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Local COVID-19 updates
Nov. 12th, 2020 05:51 pmAs of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 21 newly reported confirmed deaths (16 less than yesterday - down 43.2%) for a total of 10,015 and 2,482 newly reported confirmed cases (13 less than yesterday - down 0.5%) for a total of 174,953. The seven day average positivity rate is 2.90%, compared to 2.86% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 4.98%, compared to 4.83% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 26,201 (1,146 more than yesterday - up 4.6%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (1 less than yesterday) for a total of 227 and 166 newly reported confirmed cases (1 more than yesterday - up 0.6%) for a total of 5,236. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 21 new deaths for a total of 10,242 and 2,648 new cases for a total of 180,189. There were 661 COVID-19 patients in hospital (2 more than yesterday - up 0.3%), 151 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (1 less than yesterday - down 0.7%) and 68 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (4 less than yesterday - down 5.6%).
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,537, 878% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.9%, 275% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 592, 281% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 20, 81% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9.
Today being Thursday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 247 cases, with a two week case count of 24 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 7.2 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of green. Acton is also listed as having 14,888 total tests, with 1,825 total tests and 24 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 1.32% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 172,471 cases, with a two week case count of 20,197 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 20.7 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 6,906,649 total tests, with 1,024,534 total tests and 23,507 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 2.29% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 144 are coded gray, 62 are coded green, and 115 are coded yellow. The remaining 30 cities/towns are coded red: Brockton, Chelsea, Chicopee, Clinton, Dighton, Everett, Fall River, Fitchburg, Freetown, Holyoke, Lawrence, Leominster, Lowell, Lynn, Marion, Methuen, Milford, New Bedford, Norfolk, Plainville, Revere, Seekonk, Shirley, Somerset, Springfield, Swansea, Tisbury, Uxbridge, West Springfield, and Westport.
Using the old definitions (based purely on case counts), of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 97 would be coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 3 would be coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), 43 would be coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). while the remaining 208 cities/towns would be coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population).
Of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, 5 are coded gray (Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, and Stow), 3 are coded green (Acton, Maynard, and Sudbury), 2 are coded yellow (Hudson, and Marlborough), and none are coded red. Under the original risk codes, of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, 1 is coded gray (Harvard), none are coded green, 3 are coded yellow (Acton, Stow, and Sudbury), and 6 are coded red (Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Hudson, Marlborough, and Maynard).
Well. That's a huge wall of text that can be summarized as "we're forked".
The first obvious bit of bad news is that we've crossed the ten-thousand-confirmed-death line.
The day-to-day changes are actually sort of good - deaths down substantially, and cases, ICU patients and intubated patients all down slightly. But test positivity keeps going up (and is almost five percent with the myriad higher-education re-re-retests excluded). And as for the weekly town-by-town data? Even with the great redefining of what a "higher-risk" community looks like, the number of red-coded localities nearly doubled (from 16 last week to 30 this week); under the previous definition, well over half the state would be red.
(Oh, and the virus levels in MWRA wastewater are spiking to mid-April levels. Again.)
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 10PM on November 10, the town of Acton reported 256 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 23 individuals in isolation, 212 recovered and 21 fatalities.
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,537, 878% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.9%, 275% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 592, 281% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 20, 81% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9.
Today being Thursday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 247 cases, with a two week case count of 24 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 7.2 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of green. Acton is also listed as having 14,888 total tests, with 1,825 total tests and 24 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 1.32% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 172,471 cases, with a two week case count of 20,197 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 20.7 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 6,906,649 total tests, with 1,024,534 total tests and 23,507 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 2.29% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 144 are coded gray, 62 are coded green, and 115 are coded yellow. The remaining 30 cities/towns are coded red: Brockton, Chelsea, Chicopee, Clinton, Dighton, Everett, Fall River, Fitchburg, Freetown, Holyoke, Lawrence, Leominster, Lowell, Lynn, Marion, Methuen, Milford, New Bedford, Norfolk, Plainville, Revere, Seekonk, Shirley, Somerset, Springfield, Swansea, Tisbury, Uxbridge, West Springfield, and Westport.
Using the old definitions (based purely on case counts), of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 97 would be coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 3 would be coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), 43 would be coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). while the remaining 208 cities/towns would be coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population).
Of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, 5 are coded gray (Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, and Stow), 3 are coded green (Acton, Maynard, and Sudbury), 2 are coded yellow (Hudson, and Marlborough), and none are coded red. Under the original risk codes, of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, 1 is coded gray (Harvard), none are coded green, 3 are coded yellow (Acton, Stow, and Sudbury), and 6 are coded red (Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Hudson, Marlborough, and Maynard).
Well. That's a huge wall of text that can be summarized as "we're forked".
The first obvious bit of bad news is that we've crossed the ten-thousand-confirmed-death line.
The day-to-day changes are actually sort of good - deaths down substantially, and cases, ICU patients and intubated patients all down slightly. But test positivity keeps going up (and is almost five percent with the myriad higher-education re-re-retests excluded). And as for the weekly town-by-town data? Even with the great redefining of what a "higher-risk" community looks like, the number of red-coded localities nearly doubled (from 16 last week to 30 this week); under the previous definition, well over half the state would be red.
(Oh, and the virus levels in MWRA wastewater are spiking to mid-April levels. Again.)
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 10PM on November 10, the town of Acton reported 256 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 23 individuals in isolation, 212 recovered and 21 fatalities.