edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
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As of 4PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is ... changing their report format again. (Actually, as of 7PM; prior to that time, there was a nice little "Today's data report will be posted as soon as it is available" note on the page.) Now, they're no longer listing probable cases or deaths, or including those numbers in the underlying data files.

Anyway, in today's report, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 18 newly reported confirmed deaths (8 more than yesterday) for a total of 8,547 deaths, 229 newly reported confirmed cases (67 less than yesterday) for a total of 113,198 cases, and 15,693 new patients tested by molecular tests (721 more than yesterday) for a total of 1,353,299 individuals tested, with a total of 1,781,548 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 1.5%, compared to 2.0% yesterday.

The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 261.0 compared to 325.0 last week and 240.4 two weeks ago. The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 15.6 compared to 11.1 last week and 15.9 two weeks ago. The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 14,568.1 compared to 14,584.6 last week and 12,296.4 two weeks ago. The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 1.8% compared to 2.2% last week and 2.0% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)

Apart from running late, the day-to-day numbers are ... mixed. Deaths are up, which is bad; however, tests are up, cases are down, and the percent-positive number is down as well, all of which are definitely good. Looking at the longer-term averages, it's nice to see cases coming down compared to last week, but not at all nice to see that they're still up over two weeks ago. Deaths up week-over-week isn't good news, but at least percent-positive ratios are down.

Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID-19 Public Health Report - and for the second week in a row, they changed the format. They've added the "average daily incidence rate per 100,000 (last 14 days)", with white-green-yellow-red color coding depending on the value. White indicates fewer than five cases in total over the last two weeks; green indicates less than four cases per day per 100,000 population; yellow indicates four to eight cases per day per 100k, and red indicates more than eight cases per day per 100k. Presumably, this is how they're delivering the list of high-risk communities I discussed yesterday. My town of Acton is listed as having 176 total cases, with a case count of less than 5 in the last 14 days for an average daily incidence rate of <5 and a white color code. The "relative change in case counts" is shown as "no change". Acton is also listed as having 4,686 total tests, with 822 total tests and 4 positive tests in the last 14 days. The " for a "percent positivity" of 0.49% over the past 14 days, which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 113,198 total cases, with 3,913 cases in the last 14 days for an average daily incidence rate of 4.01 cases per day per 100k population, which is higher than last week; 1,781,548 total tests, with 224,483 tests in the last 14 days, with 4,794 positive; and 1.75% positive tests over the past 14 days. (Interestingly, even though the state is averaging just over four cases per 100k per day, there's no color code on the state row.)

The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 10:45AM on August 10, the town of Acton reported 187 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 4 individuals in isolation, 162 recovered and 21 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

January 2026

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