bluffs, Orleans, Sandwich, Stow, Tisbury, Warren, Watertown, Wayland, and Westwood) and 2 cities/towns are no longer coded red this week (Brookfield, and Dover).
Of the 10 towns near my church, none are coded gray, one is coded green (Harvard), 4 are coded yellow (Acton, Berlin, Boxborough, and Sudbury), and 5 are coded red (Bolton, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, and Stow).