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[personal profile] edschweppe
Massachusetts is still having a Year 2021 problem with its URLs; today, they fixed the URL for the dashboard, but not for the raw data. Oh, the joys of trying to dealing with badly maintained data feeds ...

As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 105 newly reported confirmed deaths (26 more than yesterday - up 32.9%) for a total of 12,341 deaths, 3,110 newly reported confirmed cases (5,432 less than yesterday - down 63.6%) for a total of 371,097 cases, and 44,831 newly reported molecular tests (56,563 less than yesterday - down 55.8%). The seven day average positivity rate is 8.42%, compared to 8.67% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 9.16%, compared to 9.39% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 79,261 (169 more than yesterday - up 0.2%). The state also reported 3 newly reported probable deaths (3 more than yesterday) for a total of 269 and 371 newly reported probable cases (90 less than yesterday - down 19.5%) for a total of 16,565. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 108 new deaths for a total of 12,610 and 3,481 new cases for a total of 387,662. There were 2,291 COVID-19 patients in hospital (11 more than yesterday - up 0.5%), 416 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (4 more than yesterday - up 1.0%) and 258 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (12 more than yesterday - up 4.9%).

Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 3,621 (152 less than yesterday - down 4.0%), 2,206% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4 and 25% below the highest observed value of 4,779 on December 7. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 8.4% (0 less than yesterday - down 2.8%), 993% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21 and 70% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on April 15. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 2,273 (19 more than yesterday - up 0.8%), 1,366% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26 and 42% below the highest observed value of 3,874 on April 27. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 58 (6 more than yesterday - up 11.5%), 427% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9 and 67% below the highest observed value of 175 on April 24.

Statewide, hospitals reported 9,236 non-ICU beds, of which 5,755 (62%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,875 (20%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,606 (17%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,469 ICU beds, of which 659 (45%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 416 (28%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 394 (27%) remained available. By comparison, yesterday hospitals reported 9,257 non-ICU beds, of which 5,775 (62%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,868 (20%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,614 (17%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,478 ICU beds, of which 691 (47%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 412 (28%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 375 (25%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,259, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 47, the 7 day hospitalization average was 1,866, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.8% (or 7.53% excluding higher education).

Anyway, deaths going up day-to-day is bad, and cases dropping a bunch is good; the positivity rate dropping a bit is also good, but the hospitalization counts still going up is bad. In fact, that death count of 105 is the second-highest daily count since May 20 (with 128), beaten only by ... Wednesday's count of 118. And the Christmas surge is still coming. At least the hospitals aren't completely full?

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 49 active and 544 cumulative cases as of January 3. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 9PM on December 15 reported 433 cumulative cases with 63 individuals in isolation, 345 persons recovered and 25 fatalities.

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Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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