Local COVID-19 updates
Mar. 16th, 2022 05:28 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeAs of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 14 newly reported confirmed deaths (2 less than yesterday - down 12.5%) for a total of 18,916 deaths, 725 newly reported confirmed cases (223 more than yesterday - up 44.4%) for a total of 1,550,911 cases, and 58,381 newly reported molecular tests (30,433 more than yesterday - up 108.9%).
Note that yesterday's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 5.3 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 9 more than yesterday's values - up 162.5%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 1.53%, compared to 1.58% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (1 more than yesterday) for a total of 1,096 and 87 newly reported probable cases (58 more than yesterday - up 200.0%) for a total of 133,125. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 15 new deaths for a total of 20,012 and 812 new cases for a total of 1,684,036. There were 229 COVID-19 patients in hospital (2 more than yesterday - up 0.9%), 31 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (same as yesterday) and 13 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (same as yesterday).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 449.0 (11 less than yesterday - down 2.4%), 601% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 99.0% below the highest observed value of 23,190.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 1.53% (0 less than yesterday - down 3.0%), 397% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 94% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 243.0 (7 less than yesterday - down 2.8%), 189% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 94% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (1 less than yesterday - down 10.0%), 800% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,901 non-ICU beds, of which 7,793 (87.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 198 (2.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 910 (10.2%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,242 ICU beds, of which 929 (74.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 31 (2.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 282 (22.7%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,747 non-ICU beds, of which 7,435 (85.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 196 (2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,116 (12.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,233 ICU beds, of which 864 (70.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 31 (2.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 338 (27.4%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 639.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 23.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 447.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.85%.
One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,070.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 27.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 654.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.86% (or 3.20% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Whoops. Raw deaths down compared to yesterday, but yesterday's numbers covered three days; averaged over those three days, today's report is up quite a bit (14 vs 5.3). Cases are also up a bunch. Worse, hospitalizations ticked up slightly. At least all four seven-day averages are down.
I don't have any nice way of analyzing the most recent wastewater data from the sampling of the Massachusetts Water Resources Authority's Deer Island treatment plant effluent (there may be a freely available PDF parser out there but I haven't found it yet). On the other hand, just looking at the numbers shows that the seven-day averages for both the north and south sides of the system were down around 100 copies/mL at the end of February and the beginning of March but are now up around 120-140. (Last June, the averages were down in the teens and twenties; back in January, these numbers peaked in the 8k-10k range.) Yes, these levels are much lower than at the beginning of the year. However, upward trends here are not good news...
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 13 active and 2,808 cumulative cases as of March 14. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.
Note that yesterday's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 5.3 newly reported deaths per day and today's newly reported deaths are 9 more than yesterday's values - up 162.5%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 1.53%, compared to 1.58% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (1 more than yesterday) for a total of 1,096 and 87 newly reported probable cases (58 more than yesterday - up 200.0%) for a total of 133,125. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 15 new deaths for a total of 20,012 and 812 new cases for a total of 1,684,036. There were 229 COVID-19 patients in hospital (2 more than yesterday - up 0.9%), 31 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (same as yesterday) and 13 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (same as yesterday).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 449.0 (11 less than yesterday - down 2.4%), 601% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 99.0% below the highest observed value of 23,190.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 1.53% (0 less than yesterday - down 3.0%), 397% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 94% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 243.0 (7 less than yesterday - down 2.8%), 189% above the lowest observed value of 84.0 on 7/8/2021 and 94% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (1 less than yesterday - down 10.0%), 800% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,901 non-ICU beds, of which 7,793 (87.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 198 (2.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 910 (10.2%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,242 ICU beds, of which 929 (74.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 31 (2.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 282 (22.7%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,747 non-ICU beds, of which 7,435 (85.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 196 (2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,116 (12.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,233 ICU beds, of which 864 (70.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 31 (2.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 338 (27.4%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 639.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 23.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 447.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.85%.
One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,070.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 27.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 654.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 1.86% (or 3.20% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Whoops. Raw deaths down compared to yesterday, but yesterday's numbers covered three days; averaged over those three days, today's report is up quite a bit (14 vs 5.3). Cases are also up a bunch. Worse, hospitalizations ticked up slightly. At least all four seven-day averages are down.
I don't have any nice way of analyzing the most recent wastewater data from the sampling of the Massachusetts Water Resources Authority's Deer Island treatment plant effluent (there may be a freely available PDF parser out there but I haven't found it yet). On the other hand, just looking at the numbers shows that the seven-day averages for both the north and south sides of the system were down around 100 copies/mL at the end of February and the beginning of March but are now up around 120-140. (Last June, the averages were down in the teens and twenties; back in January, these numbers peaked in the 8k-10k range.) Yes, these levels are much lower than at the beginning of the year. However, upward trends here are not good news...
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 13 active and 2,808 cumulative cases as of March 14. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.