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Local COVID-19 updates
Sep. 16th, 2020 06:23 pmAs of 4PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 20 newly reported confirmed deaths (14 more than yesterday - up 233.3%) for a total of 9,036 deaths, 295 newly reported confirmed cases (9 more than yesterday - up 3.1%) for a total of 123,720 cases, and 16,632 new patients tested by molecular tests (4,836 more than yesterday - up 41.0%) for a total of 1,996,662 individuals tested, with a total of 3,131,714 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 1.8%, compared to 2.4% yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 209 deaths, and 11 newly reported probable cases (16 less than yesterday - down 59.3%) for a total of 1,979 cases. The state also reported 355 patients tested by antibody tests (201 more than yesterday - up 130.5%) for a total of 117,107 patients, and 1,545 patients tested by antigen tests (166 more than yesterday - up 12.0%) for a total of 112,394 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 20 new deaths for a total of 9,245 and 306 new cases for a total of 125,699.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 332.0 compared to 281.4 last week (up 18.0%) and 334.4 two weeks ago (down 0.7%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 14.1 compared to 12.0 last week (up 17.9%) and 14.0 two weeks ago (up 1.0%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 15,477.0 compared to 16,903.1 last week (down 8.4%) and 20,786.4 two weeks ago (down 25.5%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 2.1% compared to 1.7% last week and 1.6% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 0.8%, 0% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 15. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 321, 6% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 2, 2 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 10, 11% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Day-to-day deaths and cases up, neither of which is particularly good; on the other hand, tests are also up and the percent-positive ratio is down. The seven-day averages aren't nearly as happy-making; cases up slightly, deaths ticking back up, tests ticking down, and percent-positive on an uptrend. Bleah.
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 193 cases, with a two week case count of less than five new cases total in the last fourteen days (lower than last week), a daily incidence rate of 0.9 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of gray. Acton is also listed as having 8,010 total tests, with 1,249 total tests and 4 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.32% over the last fourteen days, which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 123,720 cases, with a two week case count of 4,510 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 4.6 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 3,131,714 total tests, with 612,180 total tests and 5,514 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.90% over the last fourteen days, which is the same as last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwwealth, 218 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 80 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 36 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 17 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Chelsea, Dedham, Everett, Framingham, Lawrence, Lynn, Lynnfield, Monson, Nantucket, New Bedford, Plainville, Revere, Saugus, Tyngsborough, Winthrop, Worcester, and Wrentham. (Alas, the COVID-19 Community-Level Data Map hasn't been updated yet.)
I'm obviously happy that my town has gone back into the gray zone. But the number of cities and towns coded red keeps going up every week for the last three weeks (and there's only been five weeks of this format to date). That can't be good.
As of 3:45PM today, the town of Acton is reporting 202 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 2 individuals in isolation, 179 recovered and 21 fatalities; that's two more cases, one fewer persons currently in isolation, and three more persons recovered compared to the previous report on September 9. It is good to see that no new deaths from COVID-19 have occurred in town since May 21.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 332.0 compared to 281.4 last week (up 18.0%) and 334.4 two weeks ago (down 0.7%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 14.1 compared to 12.0 last week (up 17.9%) and 14.0 two weeks ago (up 1.0%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 15,477.0 compared to 16,903.1 last week (down 8.4%) and 20,786.4 two weeks ago (down 25.5%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 2.1% compared to 1.7% last week and 1.6% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 0.8%, 0% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 15. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 321, 6% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 2, 2 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 10, 11% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Day-to-day deaths and cases up, neither of which is particularly good; on the other hand, tests are also up and the percent-positive ratio is down. The seven-day averages aren't nearly as happy-making; cases up slightly, deaths ticking back up, tests ticking down, and percent-positive on an uptrend. Bleah.
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 193 cases, with a two week case count of less than five new cases total in the last fourteen days (lower than last week), a daily incidence rate of 0.9 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of gray. Acton is also listed as having 8,010 total tests, with 1,249 total tests and 4 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.32% over the last fourteen days, which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 123,720 cases, with a two week case count of 4,510 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 4.6 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 3,131,714 total tests, with 612,180 total tests and 5,514 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.90% over the last fourteen days, which is the same as last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwwealth, 218 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 80 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 36 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 17 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Chelsea, Dedham, Everett, Framingham, Lawrence, Lynn, Lynnfield, Monson, Nantucket, New Bedford, Plainville, Revere, Saugus, Tyngsborough, Winthrop, Worcester, and Wrentham. (Alas, the COVID-19 Community-Level Data Map hasn't been updated yet.)
I'm obviously happy that my town has gone back into the gray zone. But the number of cities and towns coded red keeps going up every week for the last three weeks (and there's only been five weeks of this format to date). That can't be good.
As of 3:45PM today, the town of Acton is reporting 202 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 2 individuals in isolation, 179 recovered and 21 fatalities; that's two more cases, one fewer persons currently in isolation, and three more persons recovered compared to the previous report on September 9. It is good to see that no new deaths from COVID-19 have occurred in town since May 21.