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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 8 newly reported confirmed deaths (13 less than yesterday - down 61.9%) for a total of 17,022 deaths, 1,938 newly reported confirmed cases (354 less than yesterday - down 15.4%) for a total of 613,763 cases, and 112,416 newly reported molecular tests (5,707 less than yesterday - down 4.8%). The seven day average positivity rate is 2.29%, compared to 2.46% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 3.94%, compared to 4.14% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 35,149 (74 more than yesterday - up 0.2%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 344 and 455 newly reported probable cases (197 more than yesterday - up 76.4%) for a total of 39,203. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 8 new deaths for a total of 17,366 and 2,393 new cases for a total of 652,966. There were 735 COVID-19 patients in hospital (20 less than yesterday - down 2.6%), 176 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (3 less than yesterday - down 1.7%) and 95 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (10 less than yesterday - down 9.5%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,419.0 (58 less than yesterday - down 3.9%), 803% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 78.0% below the highest observed value of 6,239.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 2.29% (0 less than yesterday - down 6.7%), 197% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 92% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 719.0 (6 more than yesterday - up 0.8%), 363% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 82% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 18.0 (4 less than yesterday - down 18.2%), 63% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 90% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 9,253 non-ICU beds, of which 7,542 (81.5%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 559 (6.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,152 (12.5%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,394 ICU beds, of which 872 (62.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 176 (12.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 346 (24.8%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,220 non-ICU beds, of which 7,377 (80.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 576 (6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,267 (13.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,400 ICU beds, of which 857 (61.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 179 (12.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 364 (26.0%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 1,350.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 32.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 602.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.22% (or 3.89% excluding higher education).

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 867 total cases, with a two-week case count of 48 cases, a daily incidence rate of 14.4 which is higher than last week, and a risk color code of yellow. Acton is also listed as having 41,001 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 2,204 and a two-week positive test count of 50, for a percent-positive rate of 2.27 which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 611,825 total cases, with a two-week case count of 27,379 cases, a daily incidence rate of 28.1 which is higher than last week, and a risk color code of gray. Massachusetts is also listed as having 19,431,439 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 1,211,624 and a two-week positive test count of 30,775, for a percent-positive rate of 2.54 which is higher than last week.

Of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 97 are coded gray (compared to 101 last week), 23 are coded green (compared to 23 last week), and 154 are coded yellow (compared to 172 last week). The remaining 77 towns are coded red (compared to 55 last week): Abington, Adams, Athol, Ayer, Barnstable, Billerica, Blackstone, Brewster, Brockton, Carver, Chatham, Chelmsford, Chicopee, Dennis, Dighton, Dracut, East Longmeadow, Edgartown, Everett, Fall River, Framingham, Freetown, Granby, Halifax, Hamilton, Hampden, Hanson, Holyoke, Hopedale, Hull, Lakeville, Lawrence, Littleton, Lowell, Ludlow, Lynn, Mansfield, Mashpee, Methuen, Middleborough, Milford, Monson, Nantucket, New Bedford, Oak Bluffs, Orange, Palmer, Paxton, Peabody, Plainville, Plymouth, Raynham, Rehoboth, Revere, Sandwich, Saugus, Seekonk, Somerset, Southampton, Southborough, Springfield, Sutton, Swansea, Taunton, Tisbury, Tyngsborough, Ware, Wareham, Wenham, West Boylston, West Bridgewater, West Springfield, Westport, Whitman, Williamstown, Winchendon, and Yarmouth.

27 cities/towns are newly coded red this week (Billerica, Chatham, Chelmsford, Dighton, East Longmeadow, Edgartown, Hamilton, Holyoke, Hopedale, Hull, Littleton, Middleborough, Oak Bluffs, Paxton, Rehoboth, Revere, Somerset, Southampton, Swansea, Taunton, Tisbury, Wareham, Wenham, West Springfield, Westport, Whitman, and Winchendon) and 5 cities/towns are no longer coded red this week (Canton, Harwich, North Attleborough, Pembroke, and Templeton).

Of the 10 towns near my church, 2 are coded gray (Berlin, and Boxborough), 2 are coded green (Bolton, and Harvard), 6 are coded yellow (Acton, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, Stow, and Sudbury), and none are coded red.

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

Day-to-day deaths and cases are both down for once, which is good; so are the hospitalization counts and most of the seven-day averages. On the other hand, the estimated active case total is up again, and the seven-day averages for cases, hospitalizations and percent-positive are all still above where they were two weeks ago; that's not good. Even worse, the weekly city and town numbers are showing seventy-seven communities in the high-risk category, up twenty-two from last week; this is the fourth week in a row where that number has grown. My own town of Acton has jumped from green last week to yellow this week, with nearly twice as many cases and a positivity rate that also nearly doubled.

Meanwhile, https://www.covidactnow.org/ now is showing Massachusetts as having the ninth-highest daily incidence rate in the US, at 31.1 daily new cases per 100k population. That's down from last week (Massachusetts was number 6 on March 30), but only because other states have gotten much worse. (Michigan is currently the worst-hit state, with 70.2 daily new cases per 100k population.)

Alas, there's no sign anywhere that I can see in the news that Governor Charlie Baker gives a good goddamn about rising cases.

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 41 active and 894 cumulative cases as of April 7. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 1:30PM on April 3, 2021 reported 871 cumulative cases with 38 individuals in isolation, 801 persons recovered and 32 fatalities.
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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

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