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Local COVID-19 updates
Oct. 3rd, 2020 04:35 pmAs of 4PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 17 newly reported confirmed deaths (7 more than yesterday - up 70.0%) for a total of 9,292 deaths, 600 newly reported confirmed cases (153 less than yesterday - down 20.3%) for a total of 131,814 cases, and 13,813 new patients tested by molecular tests (7,638 less than yesterday - down 35.6%) for a total of 2,287,625 individuals tested, with a total of 4,265,786 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 4.3%, compared to 3.5% yesterday. The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 215 deaths, and 72 newly reported probable cases (64 more than yesterday - up 800.0%) for a total of 2,489 cases. The state also reported 101 patients tested by antibody tests (291 less than yesterday - down 74.2%) for a total of 121,078 patients, and 2,626 patients tested by antigen tests (2,118 more than yesterday - up 416.9%) for a total of 136,823 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 17 new deaths for a total of 9,507 and 672 new cases for a total of 134,303.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 568.9 compared to 384.7 last week (up 47.9%) and 357.4 two weeks ago (up 59.2%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 16.3 compared to 13.3 last week (up 22.6%) and 14.0 two weeks ago (up 16.3%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 16,152.1 compared to 15,248.4 last week (up 5.9%) and 17,698.6 two weeks ago (down 8.7%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 3.5% compared to 2.5% last week and 2.1% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.1%, 44% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 424, 40% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 2, 2 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 16, 71% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Fuck.
Day-to-day deaths are up. Cases are down, but newly tested people are way down, and the percentage of folks testing positive is way up. (That ratio was sitting closer to one percent a couple of weeks ago.) The seven-day average number of people newly tested is up a bit over last week, but that's pretty much the only good news in the seven-day averages - cases are way, way up, deaths are climbing, and percent-positive is trending towards out-of-control territory. There's some good news in the state's "key metrics", where both patients-in-hospital and number-of-hospitals-in-surge are down compared to yesterday; however, everything is still way up from the lowest observed values.
All this should be a screamingly loud signal to Governor Baker that things are trending in the wrong direction; however, I haven't seen any reports that he's even noticed yet.
By the way, that seven-day average number of new cases? Assuming a statewide population of around 6.9 million, 568.9 cases per day equals 82 cases per million per day, or 8.2 cases per 100k per day, which would put the state as a whole in its own red zone - and leave Massachusetts off the list of so-called lower risk states from which one may travel to Massachusetts without quarantining oneself.
Again, I say fuck.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 8:15PM on September 28, the town of Acton reported 207 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 5 individuals in isolation, 181 recovered and 21 fatalities.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 568.9 compared to 384.7 last week (up 47.9%) and 357.4 two weeks ago (up 59.2%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 16.3 compared to 13.3 last week (up 22.6%) and 14.0 two weeks ago (up 16.3%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 16,152.1 compared to 15,248.4 last week (up 5.9%) and 17,698.6 two weeks ago (down 8.7%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 3.5% compared to 2.5% last week and 2.1% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 1.1%, 44% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 21. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 424, 40% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 2, 2 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 16, 71% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Fuck.
Day-to-day deaths are up. Cases are down, but newly tested people are way down, and the percentage of folks testing positive is way up. (That ratio was sitting closer to one percent a couple of weeks ago.) The seven-day average number of people newly tested is up a bit over last week, but that's pretty much the only good news in the seven-day averages - cases are way, way up, deaths are climbing, and percent-positive is trending towards out-of-control territory. There's some good news in the state's "key metrics", where both patients-in-hospital and number-of-hospitals-in-surge are down compared to yesterday; however, everything is still way up from the lowest observed values.
All this should be a screamingly loud signal to Governor Baker that things are trending in the wrong direction; however, I haven't seen any reports that he's even noticed yet.
By the way, that seven-day average number of new cases? Assuming a statewide population of around 6.9 million, 568.9 cases per day equals 82 cases per million per day, or 8.2 cases per 100k per day, which would put the state as a whole in its own red zone - and leave Massachusetts off the list of so-called lower risk states from which one may travel to Massachusetts without quarantining oneself.
Again, I say fuck.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 8:15PM on September 28, the town of Acton reported 207 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 5 individuals in isolation, 181 recovered and 21 fatalities.