edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
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As of 5PM today (Thursday March 30, 2023), the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 59 newly reported confirmed deaths (21 more than last Thursday - up 55.3%) for a total of 22,511 deaths, 2,023 newly reported confirmed cases (53 less than last Thursday - down 2.6%) for a total of 2,031,114 cases, and 56,299 newly reported molecular tests (1,906 more than last Thursday - up 3.5%). Note that today's death data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 8.4 newly reported deaths per day (30 less than last Thursday - down 77.8%).
Note that today's case/test data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 289.0 newly reported cases per day (1,787 less than last Thursday - down 86.1%), and 8,042.7 newly reported molecular tests per day (46,350 less than last Thursday - down 85.2%).

Note that last Thursday's death data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 5.4 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 54 more than last Thursday's values - up 986.8%.
Note that last Thursday's case/test data covers 7 days. Averaged over that period, there were 296.6 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 1,726 more than last Thursday's values - up 582.1%. There were 7,770.4 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 48,529 more than last Thursday's values - up 624.5%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 3.63%, compared to 4.02% last Thursday. The state also reported 7 newly reported probable deaths (5 less than last Thursday - down 41.7%) for a total of 1,996 and 484 newly reported probable cases (20 more than last Thursday - up 4.3%) for a total of 201,543. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 66 new deaths for a total of 24,507 and 2,507 new cases for a total of 2,232,657. There were 315 COVID-19 patients in hospital (53 less than last Thursday - down 14.4%), 36 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (6 less than last Thursday - down 14.3%) and 13 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (2 more than last Thursday - up 18.2%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 217.0 (17 less than last Thursday - down 7.3%), 239% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 100.0% below the highest observed value of 23,233.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.63% (0 less than last Thursday - down 9.7%), 1,078% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 87% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 331.0 (56 less than last Thursday - down 14.5%), 294% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 92% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 6.0 (2 more than last Thursday - up 50.0%), 500% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 97% below the highest observed value of 176.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,736 non-ICU beds, of which 7,782 (89.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 279 (3.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 675 (7.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,226 ICU beds, of which 962 (78.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 36 (2.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 228 (18.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported last Thursday a total of 8,691 non-ICU beds, of which 7,856 (90.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 326 (4%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 509 (5.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported last Thursday a total of 1,213 ICU beds, of which 948 (78.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 42 (3.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 223 (18.4%) remained available.

One week ago (March 23), the 7 day confirmed case average was 234.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 4.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 387.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 4.02%.

Two weeks ago (March 16), the 7 day confirmed case average was 262.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 6.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 424.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 4.49%.

One year ago (March 30, 2022), the 7 day confirmed case average was 751.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 4.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 220.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.25%.

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 4,241 total cases, with a two-week case count of 10 cases, a daily incidence rate of 3.0 which is lower than last week, with a corresponding risk color code of gray (if the state was still reporting color codes). Acton is also listed as having 114,871 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 286 and a two-week positive test count of 12, for a percent-positive rate of 4.20 which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 2,031,114 total cases, with a two-week case count of 3,898 cases, a daily incidence rate of 4.0 which is lower than last week. Massachusetts is also listed as having 49,810,768 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 109,622 and a two-week positive test count of 4,465, for a percent-positive rate of 4.07 which is lower than last week.

As of July 1, 2021, the state is no longer reporting risk color codes. However, if it was, of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 245 would be coded gray (compared to 230 last week), 54 would be coded green (compared to 49 last week), and 50 would be coded yellow (compared to 70 last week).The remaining 2 towns would be coded red (compared to 2 last week): Dennis, and Pittsfield.

2 cities/towns would be newly coded red this week (Dennis, and Pittsfield) and 2 cities/towns would no longer be coded red this week (Northampton, and Northborough).

Of the 10 towns nearby (including my own town), 6 are coded gray (Acton, Boxborough, Carlisle, Concord, Littleton, and Stow), none are coded green, 4 are coded yellow (Chelmsford, Maynard, Sudbury, and Westford), and none are coded red.

Of the 10 towns near my church, 6 are coded gray (Acton, Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, and Stow), one is coded green (Marlborough), 3 are coded yellow (Hudson, Maynard, and Sudbury), and none are coded red.

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

As of March 30, 2023, the CDC reported a total of 1596 new deaths and 139991 new cases from 60 states and territories nationwide.
For Massachusetts, the CDC reported 66 new deaths and 2507 new cases.
The underlying query is available here.
This compares to the previous week:
As of March 23, 2023, the CDC reported a total of 2260 new deaths and 154244 new cases from 60 states and territories nationwide.
For Massachusetts, the CDC reported 50 new deaths and 2540 new cases.
The underlying query is available here.

As of March 30, 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3222 counties nationwide, 994 counties (30.85% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 695 counties (21.57% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 1174 counties (36.44% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 359 counties (11.14% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 1 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Berkshire), and 13 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate (Barnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester).
Barnstable County has 45.54 cases per 100k, 5.33 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Berkshire County has 66.43 cases per 100k, 5.43 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Bristol County has 19.46 cases per 100k, 4.15 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Dukes County has 46.16 cases per 100k, 6.67 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Essex County has 34.6 cases per 100k, 3.34 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Franklin County has 31.35 cases per 100k, 2.35 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Hampden County has 35.81 cases per 100k, 3.28 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Hampshire County has 25.49 cases per 100k, 2.03 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Middlesex County has 30.15 cases per 100k, 4.22 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Nantucket County has 35.09 cases per 100k, 3.03 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Norfolk County has 29.0 cases per 100k, 4.12 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Plymouth County has 25.13 cases per 100k, 3.62 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Suffolk County has 23.76 cases per 100k, 3.13 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Worcester County has 25.16 cases per 100k, 4.37 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
The underlying query for this data is available here.
This compares to the previous week:
As of March 23, 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that, of 3222 counties nationwide, 954 counties (29.61% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 751 counties (23.31% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 1065 counties (33.05% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 452 counties (14.03% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 2 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Berkshire, Dukes), and 12 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate (Barnstable, Bristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk, Worcester).
Barnstable County has 45.54 cases per 100k, 5.12 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Berkshire County has 58.43 cases per 100k, 4.19 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Bristol County has 23.88 cases per 100k, 4.94 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Dukes County has 75.01 cases per 100k, 8.86 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of substantial
Essex County has 32.06 cases per 100k, 3.5 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Franklin County has 24.22 cases per 100k, 3.32 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Hampden County has 31.52 cases per 100k, 3.15 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Hampshire County has 27.36 cases per 100k, 4.29 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Middlesex County has 31.09 cases per 100k, 4.5 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Nantucket County has 17.55 cases per 100k, 1.98 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Norfolk County has 24.9 cases per 100k, 3.75 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Plymouth County has 22.06 cases per 100k, 3.6 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Suffolk County has 28.61 cases per 100k, 3.83 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
Worcester County has 33.59 cases per 100k, 4.82 percent positive, and a Community Transmission level of moderate
The underlying query for this data is available here.

As of March 30, 2023, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3220 counties nationwide: 25 counties (0.78%, representing 0.15% of the population) with High community level, 280 counties (8.70%, representing 3.73% of the population) with Medium community level, and 2915 counties (90.53%, representing 96.12% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts (population 6892503) have a COVID Community Level of Low.
Barnstable County (population 212990) has 45.54 cases per 100k (implying 97.00 cases in the county), 6.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 66.43 cases per 100k (implying 83.00 cases in the county), 5.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 19.46 cases per 100k (implying 109.99 cases in the county), 4.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 46.16 cases per 100k (implying 8.00 cases in the county), 6.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Essex County (population 789034) has 34.6 cases per 100k (implying 273.01 cases in the county), 5.0 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.6 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 31.35 cases per 100k (implying 22.00 cases in the county), 4.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 35.81 cases per 100k (implying 167.01 cases in the county), 3.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 25.49 cases per 100k (implying 41.00 cases in the county), 3.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 3.8 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 30.15 cases per 100k (implying 485.93 cases in the county), 6.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 35.09 cases per 100k (implying 4.00 cases in the county), 6.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 29.0 cases per 100k (implying 204.96 cases in the county), 6.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 25.13 cases per 100k (implying 130.98 cases in the county), 6.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 23.76 cases per 100k (implying 191.01 cases in the county), 6.4 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 25.16 cases per 100k (implying 208.98 cases in the county), 4.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.4 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
The CDC community level data implies a total of 2,026.86 cases statewide.
The underlying query for this data is available here.
This compares to the previous week:
As of March 23, 2023, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3222 counties nationwide: 27 counties (0.84%, representing 0.06% of the population) with High community level, 196 counties (6.08%, representing 3.99% of the population) with Medium community level, and 2999 counties (93.08%, representing 95.95% of the population) with Low community level. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts (population 6892503) have a COVID Community Level of Low.
Barnstable County (population 212990) has 45.54 cases per 100k (implying 97.00 cases in the county), 7.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Berkshire County (population 124944) has 58.43 cases per 100k (implying 73.00 cases in the county), 3.5 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Bristol County (population 565217) has 23.88 cases per 100k (implying 134.97 cases in the county), 4.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Dukes County (population 17332) has 75.01 cases per 100k (implying 13.00 cases in the county), 7.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Substantial and a community level of Low.
Essex County (population 789034) has 32.06 cases per 100k (implying 252.96 cases in the county), 5.1 hospitalizations per 100k and 1.9 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Franklin County (population 70180) has 24.22 cases per 100k (implying 17.00 cases in the county), 7.3 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Hampden County (population 466372) has 31.52 cases per 100k (implying 147.00 cases in the county), 3.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Hampshire County (population 160830) has 27.36 cases per 100k (implying 44.00 cases in the county), 3.2 hospitalizations per 100k and 4.5 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Middlesex County (population 1611699) has 31.09 cases per 100k (implying 501.08 cases in the county), 7.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Nantucket County (population 11399) has 17.55 cases per 100k (implying 2.00 cases in the county), 7.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Norfolk County (population 706775) has 24.9 cases per 100k (implying 175.99 cases in the county), 7.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Plymouth County (population 521202) has 22.06 cases per 100k (implying 114.98 cases in the county), 7.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Suffolk County (population 803907) has 28.61 cases per 100k (implying 230.00 cases in the county), 7.9 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.2 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
Worcester County (population 830622) has 33.59 cases per 100k (implying 279.01 cases in the county), 7.3 hospitalizations per 100k and 2.1 COVID bed utilization, for a community transmission level of Moderate and a community level of Low.
The CDC community level data implies a total of 2,081.99 cases statewide.
The underlying query for this data is available here.

(The town of Acton has stopped updating its COVID-19 Information Center and Google Data Studio dashboard.)

I'd call this week's statewide numbers mixed at best; newly reported confirmed cases were down slightly compared to last week and current hospitalizations dropped as well, while newly reported tests were actually up a little bit. However, newly confirmed deaths jumped over 55% (from 38 last week to 59 today), and that's not good news under any circumstances. The national numbers from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention also look good at first blush, as both nationally reported case and death counts are down week-to-week.

If only I felt confident that the dropping official case counts accurately reflected the actual number of currently infectious people wandering around ...
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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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