Local COVID-19 updates
Nov. 25th, 2020 07:43 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeToday's state COVID-19 report didn't come out until around 6:45 or so; the first page of the daily dashboard has this Important Notice:
Meanwhile, both today's and Friday's numbers are likely to be outliers due to timing weirdness and not pandemic weirdness. And, of course, no report tomorrow.
Anyway, as of 5PM today (officially), the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 53 newly reported confirmed deaths (33 more than yesterday - up 165.0%) for a total of 10,372 and 3,224 newly reported confirmed cases (999 more than yesterday - up 44.9%) for a total of 207,284. The seven day average positivity rate is 3.00%, compared to 3.02% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 4.60%, compared to 4.63% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 41,439 (990 more than yesterday - up 2.4%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 232 and 171 newly reported probable cases (180 less than yesterday - down 51.3%) for a total of 7,310. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 53 new deaths for a total of 10,604 and 3,395 new cases for a total of 214,594. There were 942 COVID-19 patients in hospital (12 less than yesterday - down 1.3%), 208 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (3 more than yesterday - up 1.5%) and 108 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (9 more than yesterday - up 9.1%).
Today being Wednesday, the weekly data points were also updated. The average age of hospitalized patients over the past week is 65 (1 less than last week - down 1.5%) while the average age of deaths over the last two weeks is 81 (same as last week). The fourteen-day average test turnaround time (from sample draw to DPH report) is 1.92 (compared to 1.92 last week). The average daily incidence per 100k population over the last 14 days is 34.9 (compared to 29.4 last week).
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,781 (25 more than yesterday - up 1.4%), 1,034% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4 and 31% below the highest observed value of 2,566 on November 18. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.0% (0 less than yesterday - down 0.6%), 287% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21 and 89% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on April 15. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 918 (9 more than yesterday - up 1.0%), 492% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26 and 77% below the highest observed value of 3,874 on April 27. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 25 (3 more than yesterday - up 13.6%), 127% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9. and 86% below the highest observed value of 175 on April 24.
(Note: The PDF version of the dashboard does not have the 11/24 values for "7-Day Average of Number of COVID-19 Patients in Hospital" included in its graph; while the "Hospitalization from Hospitals.xlsx" spreadsheet in the raw data download does have a row for 11/24, the "7 day average of confirmed COVID hospitalizations" column (column D, if you're interested) is blank for that row. For today's report, I'm using the same formula as the other rows in column D to get the number 918.)
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,490, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 20, the 7 day hospitalization average was 568, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.9% (or 4.79% excluding higher education).
Given the probable data weirdness noted above, that huge jump in newly reported cases isn't quite as scary as it would be otherwise - that's the second-highest reported number ever, surpassed only by April 24 - , and the continued slow ticking down of the positivity rates is actually good news. OTOH, deaths went up by a lot (though still far less that the worst days of April), and upticks in ICU and ventilator usage aren't anything I'd call good news. That jump in the average daily incidence per 100k is scary, and the fact that we still haven't had a single day of the estimated active cases count going down is scarier still.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 9:30PM on November 23, the town of Acton reported 305 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 34 individuals in isolation, 250 recovered and 21 fatalities.
Please Note: The COVID-19 Daily Dashboard was delayed today due to a technological issue that resulted in an interruption of the data download. As a result, today’s numbers reflect case counts from up to a 30 hour period.No explanation as to what the "technological issue" was, although there was an Amazon Web Services outage earlier today.
**Reminder: there will be no dashboard posted tomorrow, Thanksgiving Day. Friday’s dashboard will reflect COVID data from Thursday and Friday as well as the Weekly Public Health Report**
Meanwhile, both today's and Friday's numbers are likely to be outliers due to timing weirdness and not pandemic weirdness. And, of course, no report tomorrow.
Anyway, as of 5PM today (officially), the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 53 newly reported confirmed deaths (33 more than yesterday - up 165.0%) for a total of 10,372 and 3,224 newly reported confirmed cases (999 more than yesterday - up 44.9%) for a total of 207,284. The seven day average positivity rate is 3.00%, compared to 3.02% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 4.60%, compared to 4.63% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 41,439 (990 more than yesterday - up 2.4%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 232 and 171 newly reported probable cases (180 less than yesterday - down 51.3%) for a total of 7,310. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 53 new deaths for a total of 10,604 and 3,395 new cases for a total of 214,594. There were 942 COVID-19 patients in hospital (12 less than yesterday - down 1.3%), 208 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (3 more than yesterday - up 1.5%) and 108 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (9 more than yesterday - up 9.1%).
Today being Wednesday, the weekly data points were also updated. The average age of hospitalized patients over the past week is 65 (1 less than last week - down 1.5%) while the average age of deaths over the last two weeks is 81 (same as last week). The fourteen-day average test turnaround time (from sample draw to DPH report) is 1.92 (compared to 1.92 last week). The average daily incidence per 100k population over the last 14 days is 34.9 (compared to 29.4 last week).
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,781 (25 more than yesterday - up 1.4%), 1,034% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4 and 31% below the highest observed value of 2,566 on November 18. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.0% (0 less than yesterday - down 0.6%), 287% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21 and 89% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on April 15. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 918 (9 more than yesterday - up 1.0%), 492% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26 and 77% below the highest observed value of 3,874 on April 27. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 25 (3 more than yesterday - up 13.6%), 127% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9. and 86% below the highest observed value of 175 on April 24.
(Note: The PDF version of the dashboard does not have the 11/24 values for "7-Day Average of Number of COVID-19 Patients in Hospital" included in its graph; while the "Hospitalization from Hospitals.xlsx" spreadsheet in the raw data download does have a row for 11/24, the "7 day average of confirmed COVID hospitalizations" column (column D, if you're interested) is blank for that row. For today's report, I'm using the same formula as the other rows in column D to get the number 918.)
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,490, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 20, the 7 day hospitalization average was 568, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.9% (or 4.79% excluding higher education).
Given the probable data weirdness noted above, that huge jump in newly reported cases isn't quite as scary as it would be otherwise - that's the second-highest reported number ever, surpassed only by April 24 - , and the continued slow ticking down of the positivity rates is actually good news. OTOH, deaths went up by a lot (though still far less that the worst days of April), and upticks in ICU and ventilator usage aren't anything I'd call good news. That jump in the average daily incidence per 100k is scary, and the fact that we still haven't had a single day of the estimated active cases count going down is scarier still.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 9:30PM on November 23, the town of Acton reported 305 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 34 individuals in isolation, 250 recovered and 21 fatalities.