Local COVID-19 updates
Sep. 30th, 2020 06:25 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeAs of 6PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 32 newly reported confirmed deaths (24 more than yesterday - up 300.0%) for a total of 9,242 deaths, 510 newly reported confirmed cases (60 more than yesterday - up 13.3%) for a total of 129,753 cases, and 14,404 new patients tested by molecular tests (280 more than yesterday - up 2.0%) for a total of 2,234,202 individuals tested, with a total of 4,050,617 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 3.5%, compared to 3.2% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (1 more than yesterday) for a total of 214 deaths, and 22 newly reported probable cases (40 less than yesterday - down 64.5%) for a total of 2,363 cases. The state also reported 285 patients tested by antibody tests (139 more than yesterday - up 95.2%) for a total of 120,418 patients, and 1,393 patients tested by antigen tests (57 less than yesterday - down 3.9%) for a total of 131,852 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 33 new deaths for a total of 9,456 and 532 new cases for a total of 132,116.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 477.9 compared to 384.0 last week (up 24.4%) and 332.0 two weeks ago (up 43.9%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 15.3 compared to 14.1 last week (up 8.1%) and 14.1 two weeks ago (up 8.1%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 15,480.3 compared to 18,454.0 last week (down 16.1%) and 15,477.0 two weeks ago (up 0.0%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 3.1% compared to 2.1% last week and 2.1% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.0%, 34% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 433, 43% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 6, 6 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 15, 64% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 199 cases, with a two week case count of 5 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 1.5 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of green. Acton is also listed as having 9,645 total tests, with 1,466 total tests and 8 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.55% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 129,753 cases, with a two week case count of 5,569 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 5.7 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 4,050,617 total tests, with 782,320 total tests and 6,788 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.87% over the last fourteen days, which is the same as last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 189 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 60 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 79 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 23 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Attleboro, Avon, Boston, Chelsea, Dracut, Everett, Framingham, Haverhill, Holliston, Lawrence, Lowell, Lynn, Lynnfield, Marlborough, Methuen, Middleton, Nantucket, New Bedford, North Andover, Revere, Springfield, Winthrop, and Worcester.
In a word, yowch. The daily numbers are bad enough; day-by-day confirmed deaths, cases and percent-positive are all up from yesterday; in slightly better news, molecular tests are also up while probable cases are down. The seven-day averages for deaths, cases and percent-positive all continue to climb, while the number of tests is stalling. As for the state's "key metrics", their seven-day average positive test rate and three-day average number of patients in hospital are both continuing sustained climbs and are well above their lowest observed values, while the number of hospitals using surge capacity jumped from two to six in one day.
The weekly report, if anything, is even uglier. The count of red-zone communities jumped by 53%, and now includes major cities like Springfield and Boston. The count of yellow-zone communities didn't jump quite as much (only up 23%), but the map on page 24 has a scary amount of yellow and red, and not nearly enough gray.
Why the fuck did Charlie Baker decide to allow more indoor venues to open, again?
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 8:15PM on September 28, the town of Acton reported 207 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 5 individuals in isolation, 181 recovered and 21 fatalities.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 477.9 compared to 384.0 last week (up 24.4%) and 332.0 two weeks ago (up 43.9%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 15.3 compared to 14.1 last week (up 8.1%) and 14.1 two weeks ago (up 8.1%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 15,480.3 compared to 18,454.0 last week (down 16.1%) and 15,477.0 two weeks ago (up 0.0%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 3.1% compared to 2.1% last week and 2.1% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.0%, 34% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 433, 43% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 6, 6 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 15, 64% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 199 cases, with a two week case count of 5 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 1.5 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of green. Acton is also listed as having 9,645 total tests, with 1,466 total tests and 8 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.55% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 129,753 cases, with a two week case count of 5,569 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 5.7 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 4,050,617 total tests, with 782,320 total tests and 6,788 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.87% over the last fourteen days, which is the same as last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 189 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 60 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 79 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 23 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Attleboro, Avon, Boston, Chelsea, Dracut, Everett, Framingham, Haverhill, Holliston, Lawrence, Lowell, Lynn, Lynnfield, Marlborough, Methuen, Middleton, Nantucket, New Bedford, North Andover, Revere, Springfield, Winthrop, and Worcester.
In a word, yowch. The daily numbers are bad enough; day-by-day confirmed deaths, cases and percent-positive are all up from yesterday; in slightly better news, molecular tests are also up while probable cases are down. The seven-day averages for deaths, cases and percent-positive all continue to climb, while the number of tests is stalling. As for the state's "key metrics", their seven-day average positive test rate and three-day average number of patients in hospital are both continuing sustained climbs and are well above their lowest observed values, while the number of hospitals using surge capacity jumped from two to six in one day.
The weekly report, if anything, is even uglier. The count of red-zone communities jumped by 53%, and now includes major cities like Springfield and Boston. The count of yellow-zone communities didn't jump quite as much (only up 23%), but the map on page 24 has a scary amount of yellow and red, and not nearly enough gray.
Why the fuck did Charlie Baker decide to allow more indoor venues to open, again?
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 8:15PM on September 28, the town of Acton reported 207 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 5 individuals in isolation, 181 recovered and 21 fatalities.