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Edmund Schweppe ([personal profile] edschweppe) wrote2021-01-31 05:45 pm
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Local COVID-19 updates

As of 5PM today, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 46 newly reported confirmed deaths (41 less than yesterday - down 47.1%) for a total of 14,287 deaths, 2,546 newly reported confirmed cases (1,411 less than yesterday - down 35.7%) for a total of 498,145 cases, and 93,918 newly reported molecular tests (49,424 less than yesterday - down 34.5%). The seven day average positivity rate is 3.61%, compared to 3.89% yesterday. Excluding higher education, the seven day average positivity rate is 5.29%, compared to 5.70% yesterday. The number of estimated active cases was 71,948 (1,017 less than yesterday - down 1.4%). The state also reported zero newly reported probable deaths (same as yesterday) for a total of 290 and 119 newly reported probable cases (32 less than yesterday - down 21.2%) for a total of 25,880. Combining the confirmed and probable numbers gives 46 new deaths for a total of 14,577 and 2,665 new cases for a total of 524,025. There were 1,676 COVID-19 patients in hospital (63 less than yesterday - down 3.6%), 371 COVID-19 patients in ICUs (22 less than yesterday - down 5.6%) and 231 COVID-19 patients on ventilators (intubated) (8 less than yesterday - down 3.3%).

Of the four overview trends (formerly the Page 2 "key metrics"), the 7-day average of newly confirmed cases is 2,427.0 (13 more than yesterday - up 0.5%), 1,445% above the lowest observed value of 157.0 on 7/4/2020 and 62.0% below the highest observed value of 6,242.0 on 1/8/2021. The 7-day weighted average of positive molecular test rate is 3.61% (0 less than yesterday - down 7.3%), 368% above the lowest observed value of 0.8% on 9/21/2020 and 87% below the highest observed value of 27.7% on 4/15/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 patients in hospital is 1,858.0 (47 less than yesterday - down 2.5%), 1,098% above the lowest observed value of 155.0 on 8/26/2020 and 53% below the highest observed value of 3,874.0 on 4/27/2020. The 7-day average number of COVID-19 deaths is 55.0 (5 less than yesterday - down 8.3%), 400% above the lowest observed value of 11.0 on 9/9/2020 and 69% below the highest observed value of 175.0 on 4/24/2020.

Statewide, hospitals reported 9,178 non-ICU beds, of which 6,352 (69.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,305 (14.2%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,521 (16.6%) remained available. Hospitals also reported 1,483 ICU beds, of which 791 (53.3%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 371 (25.0%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 321 (21.6%) remained available. By comparison, hospitals reported yesterday a total of 9,206 non-ICU beds, of which 6,534 (71.0%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 1,346 (15%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 1,326 (14.4%) remained available. Hospitals also reported yesterday a total of 1,493 ICU beds, of which 779 (52.2%) were occupied by non-COVID patients, 393 (26.3%) were occupied by COVID patients, and 321 (21.5%) remained available.

Two weeks ago, the 7 day confirmed case average was 3,669.0, the 7 day confirmed deaths average was 66.0, the 7 day hospitalization average was 2,206.0, and the 7 day weighted average positivity rate was 5.86% (or 7.18% excluding higher education).

The daily raw data file used to create this report is available here.

Day-to-day cases and deaths both down a lot - but it's Sunday, and weekend reporting tends to be lower than weekday reporting, so the proverbial grain of salt is needed. On the other hand, the positivity rate and hospitalization counts are all down again, and that's definite good news. So is the fact that all the seven-day averages are well below where they were two weeks ago.

Tomorrow, folks 75 and older will be eligible under Phase 2 of the state's current vaccination plan. Of course, we also have a Winter Storm Warning up for tomorrow, with seven to fifteen inches of snow expected starting at seven AM, so those vaccinations will probably get off to quite the flying stop.

The town of Acton's current Google Data Studio dashboard is showing 52 active and 676 cumulative cases as of January 29. The most recent "newsflash style update" at 1:30PM on January 25, 2021 reported 655 cumulative cases with 49 individuals in isolation, 575 persons recovered and 31 fatalities.