Dec. 1st, 2020

edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 30 newly reported confirmed deaths (5 more than yesterday - up 20.0%) for a total of 10,542 and 2,845 newly reported confirmed cases (1,679 more than yesterday - up 144.0%) for a total of 221,174. The seven day average positivity rate is 4.61%, compared to 3.93% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 6.31%, compared to 5.55% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 43,601 (255 less than yesterday - down 0.6%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (1 less than yesterday) for a total of 236 and 408 newly reported probable cases (314 more than yesterday - up 334.0%) for a total of 8,031. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 30 new deaths for a total of 10,778 and 3,253 new cases for a total of 229,205. There were 1,191 COVID-19 patients in hospital (17 more than yesterday - up 1.4%), 239 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (5 less than yesterday - down 2.0%) and 130 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (4 more than yesterday - up 3.2%).

Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,636 (85 less than yesterday - down 4.9%), 942% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4 and 38% below the highest observed value of 2,615 on November 21. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 4.6% (0 more than yesterday - up 17.2%), 495% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21 and 83% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on April 15. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 1,055 (34 more than yesterday - up 3.3%), 580% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26 and 73% below the highest observed value of 3,874 on April 27. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 27 (same as yesterday), 145% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9 and 85% below the highest observed value of 175 on April 24.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,785, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 21, the 7 day hospitalization average was 724, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 3.2% (or 5.30% excluding higher education).

Not good news at all, either from the day-to-day perspective or from a longer-term one. Deaths are up and newly reported cases are way up. Even if you grant that yesterday's numbers may have been artificially low due to weekend/holiday effects, that case count is a huge number for Massachusetts. Even scarier, the positivity rate is up a bunch, and the patients in hospital count keeps going up. On a brighter note, the estimated active cases actually went down for the first time ever.

Meanwhile, the town of Acton has rolled out a new dashboard powered by Google Data Studio: https://datastudio.google.com/s/uY8JWf-rcNc Apparently, this will be updated daily with case counts (both cumulative and currently active) - but individuals in isolation and fatalities aren't currently included. I'll have to spend some time seeing if I can pull the updated data automatically, as this is the first time I've ever seen Google Data Studio. Anyway, the most recent data on the dashboard is for November 30, which shows 47 current and 337 cumulative cases.

Meanwhile, the town says they "intend to continue providing newsflash updates weekly or more frequently as required". As of 6PM on November 30, the town reported 334 cumulative cases with 44 individuals in isolation, 268 recovered and 22 fatalities; that's 17 more cases, 8 more persons in isolation, and one more fatality than the previous report on November 25. This obviously does not match the dashboard data above for November 30, but does match that for November 29. Dunno what's going on there ...

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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