Edmund Schweppe (![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
edschweppe) wrote2021-01-21 05:30 pm
edschweppe) wrote2021-01-21 05:30 pm
Entry tags:
Local COVID-19 updates
As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 75 newly reported confirmed deaths (3 less than yesterday - down 3.8%) for a total of 13,622 deaths, 4,821 newly reported confirmed cases (834 more than yesterday - up 20.9%) for a total of 462,910 cases, and 111,726 newly reported molecular tests (29,159 more than yesterday - up 35.3%). The seven day average positivity rate is 5.57%, compared to 5.86% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 7.10%, compared to 7.26% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 88,929 (1,225 less than yesterday - down 1.4%). The state also reported 2 newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 284 and 319 newly reported probable cases (208 less than yesterday - down 39.5%) for a total of 23,270. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 77 new deaths for a total of 13,906 and 5,140 new cases for a total of 486,180. There were 2,152 COVID-19 patients in hospital (57 less than yesterday - down 2.6%), 430 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (14 less than yesterday - down 3.2%) and 287 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (12 less than yesterday - down 4.0%).
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 2,978.0 (39 less than yesterday - down 1.3%), 1,796% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 53.0% below the highest observed value of 6,233.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 5.57% (0 less than yesterday - down 5.0%), 622% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 80% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 2,196.0 (7 less than yesterday - down 0.3%), 1,316% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 44% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 60.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 1.7%), 445% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 66% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,273 non-ICU beds, of which 6,470 (69.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,722 (18.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,081 (11.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,490 ICU beds, of which 795 (53.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 430 (28.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 265 (17.8%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,260 non-ICU beds, of which 6,194 (66.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,765 (19%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,301 (14.0%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,499 ICU beds, of which 745 (49.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 444 (29.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 310 (20.7%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,373.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 61.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,342.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.83% (or 9.08% excluding higher education).
Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 638 total cases, with a two-week case count of 90 cases, a daily incidence rate of 27.1 which is lower than last week, and a risk color code of yellow. Acton is also listed as having 27,351 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 2,864 and a two-week positive test count of 99, for a percent-positive rate of 3.46 which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 458,089 total cases, with a two-week case count of 73,601 cases, a daily incidence rate of 75.5 which is lower than last week, and a risk color code of red. Massachusetts is also listed as having 12,536,712 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 1,221,035 and a two-week positive test count of 83,583, for a percent-positive rate of 6.85 which is lower than last week.
Of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 62 are coded gray (compared to 61 last week), 12 are coded green (compared to 8 last week), and 55 are coded yellow (compared to 53 last week). The remaining 222 towns are coded red (compared to 229 last week): Abington, Acushnet, Adams, Agawam, Amesbury, Andover, Ashburnham, Ashby, Ashland, Athol, Attleboro, Auburn, Avon, Ayer, Barnstable, Barre, Belchertown, Bellingham, Berkley, Berlin, Beverly, Billerica, Blackstone, Boston, Bourne, Boxborough, Boxford, Boylston, Braintree, Brewster, Bridgewater, Brimfield, Brockton, Brookfield, Burlington, Canton, Carver, Charlton, Chatham, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Chicopee, Clinton, Cohasset, Dalton, Danvers, Dartmouth, Dedham, Deerfield, Dennis, Dighton, Douglas, Dover, Dracut, Dudley, Duxbury, East Bridgewater, East Brookfield, East Longmeadow, Easton, Edgartown, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Falmouth, Fitchburg, Foxborough, Framingham, Franklin, Freetown, Gardner, Georgetown, Gloucester, Grafton, Granby, Great Barrington, Groveland, Hadley, Halifax, Hamilton, Hampden, Hanover, Hanson, Harwich, Hatfield, Haverhill, Holbrook, Holden, Holliston, Holyoke, Hopedale, Hudson, Hull, Ipswich, Kingston, Lakeville, Lancaster, Lawrence, Lee, Leicester, Leominster, Littleton, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Manchester, Mansfield, Marion, Marlborough, Marshfield, Mashpee, Mattapoisett, Maynard, Medford, Medway, Merrimac, Methuen, Middleborough, Middleton, Milford, Millbury, Millis, Monson, Nahant, Nantucket, New Bedford, Newbury, Norfolk, North Andover, North Attleborough, North Brookfield, North Reading, Norton, Norwell, Norwood, Oak Bluffs, Orange, Oxford, Palmer, Paxton, Peabody, Pembroke, Pepperell, Pittsfield, Plainville, Plymouth, Plympton, Quincy, Randolph, Raynham, Reading, Rehoboth, Revere, Rochester, Rockland, Rockport, Rowley, Rutland, Salem, Salisbury, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Shirley, Shrewsbury, Somerset, Southampton, Southborough, Southbridge, Southwick, Spencer, Springfield, Sterling, Stoneham, Stoughton, Stow, Sturbridge, Sunderland, Sutton, Swampscott, Swansea, Taunton, Templeton, Tewksbury, Tisbury, Topsfield, Townsend, Tyngsborough, Upton, Uxbridge, Wakefield, Walpole, Waltham, Ware, Wareham, Warren, Webster, Wenham, West Boylston, West Bridgewater, West Brookfield, West Newbury, West Springfield, Westfield, Westford, Westminster, Westport, Westwood, Weymouth, Whitman, Wilbraham, Wilmington, Winchendon, Winthrop, Woburn, Worcester, Wrentham, and Yarmouth.
6 cities/towns are newly coded red this week (Ashby, Boxborough, Deerfield, Falmouth, Plympton, and West Newbury) and 13 cities/towns are no longer coded red this week (Cheshire, Easthampton, Hingham, Hopkinton, Longmeadow, Marblehead, Millville, Milton, Northborough, Orleans, Sherborn, Somerville, and South Hadley).
Of the 10 towns near my church, none are coded gray, one is coded green (Harvard), 3 are coded yellow (Acton, Bolton, and Sudbury), and 6 are coded red (Berlin, Boxborough, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, and Stow).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Day-to-day cases are up again, but deaths are down, as are the percent-positive ratio and the various hospitalization counts. The percentages of available hospital beds (both in and out of the ICUs) dropped again on a day-to-day basis, though, and that doesn't seem like good news to me.
Apparently, Governor Baker thinks the state has turned the corner on the holiday surges, as he's decided to lift the stay-at-home advisory and early closure order as of Monday morning:
I hope he's right, and that things are going in the right direction. I'm not nearly as convinced as he sounds like, though; we're still way above the case levels seen on, say, December 1 of last year. And the virus signals from the latest MRWA wastewater sampling data are still well above November and December levels, which bodes ill for the upcoming weeks.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 42 active and 646 cumulative cases as of January 20. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 10:30PM on January 13, 2021 reported 596 cumulative cases with 62 individuals in isolation, 504 persons recovered and 30 fatalities.
Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 2,978.0 (39 less than yesterday - down 1.3%), 1,796% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 53.0% below the highest observed value of 6,233.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 5.57% (0 less than yesterday - down 5.0%), 622% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 80% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 2,196.0 (7 less than yesterday - down 0.3%), 1,316% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 44% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 60.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 1.7%), 445% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 66% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.
Statewide, hospitals reported 9,273 non-ICU beds, of which 6,470 (69.8%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,722 (18.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,081 (11.7%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,490 ICU beds, of which 795 (53.4%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 430 (28.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 265 (17.8%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,260 non-ICU beds, of which 6,194 (66.9%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,765 (19%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,301 (14.0%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,499 ICU beds, of which 745 (49.7%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 444 (29.6%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 310 (20.7%) remained available.
Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,373.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 61.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,342.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.83% (or 9.08% excluding higher education).
Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 638 total cases, with a two-week case count of 90 cases, a daily incidence rate of 27.1 which is lower than last week, and a risk color code of yellow. Acton is also listed as having 27,351 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 2,864 and a two-week positive test count of 99, for a percent-positive rate of 3.46 which is lower than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 458,089 total cases, with a two-week case count of 73,601 cases, a daily incidence rate of 75.5 which is lower than last week, and a risk color code of red. Massachusetts is also listed as having 12,536,712 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 1,221,035 and a two-week positive test count of 83,583, for a percent-positive rate of 6.85 which is lower than last week.
Of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 62 are coded gray (compared to 61 last week), 12 are coded green (compared to 8 last week), and 55 are coded yellow (compared to 53 last week). The remaining 222 towns are coded red (compared to 229 last week): Abington, Acushnet, Adams, Agawam, Amesbury, Andover, Ashburnham, Ashby, Ashland, Athol, Attleboro, Auburn, Avon, Ayer, Barnstable, Barre, Belchertown, Bellingham, Berkley, Berlin, Beverly, Billerica, Blackstone, Boston, Bourne, Boxborough, Boxford, Boylston, Braintree, Brewster, Bridgewater, Brimfield, Brockton, Brookfield, Burlington, Canton, Carver, Charlton, Chatham, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Chicopee, Clinton, Cohasset, Dalton, Danvers, Dartmouth, Dedham, Deerfield, Dennis, Dighton, Douglas, Dover, Dracut, Dudley, Duxbury, East Bridgewater, East Brookfield, East Longmeadow, Easton, Edgartown, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Falmouth, Fitchburg, Foxborough, Framingham, Franklin, Freetown, Gardner, Georgetown, Gloucester, Grafton, Granby, Great Barrington, Groveland, Hadley, Halifax, Hamilton, Hampden, Hanover, Hanson, Harwich, Hatfield, Haverhill, Holbrook, Holden, Holliston, Holyoke, Hopedale, Hudson, Hull, Ipswich, Kingston, Lakeville, Lancaster, Lawrence, Lee, Leicester, Leominster, Littleton, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Manchester, Mansfield, Marion, Marlborough, Marshfield, Mashpee, Mattapoisett, Maynard, Medford, Medway, Merrimac, Methuen, Middleborough, Middleton, Milford, Millbury, Millis, Monson, Nahant, Nantucket, New Bedford, Newbury, Norfolk, North Andover, North Attleborough, North Brookfield, North Reading, Norton, Norwell, Norwood, Oak Bluffs, Orange, Oxford, Palmer, Paxton, Peabody, Pembroke, Pepperell, Pittsfield, Plainville, Plymouth, Plympton, Quincy, Randolph, Raynham, Reading, Rehoboth, Revere, Rochester, Rockland, Rockport, Rowley, Rutland, Salem, Salisbury, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Shirley, Shrewsbury, Somerset, Southampton, Southborough, Southbridge, Southwick, Spencer, Springfield, Sterling, Stoneham, Stoughton, Stow, Sturbridge, Sunderland, Sutton, Swampscott, Swansea, Taunton, Templeton, Tewksbury, Tisbury, Topsfield, Townsend, Tyngsborough, Upton, Uxbridge, Wakefield, Walpole, Waltham, Ware, Wareham, Warren, Webster, Wenham, West Boylston, West Bridgewater, West Brookfield, West Newbury, West Springfield, Westfield, Westford, Westminster, Westport, Westwood, Weymouth, Whitman, Wilbraham, Wilmington, Winchendon, Winthrop, Woburn, Worcester, Wrentham, and Yarmouth.
6 cities/towns are newly coded red this week (Ashby, Boxborough, Deerfield, Falmouth, Plympton, and West Newbury) and 13 cities/towns are no longer coded red this week (Cheshire, Easthampton, Hingham, Hopkinton, Longmeadow, Marblehead, Millville, Milton, Northborough, Orleans, Sherborn, Somerville, and South Hadley).
Of the 10 towns near my church, none are coded gray, one is coded green (Harvard), 3 are coded yellow (Acton, Bolton, and Sudbury), and 6 are coded red (Berlin, Boxborough, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, and Stow).
The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.
Day-to-day cases are up again, but deaths are down, as are the percent-positive ratio and the various hospitalization counts. The percentages of available hospital beds (both in and out of the ICUs) dropped again on a day-to-day basis, though, and that doesn't seem like good news to me.
Apparently, Governor Baker thinks the state has turned the corner on the holiday surges, as he's decided to lift the stay-at-home advisory and early closure order as of Monday morning:
Governor Charlie Baker announced on Thursday that he would begin lifting some coronavirus restrictions in Massachusetts as the state sees improvement in test positivity rates and hospitalizations.
Baker told reporters that he would lift the stay at home advisory and the measure requiring many businesses to close by 9:30 p.m. as of Monday, saying that COVID-19 numbers in the state are trending in the right direction.
"Effective Monday, Jan. 25 at 5 a.m. the early closure business order and the stay at home advisory will be lifted," Baker said.
The announcement means that restaurants and other affected businesses that had been forced to close their doors by 9:30 p.m. each night will now be able to operate past that time. The restrictions have been in place since November, when coronavirus cases in Massachusetts were surging.
[ ... ]
Baker added that if COVID-19 numbers continue to improve, he would revisit remaining restrictions.
"As hospitals continue to stabilize after the holidays and the average positive case rate declines, we hope to see those trends continue moving forward," Baker said. "And if they do, we'll be back to talk about lifting some of the restrictions that are currently in place as soon as it makes sense to do so."
The stay-at-home advisory has covered the hours from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. for months, and Baker, said Thursday that when it was enacted in early November, it "built on a stay-at-home and be safe advisory" in place previously.
"I think, from our point of view, the drop in hospitalizations, positive cases, and percent [of] positive cases, even though we've continued to test at a significant level, justifies making modest adjustments to our current program," Baker said. "And the one that we believe was most appropriate, given both when it was put in place and how long it's been there, is the one that was associated with the overnight stay-at-home" advisory.
I hope he's right, and that things are going in the right direction. I'm not nearly as convinced as he sounds like, though; we're still way above the case levels seen on, say, December 1 of last year. And the virus signals from the latest MRWA wastewater sampling data are still well above November and December levels, which bodes ill for the upcoming weeks.
The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 42 active and 646 cumulative cases as of January 20. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 10:30PM on January 13, 2021 reported 596 cumulative cases with 62 individuals in isolation, 504 persons recovered and 30 fatalities.