Local COVID-19 updates
Mar. 30th, 2022 05:30 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeAs of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 1 newly reported confirmed death (15 less than yesterday - down 93.8%) for a total of 18,989 deaths, 1,252 newly reported confirmed cases (370 more than yesterday - up 42.0%) for a total of 1,562,922 cases, and 57,820 newly reported molecular tests (21,002 more than yesterday - up 57.0%).
Note that yesterday's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 5.3 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 4 less than yesterday's values - down 81.2%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 2.25%, compared to 2.20% yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 1,109 and 163 newly reported probable cases (96 more than yesterday - up 143.3%) for a total of 134,243. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 1 new deaths for a total of 20,098 and 1,415 new cases for a total of 1,697,165. There were 210 COVID-19 patients in hospital (5 less than yesterday - down 2.3%), 29 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (7 more than yesterday - up 31.8%) and 11 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (2 more than yesterday - up 22.2%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 751.0 (15 more than yesterday - up 2.0%), 1,073% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 97.0% below the highest observed value of 23,204.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.25% (0 more than yesterday - up 2.5%), 631% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 92% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 220.0 (3 less than yesterday - down 1.3%), 161% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 4.0 (same as yesterday), 300% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 98% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,955 non-ICU beds, of which 7,820 (87.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 181 (2.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 954 (10.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,246 ICU beds, of which 956 (76.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 29 (2.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 261 (20.9%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,844 non-ICU beds, of which 7,461 (84.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 193 (2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,190 (13.5%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,235 ICU beds, of which 910 (73.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 22 (1.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 303 (24.5%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 449.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 243.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.53%.
One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,543.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 26.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 648.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.55% (or 4.25% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create the above report is available here.
As of March 29, 2022, the CDC reported that, of 3219 counties nationwide, 432 counties (13.42% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 636 counties (19.76% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 1564 counties (48.59% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 587 counties (18.24% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 4 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk), and 10 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Nantucket, Plymouth, Worcester).
As of March 24, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3220 counties nationwide: 53 counties (1.65%) with High community level, 233 counties (7.24%) with Medium community level, and 2934 counties (91.12%) with Low community level. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts have a COVID Community Level of Low.
Yuck. Deaths are down day-over-day, which is always good to see, but newly reported confirmed cases are up a whopping 42% from yesterday, to 1,252. Hospitalizations are down, but if the case counts keep climbing, that's not going to last. The seven-day averages for cases and percent-positive are both up, with the cases average hitting 750 again and percent-positive now at 2.25%; the hospitalization and death averages are down, but rising case counts will probably change those trajectories in a couple of weeks, as well.
I still haven't been able to find a decent way to programatically read the Massachusetts Water Resource Authority wastewater data; on the other hand, they are currently providing northside and southside graphs since February 2022, which does make it easier to ignore the huge December/January surge and see what the current trends are doing. Both the "Recent North System Viral RNA Signal" and "Recent South System Viral RNA Signal" graphs are showing definite upward trends.
I also recently discovered that Biobot (the company actually doing the work) has a data visualization tool that lets you see county-level wastewater for some (not all) Massachusetts counties. As of today, they are showing the levels of wastewater virus to be clearly rising in Essex, Middlesex and Suffolk Counties, while the levels in Berkshire, Hampshire and Nantucket Counties are on clearly downward trajectories. (They don't list the other eight counties; presumably there aren't any wastewater utilities signed up with them.)
And Biobot also is pushing their datasets to GitHub; I may be able to automate grabbing that info.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 19 active and 2,865 cumulative cases as of March 29. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.
Note that yesterday's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 5.3 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 4 less than yesterday's values - down 81.2%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 2.25%, compared to 2.20% yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 1,109 and 163 newly reported probable cases (96 more than yesterday - up 143.3%) for a total of 134,243. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 1 new deaths for a total of 20,098 and 1,415 new cases for a total of 1,697,165. There were 210 COVID-19 patients in hospital (5 less than yesterday - down 2.3%), 29 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (7 more than yesterday - up 31.8%) and 11 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (2 more than yesterday - up 22.2%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 751.0 (15 more than yesterday - up 2.0%), 1,073% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 97.0% below the highest observed value of 23,204.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.25% (0 more than yesterday - up 2.5%), 631% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 92% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 220.0 (3 less than yesterday - down 1.3%), 161% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 4.0 (same as yesterday), 300% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 98% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,955 non-ICU beds, of which 7,820 (87.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 181 (2.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 954 (10.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,246 ICU beds, of which 956 (76.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 29 (2.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 261 (20.9%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,844 non-ICU beds, of which 7,461 (84.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 193 (2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,190 (13.5%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,235 ICU beds, of which 910 (73.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 22 (1.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 303 (24.5%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 449.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 9.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 243.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.53%.
One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,543.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 26.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 648.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.55% (or 4.25% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create the above report is available here.
As of March 29, 2022, the CDC reported that, of 3219 counties nationwide, 432 counties (13.42% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of High, 636 counties (19.76% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial, 1564 counties (48.59% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Moderate, and 587 counties (18.24% of total) have a Community Transmission Level of Low. The CDC also reported that, of the 14 counties in Massachusetts, 4 counties have a Community Transmission Level of High (Hampshire, Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk), and 10 counties have a Community Transmission Level of Substantial (Barnstable, Berkshire, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Nantucket, Plymouth, Worcester).
As of March 24, 2022, the CDC reported COVID Community Levels for 3220 counties nationwide: 53 counties (1.65%) with High community level, 233 counties (7.24%) with Medium community level, and 2934 counties (91.12%) with Low community level. The CDC also reported that all 14 counties in Massachusetts have a COVID Community Level of Low.
Yuck. Deaths are down day-over-day, which is always good to see, but newly reported confirmed cases are up a whopping 42% from yesterday, to 1,252. Hospitalizations are down, but if the case counts keep climbing, that's not going to last. The seven-day averages for cases and percent-positive are both up, with the cases average hitting 750 again and percent-positive now at 2.25%; the hospitalization and death averages are down, but rising case counts will probably change those trajectories in a couple of weeks, as well.
I still haven't been able to find a decent way to programatically read the Massachusetts Water Resource Authority wastewater data; on the other hand, they are currently providing northside and southside graphs since February 2022, which does make it easier to ignore the huge December/January surge and see what the current trends are doing. Both the "Recent North System Viral RNA Signal" and "Recent South System Viral RNA Signal" graphs are showing definite upward trends.
I also recently discovered that Biobot (the company actually doing the work) has a data visualization tool that lets you see county-level wastewater for some (not all) Massachusetts counties. As of today, they are showing the levels of wastewater virus to be clearly rising in Essex, Middlesex and Suffolk Counties, while the levels in Berkshire, Hampshire and Nantucket Counties are on clearly downward trajectories. (They don't list the other eight counties; presumably there aren't any wastewater utilities signed up with them.)
And Biobot also is pushing their datasets to GitHub; I may be able to automate grabbing that info.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 19 active and 2,865 cumulative cases as of March 29. In the most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.