Local COVID-19 updates
Nov. 1st, 2020 05:39 pmAs of 4PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 22 newly reported confirmed deaths (6 more than yesterday - up 37.5%) for a total of 9,788 deaths, 1,139 newly reported confirmed cases (153 less than yesterday - down 11.8%) for a total of 155,660 cases, and 16,724 new patients tested by molecular tests (1,398 less than yesterday - down 7.7%) for a total of 2,758,047 individuals tested. There were 62,463 new molecular tests reported (30,771 less than yesterday - down 33.0%) with a total of 6,165,624 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 6.8%, compared to 7.1% yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 225 deaths, and zero newly reported probable cases (138 less than yesterday) for a total of 4,047 cases. The state also reported 153 patients tested by antibody tests (50 less than yesterday - down 24.6%) for a total of 127,372 patients, and 698 patients tested by antigen tests (1,811 less than yesterday - down 72.2%) for a total of 188,181 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 22 new deaths for a total of 10,013 and 1,139 new cases for a total of 159,707.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 1,220.0 compared to 924.7 last week (up 31.9%) and 639.9 two weeks ago (up 90.7%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 21.1 compared to 17.6 last week (up 20.3%) and 18.4 two weeks ago (up 14.7%). The seven day average number of newly tested individuals per day is 17,983.6 compared to 16,789.9 last week (up 7.1%) and 14,754.9 two weeks ago (up 21.9%). The seven day average percentage of individuals coming back confirmed positive per day is 6.8% compared to 5.5% last week and 4.3% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.8%, 133% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 602, 99% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 1, 1 above the lowest observed value of 0 on October 18. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 19, 100% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Ai-yai-yai!
On a straight day-to-day comparison, today's numbers are a mixed bag - cases are down, which is great; but tests are also down, and deaths are up. But the absolute numbers are horrible - we haven't been below a thousand cases a day since October 23, and we're over ten thousand deaths (confirmed and probable) for the first time ever. The seven-day averages for deaths and cases are still on upward trajectories, with no end in sight. And the state's "key metrics"? While the seven-day average positive test rate and three-day average death count show a bit of a downward trend, they're still both twice (or more) of the lowest observed values from just a couple of months ago. And the three-day average count of hospitalized patients is nearly twice the LOV and is continuing to trend upward. The last time than average was above six hundred was back in July - specifically July 10, when the state was reporting a three-day average of 613 COVID-19 patients in hospital, the state reopening plan was just hitting Phase 3, and I was mourning the cancellation of the All Star 2 conference on Star Island.
Not a peep from Governor Baker.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 2:45PM on October 28, the town of Acton reported 233 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 11 individuals in isolation, 201 recovered and 21 fatalities.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 1,220.0 compared to 924.7 last week (up 31.9%) and 639.9 two weeks ago (up 90.7%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 21.1 compared to 17.6 last week (up 20.3%) and 18.4 two weeks ago (up 14.7%). The seven day average number of newly tested individuals per day is 17,983.6 compared to 16,789.9 last week (up 7.1%) and 14,754.9 two weeks ago (up 21.9%). The seven day average percentage of individuals coming back confirmed positive per day is 6.8% compared to 5.5% last week and 4.3% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.8%, 133% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 602, 99% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 1, 1 above the lowest observed value of 0 on October 18. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 19, 100% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Ai-yai-yai!
On a straight day-to-day comparison, today's numbers are a mixed bag - cases are down, which is great; but tests are also down, and deaths are up. But the absolute numbers are horrible - we haven't been below a thousand cases a day since October 23, and we're over ten thousand deaths (confirmed and probable) for the first time ever. The seven-day averages for deaths and cases are still on upward trajectories, with no end in sight. And the state's "key metrics"? While the seven-day average positive test rate and three-day average death count show a bit of a downward trend, they're still both twice (or more) of the lowest observed values from just a couple of months ago. And the three-day average count of hospitalized patients is nearly twice the LOV and is continuing to trend upward. The last time than average was above six hundred was back in July - specifically July 10, when the state was reporting a three-day average of 613 COVID-19 patients in hospital, the state reopening plan was just hitting Phase 3, and I was mourning the cancellation of the All Star 2 conference on Star Island.
Not a peep from Governor Baker.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 2:45PM on October 28, the town of Acton reported 233 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 11 individuals in isolation, 201 recovered and 21 fatalities.