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Local COVID-19 updates
Oct. 14th, 2020 06:54 pmBig wall-o-text today, what with it being the day the town-by-town data comes out. I've added a check of the risk color codes for the towns near my church (and the news ain't good, folks).
As of 6PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 16 newly reported confirmed deaths (4 more than yesterday - up 33.3%) for a total of 9,429 deaths, 518 newly reported confirmed cases (114 less than yesterday - down 18.0%) for a total of 138,083 cases, and 13,057 new patients tested by molecular tests (687 less than yesterday - down 5.0%) for a total of 2,456,951 individuals tested. There were 38,684 new molecular tests reported (3,432 less than yesterday - down 8.1%) with a total of 4,896,199 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 4.0%, compared to 4.6% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (same as yesterday) for a total of 218 deaths, and 62 newly reported probable cases (55 less than yesterday - down 47.0%) for a total of 2,909 cases. The state also reported 247 patients tested by antibody tests (140 more than yesterday - up 130.8%) for a total of 123,336 patients, and 2,362 patients tested by antigen tests (1,130 less than yesterday - down 32.4%) for a total of 156,556 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 17 new deaths for a total of 9,647 and 580 new cases for a total of 140,992.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 602.1 compared to 587.9 last week (up 2.4%) and 477.9 two weeks ago (up 26.0%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 12.4 compared to 14.3 last week (down 13.0%) and 15.3 two weeks ago (down 18.7%). The seven day average number of newly tested individuals per day is 15,737.3 compared to 16,084.0 last week (down 2.2%) and 15,480.3 two weeks ago (up 1.7%). The seven day average percentage of individuals coming back confirmed positive per day is 3.8% compared to 3.7% last week and 3.1% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.3%, 67% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 505, 67% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 3, 3 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 13, 39% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 208 cases, with a two week case count of 10 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 3.0 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of green. Acton is also listed as having 11,275 total tests, with 1,655 total tests and 10 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.60% over the last fourteen days, which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 138,083 cases, with a two week case count of 8,443 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 8.7 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of red. The state is also listed as having 4,896,199 total tests, with 865,003 total tests and 10,090 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 1.17% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 163 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 40 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 85 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 63 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Abington, Acushnet, Amherst, Attleboro, Auburn, Berkley, Boston, Brockton, Canton, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Dartmouth, East Bridgewater, East Longmeadow, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Framingham, Hanover, Hanson, Haverhill, Hingham, Holbrook, Holliston, Holyoke, Hudson, Kingston, Lawrence, Leicester, Littleton, Lowell, Lynn, Malden, Marlborough, Marshfield, Methuen, Middleton, Milford, Milton, Nantucket, New Bedford, North Andover, Oxford, Pembroke, Plymouth, Randolph, Revere, Rockland, Saugus, Shrewsbury, Somerville, Southborough, Springfield, Sunderland, Tyngsborough, Wakefield, Waltham, Webster, West Newbury, Weymouth, Winthrop, Woburn, and Worcester.
Of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, 6 are coded gray (Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, Maynard, and Stow), 1 is coded green (Acton (3.0 daily cases/100k)), 1 is coded yellow (Sudbury (4.0 daily cases/100k)), and 2 are coded red (Hudson (17.4 daily cases/100k), and Marlborough (19.9 daily cases/100k)).
Not my idea of good news, overall. The day-to-day death count is up, which is never good; on the other hand, the day-to-day case count is down, which is generally good. The seven-day case count averages are trending upward, which is bad; on the other hand, the seven-day deaths averages are trending down, which is good. The really bad news is that more and more towns are falling into the moderate or high-risk category, and the state as a whole is now above eight daily cases per 100k population. In fact, Massachusetts now does not qualify as a "lower-risk" state for the purposes of the Massachusetts COVID-19 Travel Order governing travel to Massachusetts!.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 9:15AM on October 7, the town of Acton reported 212 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 3 individuals in isolation, 188 recovered and 21 fatalities.
As of 6PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 16 newly reported confirmed deaths (4 more than yesterday - up 33.3%) for a total of 9,429 deaths, 518 newly reported confirmed cases (114 less than yesterday - down 18.0%) for a total of 138,083 cases, and 13,057 new patients tested by molecular tests (687 less than yesterday - down 5.0%) for a total of 2,456,951 individuals tested. There were 38,684 new molecular tests reported (3,432 less than yesterday - down 8.1%) with a total of 4,896,199 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 4.0%, compared to 4.6% yesterday. The state also reported 1 newly reported probable death (same as yesterday) for a total of 218 deaths, and 62 newly reported probable cases (55 less than yesterday - down 47.0%) for a total of 2,909 cases. The state also reported 247 patients tested by antibody tests (140 more than yesterday - up 130.8%) for a total of 123,336 patients, and 2,362 patients tested by antigen tests (1,130 less than yesterday - down 32.4%) for a total of 156,556 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 17 new deaths for a total of 9,647 and 580 new cases for a total of 140,992.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 602.1 compared to 587.9 last week (up 2.4%) and 477.9 two weeks ago (up 26.0%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 12.4 compared to 14.3 last week (down 13.0%) and 15.3 two weeks ago (down 18.7%). The seven day average number of newly tested individuals per day is 15,737.3 compared to 16,084.0 last week (down 2.2%) and 15,480.3 two weeks ago (up 1.7%). The seven day average percentage of individuals coming back confirmed positive per day is 3.8% compared to 3.7% last week and 3.1% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.3%, 67% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 505, 67% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 3, 3 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 13, 39% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 208 cases, with a two week case count of 10 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 3.0 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of green. Acton is also listed as having 11,275 total tests, with 1,655 total tests and 10 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.60% over the last fourteen days, which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 138,083 cases, with a two week case count of 8,443 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 8.7 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of red. The state is also listed as having 4,896,199 total tests, with 865,003 total tests and 10,090 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 1.17% over the last fourteen days, which is higher than last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 163 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 40 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 85 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 63 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Abington, Acushnet, Amherst, Attleboro, Auburn, Berkley, Boston, Brockton, Canton, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Dartmouth, East Bridgewater, East Longmeadow, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Framingham, Hanover, Hanson, Haverhill, Hingham, Holbrook, Holliston, Holyoke, Hudson, Kingston, Lawrence, Leicester, Littleton, Lowell, Lynn, Malden, Marlborough, Marshfield, Methuen, Middleton, Milford, Milton, Nantucket, New Bedford, North Andover, Oxford, Pembroke, Plymouth, Randolph, Revere, Rockland, Saugus, Shrewsbury, Somerville, Southborough, Springfield, Sunderland, Tyngsborough, Wakefield, Waltham, Webster, West Newbury, Weymouth, Winthrop, Woburn, and Worcester.
Of the 10 towns near my church in Stow, 6 are coded gray (Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, Maynard, and Stow), 1 is coded green (Acton (3.0 daily cases/100k)), 1 is coded yellow (Sudbury (4.0 daily cases/100k)), and 2 are coded red (Hudson (17.4 daily cases/100k), and Marlborough (19.9 daily cases/100k)).
Not my idea of good news, overall. The day-to-day death count is up, which is never good; on the other hand, the day-to-day case count is down, which is generally good. The seven-day case count averages are trending upward, which is bad; on the other hand, the seven-day deaths averages are trending down, which is good. The really bad news is that more and more towns are falling into the moderate or high-risk category, and the state as a whole is now above eight daily cases per 100k population. In fact, Massachusetts now does not qualify as a "lower-risk" state for the purposes of the Massachusetts COVID-19 Travel Order governing travel to Massachusetts!.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 9:15AM on October 7, the town of Acton reported 212 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 3 individuals in isolation, 188 recovered and 21 fatalities.