Edmund Schweppe (![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
edschweppe) wrote2020-09-23 07:52 pm
edschweppe) wrote2020-09-23 07:52 pm
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Local COVID-19 updates
As of 6PM [1] today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 17 newly reported confirmed deaths (6 more than yesterday - up 54.5%) for a total of 9,135 deaths, 542 newly reported confirmed cases (399 more than yesterday - up 279.0%) for a total of 126,408 cases, and 20,662 new patients tested by molecular tests (11,527 more than yesterday - up 126.2%) for a total of 2,125,840 individuals tested, with a total of 3,557,548 molecular tests administered to date. The ratio of newly confirmed cases to individuals tested by molecular test is 2.6%, compared to 1.6% yesterday. The state also reported 2 newly reported probable deaths (2 more than yesterday) for a total of 212 deaths, and 1 newly reported probable case (29 less than yesterday - down 96.7%) for a total of 2,104 cases. The state also reported 396 patients tested by antibody tests (313 more than yesterday - up 377.1%) for a total of 118,843 patients, and 735 patients tested by antigen tests (666 less than yesterday - down 47.5%) for a total of 121,231 patients. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 19 new deaths for a total of 9,347 and 543 new cases for a total of 128,512.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 384.0 compared to 332.0 last week (up 15.7%) and 281.4 two weeks ago (up 36.4%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 14.1 compared to 14.1 last week and 12.0 two weeks ago (up 17.9%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 18,454.0 compared to 15,477.0 last week (up 19.2%) and 16,903.1 two weeks ago (up 9.2%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 2.1% compared to 2.1% last week and 1.7% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 0.8%, 0% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 22. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 366, 21% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 2, 2 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 12, 25% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Yikes. Not only was today's data late, but day-to-day confirmed deaths are up, confirmed cases are way, way up, and the percent of those being tested coming back positive is also way up. This may be explained in part by the following note on the front page:
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 195 cases, with a two week case count of less than five new cases total in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 0.9 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of gray. Acton is also listed as having 8,805 total tests, with 1,332 total tests and 3 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.23% over the last fourteen days, which is the same as last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 126,408 cases, with a two week case count of 4,823 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 4.9 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 3,557,548 total tests, with 693,958 total tests and 5,950 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.85% over the last fourteen days, which is the same as last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 207 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 65 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 64 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 15 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Chelsea, Everett, Framingham, Holliston, Lawrence, Lynn, Marlborough, Nantucket, New Bedford, Revere, Saugus, Tyngsborough, Winthrop, Worcester, and Wrentham.
More yikes here; not so much for my town but for the state as a whole. Cases are definitely up, and while it's nice to see that there are "only" 15 cities/towns in the red zone this time around (compared to 17 last week), that's still way too many. And Marlborough is now showing up in the red list; not great, given that several members of my church live there.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 11:15AM on September 22, the town of Acton reported 203 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 2 individuals in isolation, 180 recovered and 21 fatalities.
[1] The data wasn't actually posted until 7:39 PM.
The seven day average number of newly confirmed cases per day is 384.0 compared to 332.0 last week (up 15.7%) and 281.4 two weeks ago (up 36.4%). The seven day average number of newly confirmed deaths per day is 14.1 compared to 14.1 last week and 12.0 two weeks ago (up 17.9%). The seven day average number of molecular tests per day is 18,454.0 compared to 15,477.0 last week (up 19.2%) and 16,903.1 two weeks ago (up 9.2%). The seven day average percentage of tests coming back positive per day is 2.1% compared to 2.1% last week and 1.7% two weeks ago. (The above averages are calculated from today's raw data download.)
Of the Commonwealth's four "key metrics" listed on page 2 of the report, the seven-day weighted average positive test rate is 0.8%, 0% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on September 22. The three-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 366, 21% above the lowest observed value of 302 on August 29. The number of hospitals using surge capacity is 2, 2 above the lowest observed value of 0 on September 5. The three-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 12, 25% above the lowest observed value of 9 on September 7.
Yikes. Not only was today's data late, but day-to-day confirmed deaths are up, confirmed cases are way, way up, and the percent of those being tested coming back positive is also way up. This may be explained in part by the following note on the front page:
Please note: Routine IT maintenance by Amazon Web Services resulted in delayed lab reporting on 9/22. The data from those delayed lab reports are included in today’s report.A day's delay might explain the big jumps in cases and tests, but it certainly doesn't explaind the jump in the ratio of cases to people tested. It also does not explain why the seven-day case, death and percent-positive averages are all on upward trends. Yikes.
Today being Wednesday, the state also released its Weekly COVID - 19 Public Health Report. My town of Acton is listed as having 195 cases, with a two week case count of less than five new cases total in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 0.9 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of gray. Acton is also listed as having 8,805 total tests, with 1,332 total tests and 3 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.23% over the last fourteen days, which is the same as last week. The corresponding statewide numbers are 126,408 cases, with a two week case count of 4,823 new cases in the last fourteen days (higher than last week), a daily incidence rate of 4.9 new cases per day per 100k population in the last fourteen days and a risk color code of yellow. The state is also listed as having 3,557,548 total tests, with 693,958 total tests and 5,950 positive tests in the last fourteen days, for a percent positive rate of 0.85% over the last fourteen days, which is the same as last week.
Of the 351 cities and towns in the commonwealth, 207 are coded gray (less than 5 total reported cases in the last 14 days), 65 are coded green (less than 4.0 daily cases per 100k population), and 64 are coded yellow (4.0 to 8.0 daily cases per 100k population). The remaining 15 cities/towns are coded red (high-risk; more than 8.0 daily cases per 100k population): Chelsea, Everett, Framingham, Holliston, Lawrence, Lynn, Marlborough, Nantucket, New Bedford, Revere, Saugus, Tyngsborough, Winthrop, Worcester, and Wrentham.
More yikes here; not so much for my town but for the state as a whole. Cases are definitely up, and while it's nice to see that there are "only" 15 cities/towns in the red zone this time around (compared to 17 last week), that's still way too many. And Marlborough is now showing up in the red list; not great, given that several members of my church live there.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today. As of the most recent report at 11:15AM on September 22, the town of Acton reported 203 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in town with 2 individuals in isolation, 180 recovered and 21 fatalities.
[1] The data wasn't actually posted until 7:39 PM.
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(And I scrolled down to discover you already announced this.)
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However, that's a very low bar to clear, considering how much of a perambulating clusterfuck the national response has been. Compared to those parts of the world that have things more or less under control, Massachusetts sucks.
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Charlie Baker: just as unprincipled as every other Republican.
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