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Edmund Schweppe ([personal profile] edschweppe) wrote2022-01-06 06:27 pm
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Local COVID-19 updates

As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 43 newly reported confirmed deaths (11 less than yesterday - down 20.4%) for a total of 20,051 deaths, 24,570 newly reported confirmed cases (3,042 less than yesterday - down 11.0%) for a total of 1,159,950 cases, and 114,017 newly reported molecular tests (24,299 less than yesterday - down 17.6%).The seven day average positivity rate is 22.43%, compared to 22.06% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 25.74%; that rate was not reported yesterday. The state also reported 3 newly reported probable deaths (3 more than yesterday) for a total of 459 and 2,841 newly reported probable cases (352 less than yesterday - down 11.0%) for a total of 90,815. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 46 new deaths for a total of 20,510 and 27,411 new cases for a total of 1,250,765. There were 2,524 COVID-19 patients in hospital (98 more than yesterday - up 4.0%), 416 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (11 less than yesterday - down 2.6%) and 259 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (6 less than yesterday - down 2.3%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 12,658.0 (99 more than yesterday - up 0.8%), 19,678% above the lowest observed value of 64.0 on 6/25/2021 and 26.0% below the highest observed value of 16,891.0 on 1/3/2022. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 22.43% (0 more than yesterday - up 1.7%), 7,174% above the lowest observed value of 0.3% on 6/25/2021 and 19% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 2,185.0 (102 more than yesterday - up 4.9%), 2,470% above the lowest observed value of 85.0 on 7/9/2021 and 44% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 35.0 (1 more than yesterday - up 2.9%), 3,400% above the lowest observed value of 1.0 on 7/11/2021 and 80% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 8,824 non-ICU beds, of which 6,112 (69.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 2,108 (23.9%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 604 (6.8%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,268 ICU beds, of which 667 (52.6%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 416 (32.8%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 185 (14.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 8,775 non-ICU beds, of which 6,156 (70.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,999 (23%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 620 (7.1%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,256 ICU beds, of which 655 (52.1%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 427 (34.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 174 (13.9%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 4,818.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 26.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 1,550.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 7.60% (or 9.45% excluding higher education).

One year ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,169.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 62.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,326.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 8.25% (or 9.45% excluding higher education).

Today being Thursday, the state also included city/town specific information in the daily download. My town of Acton is listed as having 1,879 total cases, with a two-week case count of 370 cases, a daily incidence rate of 111.4 which is higher than last week, with a corresponding risk color code of red (if the state was still reporting color codes). Acton is also listed as having 80,738 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 3,230 and a two-week positive test count of 383, for a percent-positive rate of 11.86 which is higher than last week. The corresponding statewide figures are 1,135,380 total cases, with a two-week case count of 147,905 cases, a daily incidence rate of 151.7 which is higher than last week. Massachusetts is also listed as having 36,631,691 total tests, with a two-week total test count of 1,045,082 and a two-week positive test count of 157,100, for a percent-positive rate of 15.03 which is higher than last week.

As of July 1, 2021, the state is no longer reporting risk color codes. However, if it was, of the 351 cites and towns in the Commonwealth, 32 would be coded gray (compared to 43 last week), 9 would be coded green (compared to 11 last week), and 19 would be coded yellow (compared to 30 last week).The remaining 291 towns would be coded red (compared to 267 last week): Abington, Acton, Acushnet, Adams, Agawam, Amesbury, Andover, Arlington, Ashburnham, Ashby, Ashland, Athol, Attleboro, Auburn, Avon, Ayer, Barnstable, Barre, Bedford, Belchertown, Bellingham, Belmont, Berkley, Berlin, Bernardston, Beverly, Billerica, Blackstone, Blandford, Bolton, Boston, Bourne, Boxborough, Boxford, Boylston, Braintree, Brewster, Bridgewater, Brimfield, Brockton, Brookfield, Brookline, Burlington, Cambridge, Canton, Carlisle, Carver, Charlton, Chatham, Chelmsford, Chelsea, Cheshire, Chesterfield, Chicopee, Clinton, Cohasset, Concord, Dalton, Danvers, Dartmouth, Dedham, Deerfield, Dennis, Dighton, Douglas, Dover, Dracut, Dudley, Dunstable, Duxbury, East Bridgewater, East Brookfield, East Longmeadow, Eastham, Easthampton, Easton, Edgartown, Erving, Essex, Everett, Fairhaven, Fall River, Falmouth, Fitchburg, Foxborough, Framingham, Franklin, Freetown, Gardner, Georgetown, Gloucester, Grafton, Granby, Granville, Great Barrington, Greenfield, Groton, Groveland, Hadley, Halifax, Hamilton, Hampden, Hanover, Hanson, Hardwick, Harvard, Harwich, Hatfield, Haverhill, Hingham, Hinsdale, Holbrook, Holden, Holland, Holliston, Holyoke, Hopedale, Hopkinton, Hubbardston, Hudson, Hull, Ipswich, Kingston, Lakeville, Lancaster, Lanesborough, Lawrence, Lee, Leicester, Lenox, Leominster, Leverett, Lexington, Lincoln, Littleton, Longmeadow, Lowell, Ludlow, Lunenburg, Lynn, Lynnfield, Malden, Manchester, Mansfield, Marblehead, Marion, Marlborough, Marshfield, Mashpee, Mattapoisett, Maynard, Medfield, Medford, Medway, Melrose, Mendon, Merrimac, Methuen, Middleborough, Middleton, Milford, Millbury, Millis, Millville, Milton, Monson, Montague, Nahant, Nantucket, Natick, Needham, New Bedford, Newbury, Newburyport, Newton, Norfolk, North Adams, North Andover, North Attleborough, North Brookfield, North Reading, Northampton, Northborough, Northbridge, Northfield, Norton, Norwell, Norwood, Oak Bluffs, Oakham, Orange, Orleans, Oxford, Palmer, Paxton, Peabody, Pembroke, Pepperell, Phillipston, Pittsfield, Plainville, Plymouth, Plympton, Princeton, Quincy, Randolph, Raynham, Reading, Rehoboth, Revere, Rochester, Rockland, Rockport, Rowley, Rutland, Salem, Salisbury, Sandwich, Saugus, Scituate, Seekonk, Sharon, Sheffield, Sherborn, Shirley, Shrewsbury, Somerset, Somerville, South Hadley, Southampton, Southborough, Southbridge, Southwick, Spencer, Springfield, Sterling, Stoneham, Stoughton, Stow, Sturbridge, Sudbury, Sunderland, Sutton, Swampscott, Swansea, Taunton, Templeton, Tewksbury, Tisbury, Topsfield, Townsend, Tyngsborough, Upton, Uxbridge, Wakefield, Walpole, Waltham, Ware, Wareham, Warren, Watertown, Wayland, Webster, Wellesley, Wellfleet, Wenham, West Boylston, West Bridgewater, West Brookfield, West Newbury, West Springfield, Westborough, Westfield, Westford, Westminster, Weston, Westport, Westwood, Weymouth, Whitman, Wilbraham, Williamsburg, Williamstown, Wilmington, Winchendon, Winchester, Winthrop, Woburn, Worcester, Wrentham, and Yarmouth.

27 cities/towns would be newly coded red this week (Arlington, Belmont, Bernardston, Brookline, Cambridge, Chesterfield, Concord, Eastham, Erving, Granville, Hatfield, Hinsdale, Lanesborough, Lexington, Natick, Newton, Northampton, Northfield, Oakham, Phillipston, Princeton, Sheffield, South Hadley, Wellesley, Wellfleet, Williamsburg, and Winchester) and 3 cities/towns would no longer be coded red this week (Huntington, Russell, and West Tisbury).

Of the 10 towns nearby (including my own town), none are coded gray, none are coded green, none are coded yellow, and 10 are coded red (Acton, Boxborough, Carlisle, Chelmsford, Concord, Littleton, Maynard, Stow, Sudbury, and Westford).

Of the 10 towns near my church, none are coded gray, none are coded green, none are coded yellow, and 10 are coded red (Acton, Berlin, Bolton, Boxborough, Harvard, Hudson, Marlborough, Maynard, Stow, and Sudbury).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

For once, both deaths and cases were down substantially on a day-to-day basis, so that's good to see (although both are still way, way too damn high). Hospitalizations keep going up, though, and have now passed the highest levels from last winter's surge. Today's 2,524 patients are the highest that count has been since 2,533 patients were reported on May 18, 2020, as the initial outbreak was beginning to subside. In further bad news, all four of the seven-day averages are up compared to yesterday, with the percent-positive ratio now up to 22.43%.

The Thursday city/town data is also out, and is unsurprisingly bad. If the state was still reporting risk-based color codes, 291 of the 351 communities would be in the highest, "red" category, including my town and every one bordering it.

It's quite the pity that Governor Charlie Baker steadfastly refuses to do a damn thing to reduce cases, even as hospitals fill up across the state. Wonder what he's waiting for?

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 162 active and 1,924 cumulative cases as of January 5. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 7PM on December 21, 2021, the town reported 1538 cumulative cases with 89 individuals in isolation, 1417 recovered and 32 fatalities.

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