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As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 45 newly reported confirmed deaths (7 less than yesterday - down 13.5%) for a total of 13,469 deaths, 2,567 newly reported confirmed cases (657 less than yesterday - down 20.4%) for a total of 454,102 cases, and 55,565 newly reported molecular tests (5,648 more than yesterday - up 11.3%). The seven day average positivity rate is 5.94%, compared to 5.91% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 7.28%, compared to 7.24% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 93,300 (5,450 less than yesterday - down 5.5%). The state also reported -1 newly reported probable deaths (2 less than yesterday - down 200.0%) for a total of 280 and 518 newly reported probable cases (441 more than yesterday - up 572.7%) for a total of 22,424. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 44 new deaths for a total of 13,749 and 3,085 new cases for a total of 476,526. There were 2,213 COVID-19 patients in hospital (7 more than yesterday - up 0.3%), 432 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (5 more than yesterday - up 1.2%) and 277 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (11 less than yesterday - down 3.8%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 3,235.0 (551 less than yesterday - down 14.6%), 1,960% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 49.0% below the highest observed value of 6,226.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 5.94% (0 more than yesterday - up 0.6%), 671% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 79% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 2,204.0 (same as yesterday), 1,321% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 44% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 56.0 (6 less than yesterday - down 9.7%), 409% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 68% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 9,303 non-ICU beds, of which 6,229 (67.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,781 (19.1%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,293 (13.9%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,476 ICU beds, of which 732 (49.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 432 (29.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 312 (21.1%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,280 non-ICU beds, of which 6,134 (66.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,779 (19%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,367 (14.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,472 ICU beds, of which 715 (48.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 427 (29.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 330 (22.4%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,271.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 59.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,311.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 8.57% (or 9.37% excluding higher education).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

Could we actually be seeing the beginnings of a downturn? Day-to-day deaths and cases are both down, as is the estimated number of active cases, while newly reported tests are actually up. On the other hand, both the percent-positive rate and the hospitalization counts are up; that's not really conducive to getting excited about things. On the gripping hand, today's newly reported confirmed case count of 2,567 is the lowest that number has been since November 30 of last year, so that's got to count for something.

Meanwhile, the nationwide death toll from COVID-19 has now passed four hundred thousand - all under Donald Trump's "leadership":
The U.S. death toll from the coronavirus eclipsed 400,000 on Tuesday in the waning hours in office for President Donald Trump, whose handling of the crisis has been judged by public health experts a singular failure.

The running total of lives lost, as compiled by Johns Hopkins University, is nearly equal to the number of Americans killed in World II. It is about the population of Tulsa, Oklahoma; Tampa, Florida; or New Orleans. It is equivalent to the sea of humanity that was at Woodstock in 1969.

It is just short of the estimated 409,000 Americans who died in 2019 of strokes, Alzheimer’s, diabetes, flu and pneumonia combined.

And the virus isn’t finished with the U.S. by any means, even with the arrival of the vaccines that could finally vanquish the outbreak: A widely cited model by the University of Washington projects the death toll will reach nearly 567,000 by May 1.


The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 63 active and 638 cumulative cases as of January 18. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 10:30PM on January 13, 2021 reported 596 cumulative cases with 62 individuals in isolation, 504 persons recovered and 30 fatalities.
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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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