Local COVID-19 updates
Nov. 27th, 2020 05:21 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeSince Massachusetts didn't post a report yesterday, they gave us two days worth of data today. Not much point in day-to-day comparisons to a mostly empty data set, so I'll hide the gory details.
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 29 newly reported confirmed deaths (29 more than yesterday) for a total of 10,401 and 4,464 newly reported confirmed cases (4,464 more than yesterday) for a total of 211,748. The seven day average positivity rate is 3.28%, compared to 3.20% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 4.86%, compared to 4.80% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 41,852 (41,852 more than yesterday). The state also reported 2 newly reported probable deaths (2 more than yesterday) for a total of 234 and 194 newly reported probable cases (194 more than yesterday) for a total of 7,504. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 31 new deaths for a total of 10,635 and 4,658 new cases for a total of 219,252. There were 986 COVID-19 patients in hospital (20 more than yesterday - up 2.1%), 209 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (2 less than yesterday - down 0.9%) and 109 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (2 more than yesterday - up 1.9%).
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,585 (396 less than yesterday - down 20.0%), 909% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4 and 39% below the highest observed value of 2,574 on November 18. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.3% (0 more than yesterday - up 2.5%), 324% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21 and 88% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on April 15. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 936 (18 more than yesterday - up 2.0%), 503% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26 and 76% below the highest observed value of 3,874 on April 27. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 22 (4 less than yesterday - down 15.4%), 100% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9. and 88% below the highest observed value of 175 on April 24.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,570, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 20, the 7 day hospitalization average was 617, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 3.1% (or 5.20% excluding higher education).
The state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 305 cases, with a two week case count of 53 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 16.0 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. Acton is also listed as having 17,234 total tests, with 2,243 total tests and 56 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 2.50% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 207,284 cases, with a two week case count of 34,070 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 34.9 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 8,130,694 total tests, with 1,187,383 total tests and 39,435 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 3.32% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 99 are coded gray, 27 are coded green, and 144 are coded yellow. The remaining 81 cities/towns are coded red: Attleboro, Barnstable, Bellingham, Berkley, Blackstone, Boxford, Brockton, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Chicopee, Clinton, Dartmouth, Dighton, Douglas, Dracut, East Longmeadow, Edgartown, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Fitchburg, Framingham, Freetown, Gardner, Georgetown, Hampden, Haverhill, Holyoke, Hopedale, Lancaster, Lawrence, Leicester, Lenox, Leominster, Littleton, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Malden, Marion, Mendon, Merrimac, Methuen, Middleton, Milford, Millbury, Monson, New Bedford, Norfolk, Oak Bluffs, Paxton, Peabody, Rehoboth, Revere, Rutland, Salisbury, Saugus, Seekonk, Shirley, Somerset, Southbridge, Southwick, Springfield, Sterling, Sutton, Swansea, Taunton, Templeton, Tisbury, Tyngsborough, Upton, Uxbridge, Wenham, West Boylston, West Springfield, Westminster, Westport, Whitman, Winchendon, and Woburn.
Using the old definitions (based purely on case counts), of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 63 would be coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 0 would be coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), 10 would be coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). while the remaining 278 cities/towns would be coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population).
Of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, 2 are coded gray (Berlin and Harvard), 1 is coded green (Bolton), 7 are coded yellow (Acton, Boxborough, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, Stow, and Sudbury), and none are coded red. Under the original risk codes, of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, none are coded gray, none are coded green, 1 is coded yellow (Harvard), and 9 are coded red (Acton, Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, Stow, and Sudbury).
The nastiest bit of today's data, to me, is the fact that we're now up to 81 cities and towns in the red (highest-risk) zone, up from 62 last week. And that's under the new definitions (where percent positivity is a big part of the formula); under the original definitions (where the red zone was more than eight cases per day per 100k population), 278 of the 351 cities and towns (along with the state as a whole) would be coded red.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today, but did post one Wednesday evening (after I wrote up that day's state report). As of the most recent report at 7:30PM on November 25, the town of Acton reported 317 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 36 individuals in isolation, 260 recovered and 21 fatalities; that's twelve more cases, two more individuals in isolation, and ten more persons recovered compared to the previous report on November 23.
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 29 newly reported confirmed deaths (29 more than yesterday) for a total of 10,401 and 4,464 newly reported confirmed cases (4,464 more than yesterday) for a total of 211,748. The seven day average positivity rate is 3.28%, compared to 3.20% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 4.86%, compared to 4.80% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 41,852 (41,852 more than yesterday). The state also reported 2 newly reported probable deaths (2 more than yesterday) for a total of 234 and 194 newly reported probable cases (194 more than yesterday) for a total of 7,504. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 31 new deaths for a total of 10,635 and 4,658 new cases for a total of 219,252. There were 986 COVID-19 patients in hospital (20 more than yesterday - up 2.1%), 209 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (2 less than yesterday - down 0.9%) and 109 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (2 more than yesterday - up 1.9%).
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,585 (396 less than yesterday - down 20.0%), 909% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4 and 39% below the highest observed value of 2,574 on November 18. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.3% (0 more than yesterday - up 2.5%), 324% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21 and 88% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on April 15. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 936 (18 more than yesterday - up 2.0%), 503% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26 and 76% below the highest observed value of 3,874 on April 27. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 22 (4 less than yesterday - down 15.4%), 100% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9. and 88% below the highest observed value of 175 on April 24.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,570, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 20, the 7 day hospitalization average was 617, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 3.1% (or 5.20% excluding higher education).
The state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 305 cases, with a two week case count of 53 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 16.0 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. Acton is also listed as having 17,234 total tests, with 2,243 total tests and 56 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 2.50% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 207,284 cases, with a two week case count of 34,070 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 34.9 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 8,130,694 total tests, with 1,187,383 total tests and 39,435 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 3.32% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 99 are coded gray, 27 are coded green, and 144 are coded yellow. The remaining 81 cities/towns are coded red: Attleboro, Barnstable, Bellingham, Berkley, Blackstone, Boxford, Brockton, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Chicopee, Clinton, Dartmouth, Dighton, Douglas, Dracut, East Longmeadow, Edgartown, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Fitchburg, Framingham, Freetown, Gardner, Georgetown, Hampden, Haverhill, Holyoke, Hopedale, Lancaster, Lawrence, Leicester, Lenox, Leominster, Littleton, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Malden, Marion, Mendon, Merrimac, Methuen, Middleton, Milford, Millbury, Monson, New Bedford, Norfolk, Oak Bluffs, Paxton, Peabody, Rehoboth, Revere, Rutland, Salisbury, Saugus, Seekonk, Shirley, Somerset, Southbridge, Southwick, Springfield, Sterling, Sutton, Swansea, Taunton, Templeton, Tisbury, Tyngsborough, Upton, Uxbridge, Wenham, West Boylston, West Springfield, Westminster, Westport, Whitman, Winchendon, and Woburn.
Using the old definitions (based purely on case counts), of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 63 would be coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 0 would be coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), 10 would be coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). while the remaining 278 cities/towns would be coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population).
Of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, 2 are coded gray (Berlin and Harvard), 1 is coded green (Bolton), 7 are coded yellow (Acton, Boxborough, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, Stow, and Sudbury), and none are coded red. Under the original risk codes, of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, none are coded gray, none are coded green, 1 is coded yellow (Harvard), and 9 are coded red (Acton, Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, Stow, and Sudbury).
The nastiest bit of today's data, to me, is the fact that we're now up to 81 cities and towns in the red (highest-risk) zone, up from 62 last week. And that's under the new definitions (where percent positivity is a big part of the formula); under the original definitions (where the red zone was more than eight cases per day per 100k population), 278 of the 351 cities and towns (along with the state as a whole) would be coded red.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today, but did post one Wednesday evening (after I wrote up that day's state report). As of the most recent report at 7:30PM on November 25, the town of Acton reported 317 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 36 individuals in isolation, 260 recovered and 21 fatalities; that's twelve more cases, two more individuals in isolation, and ten more persons recovered compared to the previous report on November 23.