Sep. 2nd, 2020

edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
As of 6PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 22 newly reported confirmed deaths (18 more than yesterday - up 450.0%) for a total of 8,853 deaths, 288 newly reported confirmed cases (66 less than yesterday - down 18.6%) for a total of 119,426 cases, and 15,579 new patients tested by molecular tests (6,075 less than yesterday - down 28.1%) for a total of 1,770,001 individuals tested, with a total of 2,478,482 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 1.8%, compared to 1.6% yesterday. The state also reported 671 patients tested by antibody tests (402 more than yesterday - up 149.4%) for a total of 113,667 and 2,166 patients tested by antigen tests (1,753 more than yesterday - up 424.5%) for a total of 89,417.

The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 334.4 compared to 339.5 last week (down 1.5%) and 264.3 two weeks ago (up 26.5%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 14.0 compared to 18.3 last week (down 23.6%) and 14.0 two weeks ago. The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 20,786.4 compared to 22,870.5 last week (down 9.1%) and 19,139.1 two weeks ago (up 8.6%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 1.6% compared to 1.5% last week and 1.4% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)

Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.0%, 2% above the lowest observed value of 1.0% on August 30. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 314, 4% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 3, 3 above the lowest observed value of 0 on August 29. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 14, 28% above the lowest observed value of 11 on August 4.

Yikes. Day-to-day deaths way up; cases down but so are tests, and that percent-positive ratio is ticking upwards. At least the seven-day case average leveled off from last week, while the seven-day death average is back where it was two weeks ago.

Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID-19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 192 cases, with a two week case count of 11 new cases in the last fourteen days (lower than last week), a daily incidence rate of 3.3 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of green. Acton is also listed as having 6,768 total tests, with 1,229 total tests and 13 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 1.06% over the last fourteen days, which is the same as last week. The state is listed as having 119,426 cases, with a two week case count of 4,138 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 4.2 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 2,478,482 total tests, with 470,762 total tests and 5,037 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 1.07% over the last fourteen days, which is lower than last week.

Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 219 are coded gray, 76 are coded green, and 48 are coded yellow. The remaining 8 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Chelsea, Everett, Framingham, Lawrence, Lynn, Revere, Westhampton, and Winthrop.

The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 3PM on August 31, the town of Acton reported 198 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 4 individuals in isolation, 173 recovered and 21 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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