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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 14 newly reported confirmed deaths (7 more than yesterday - up 100.0%) for a total of 17,082 deaths, 2,004 newly reported confirmed cases (603 more than yesterday - up 43.0%) for a total of 624,666 cases, and 114,256 newly reported molecular tests (56,427 more than yesterday - up 97.6%). The seven day average positivity rate is 2.39%, compared to 2.42% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 4.21%, compared to 4.21% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 35,786 (71 less than yesterday - down 0.2%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 345 and 240 newly reported probable cases (43 more than yesterday - up 21.8%) for a total of 40,277. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 14 new deaths for a total of 17,427 and 2,244 new cases for a total of 664,943. There were 711 COVID-19 patients in hospital (3 less than yesterday - down 0.4%), 159 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (6 less than yesterday - down 3.6%) and 101 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (1 more than yesterday - up 1.0%).

Today being Wednesday, the weekly data points were also updated. The average age of hospitalized patients over the past week is 59 (2 less than last week - down 3.3%) while the average age of deaths over the last two weeks is 74 (2 less than last week - down 2.6%). The fourteen-day average test turnaround time (from sample draw to DPH report) is 1.25 (compared to 1.31 last week). The average daily incidence per 100k population over the last 14 days is 27.4 (compared to 28.1 last week).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,439.0 (21 less than yesterday - down 1.4%), 816% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 77.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.39% (0 less than yesterday - down 1.4%), 209% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 91% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 714.0 (1 less than yesterday - down 0.1%), 360% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 82% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 9.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 12.5%), 0% above the lowest observed value of 9.0 on 4/12/2021 and 95% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 9,227 non-ICU beds, of which 7,573 (82.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 552 (6.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,102 (11.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,381 ICU beds, of which 875 (63.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 159 (11.5%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 347 (25.1%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,075 non-ICU beds, of which 7,109 (78.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 549 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,417 (15.6%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,368 ICU beds, of which 821 (60.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 165 (12.1%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 382 (27.9%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,563.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 25.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 658.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.53% (or 4.26% excluding higher education).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

Day-to-day changes are mixed; deaths and cases are both up, but estimated active cases, percent-positive and hospitalizations are all down. The seven-day averages are mostly down day-to-day as well. In somewhat more hopeful news, the seven-day average for deaths, cases and percent-positive are all below where they were two weeks ago, and the fourteen-day average daily incidence rate is down for the first time since March 17.

We are still looking at (IMHO) way too high a case rate to be in the fourth phase ("the new normal") of the state reopening plan, but at least we're not in the horrible position that Michigan is. Per https://www.covidactnow.org, Michigan now has a seven-day incidence rate of 78.7 daily new cases per 100k population, worse in the country by far, and "earning" the dubious distinction of the only state in the burnt-red "severe risk" category. By comparison, Massachusetts has "merely" 30.4 daily new cases per 100k population, eleventh worst in the nation but solidly in the "very high risk" category (along with thirteen other states and Puerto Rico).

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 35 active and 922 cumulative cases as of April 14. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 4:45PM on April 13, 2021 reported 914 cumulative cases with 30 individuals in isolation, 852 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.
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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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