Local COVID-19 updates
Feb. 8th, 2022 05:49 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
edschweppeAs of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 128 newly reported confirmed deaths (72 more than yesterday - up 128.6%) for a total of 21,939 deaths, 1,792 newly reported confirmed cases (4,933 less than yesterday - down 73.4%) for a total of 1,510,765 cases, and 45,036 newly reported molecular tests (128,736 less than yesterday - down 74.1%).
Note that today's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 42.7 newly reported deaths per day (13 less than yesterday - down 23.8%).
Note that yesterday's case/test data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 2,241.7 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 450 less than yesterday's values - down 20.1%. There were 57,924.0 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 12,888 less than yesterday's values - down 22.2%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 4.53%, compared to 4.78% yesterday. The state also reported 2 newly reported probable deaths (35 less than yesterday - down 94.6%) for a total of 663 and 336 newly reported probable cases (5 less than yesterday - down 1.5%) for a total of 128,891. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 130 new deaths for a total of 22,602 and 2,128 new cases for a total of 1,639,656. There were 1,325 COVID-19 patients in hospital (157 less than yesterday - down 10.6%), 217 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (36 less than yesterday - down 14.2%) and 122 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (26 less than yesterday - down 17.6%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 2,158.0 (580 less than yesterday - down 21.2%), 3,271% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 91.0% below the highest observed value of 23,170.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 4.53% (0 less than yesterday - down 5.2%), 1,372% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 84% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 1,570.0 (269 less than yesterday - down 14.6%), 1,747% above the lowest observed value of 85.0 on 7/9/2021 and 60% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 44.0 (7 less than yesterday - down 13.7%), 4,300% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 75% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,827 non-ICU beds, of which 6,858 (77.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,108 (12.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 861 (9.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,264 ICU beds, of which 789 (62.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 217 (17.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 258 (20.4%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,959 non-ICU beds, of which 7,016 (78.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,229 (14%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 714 (8.0%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,293 ICU beds, of which 820 (63.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 253 (19.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 220 (17.0%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 7,871.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 58.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,979.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 11.40%.
One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 2,046.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 50.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 1,529.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.96% (or 4.59% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Okay, that's actually some good news. Yes, the raw number of deaths is up a bunch compared to yesterday's report, but today's report covers three days of deaths data; averaged over those three days, deaths were down sharply (42.7 vs 56). Cases are also down substantially, even when compared to yesterday's reported cases averaged over the three days it covered; in fact, today's single-day report of 1,792 is the lowest such single-day number since 1,745 newly reported cases on November 10, 2021. Hospitalizations are also down, with the total reported census (1,325) at the lowest level since December 10, 2021. The four seven-day averages are also continuing to trend downward, with percent-positive down to 4.53%. Definitely good trends.
But not yet good absolute numbers. The entire state still has high community transmission according to the latest Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data, with Massachusetts showing a seven-day case rate of 376.3 cases per 100k population. To get to the "moderate" level where CDC guidance no longer recommends fully vaccinated individuals mask indoors, that case rate needs to get down below fifty; the current CDC county view only shows 14 out of 3,220 US counties with case rates that low. It's way, way too damn early to declare victory.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 43 active and 2,731 cumulative cases as of February 7. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.
Note that today's death data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 42.7 newly reported deaths per day (13 less than yesterday - down 23.8%).
Note that yesterday's case/test data covers 3 days. Averaged over that period, there were 2,241.7 newly reported cases per day and today's newly reported cases are 450 less than yesterday's values - down 20.1%. There were 57,924.0 newly reported molecular tests per day and today's newly reported tests are 12,888 less than yesterday's values - down 22.2%.
The seven day average positivity rate is 4.53%, compared to 4.78% yesterday. The state also reported 2 newly reported probable deaths (35 less than yesterday - down 94.6%) for a total of 663 and 336 newly reported probable cases (5 less than yesterday - down 1.5%) for a total of 128,891. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 130 new deaths for a total of 22,602 and 2,128 new cases for a total of 1,639,656. There were 1,325 COVID-19 patients in hospital (157 less than yesterday - down 10.6%), 217 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (36 less than yesterday - down 14.2%) and 122 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (26 less than yesterday - down 17.6%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 2,158.0 (580 less than yesterday - down 21.2%), 3,271% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 91.0% below the highest observed value of 23,170.0 on 1/8/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 4.53% (0 less than yesterday - down 5.2%), 1,372% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 84% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 1,570.0 (269 less than yesterday - down 14.6%), 1,747% above the lowest observed value of 85.0 on 7/9/2021 and 60% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 44.0 (7 less than yesterday - down 13.7%), 4,300% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 75% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 8,827 non-ICU beds, of which 6,858 (77.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,108 (12.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 861 (9.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,264 ICU beds, of which 789 (62.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 217 (17.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 258 (20.4%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,959 non-ICU beds, of which 7,016 (78.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,229 (14%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 714 (8.0%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,293 ICU beds, of which 820 (63.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 253 (19.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 220 (17.0%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 7,871.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 58.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,979.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 11.40%.
One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 2,046.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 50.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 1,529.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.96% (or 4.59% excluding higher education).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Okay, that's actually some good news. Yes, the raw number of deaths is up a bunch compared to yesterday's report, but today's report covers three days of deaths data; averaged over those three days, deaths were down sharply (42.7 vs 56). Cases are also down substantially, even when compared to yesterday's reported cases averaged over the three days it covered; in fact, today's single-day report of 1,792 is the lowest such single-day number since 1,745 newly reported cases on November 10, 2021. Hospitalizations are also down, with the total reported census (1,325) at the lowest level since December 10, 2021. The four seven-day averages are also continuing to trend downward, with percent-positive down to 4.53%. Definitely good trends.
But not yet good absolute numbers. The entire state still has high community transmission according to the latest Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data, with Massachusetts showing a seven-day case rate of 376.3 cases per 100k population. To get to the "moderate" level where CDC guidance no longer recommends fully vaccinated individuals mask indoors, that case rate needs to get down below fifty; the current CDC county view only shows 14 out of 3,220 US counties with case rates that low. It's way, way too damn early to declare victory.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 43 active and 2,731 cumulative cases as of February 7. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.