Nov. 20th, 2020

edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 34 newly reported confirmed deaths (7 more than yesterday - up 25.9%) for a total of 10,238 and 2,288 newly reported confirmed cases (244 less than yesterday - down 9.6%) for a total of 194,338. The seven day average positivity rate is 3.28%, compared to 3.17% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 5.25%, compared to 5.24% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 35,526 (862 more than yesterday - up 2.5%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (1 less than yesterday) for a total of 231 and 111 newly reported probable cases (39 less than yesterday - down 26.0%) for a total of 6,611. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 34 new deaths for a total of 10,469 and 2,399 new cases for a total of 200,949. There were 904 COVID-19 patients in hospital (13 less than yesterday - down 1.4%), 179 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (2 less than yesterday - down 1.1%) and 75 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (same as yesterday).

Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 1,665 (93 less than yesterday - down 5.3%), 960% above the lowest observed value of 157 on July 4 and 32% below the highest observed value of 2,435 on November 15. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.3% (0 more than yesterday - up 3.3%), 323% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21 and 88% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on April 15. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 823 (31 more than yesterday - up 3.9%), 430% above the lowest observed value of 155 on August 26 and 79% below the highest observed value of 3,874 on April 27. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 25 (same as yesterday), 127% above the lowest observed value of 11 on September 9. and 86% below the highest observed value of 175 on April 24.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 997, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 17, the 7 day hospitalization average was 471, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 2.1% (or 3.76% excluding higher education).

Not great news by any stretch of the imagination. Cases are down a bit day-over-day, as are the number of COVID-19 patients in hospitals and ICUs. OTOH, deaths are up, as are the positivity rates. The "key metrics" are also a mixed bag, with cases down but positivity and hospitalization counts up. And the absolute numbers continue to suck; we've been above two thousand new cases per day every day but one of the last eleven, while the estimated active case count has gone up every single day since the state started reporting in on November 2.

Oh, and as I guessed back on Wednesday, New Hampshire and Maine were dropped from Massachusetts' latest "lower-risk states" list. The only remaining states on that list are Hawai'i and Vermont, both of which are currently mandating quarantines for everyone crossing their respective borders. Good thing I'm not planning on any interstate travel for the next few months, I suppose.

The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 9:15PM on November 18, the town of Acton reported 275 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 23 individuals in isolation, 231 recovered and 21 fatalities.

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edschweppe: Myself in a black suit and black bow tie (Default)
Edmund Schweppe

February 2025

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