Entry tags:
Local COVID-19 updates
As of 4PM this afternoon, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is reporting 76 more deaths from COVID-19 (for a total of 6,304 to date), 773 new cases (for a total of 91,662) and 9,342 more tests reported (for a total of 520986). The ratio of new cases to new test results is 8.2%.
Again, most of the state-wide numbers went in the "good" direction today (fewer deaths, fewer cases, but a higher positive test ratio). Unfortunately, the seven-day weighted average of positive test rates (as reported on the "Dashboard of Public Health Indicators") jumped up to 9.3%.
I've seen references recently to modeling from the Imperial College London; on GitHub, they're posting national and state-level estimates of infection levels, the transmission rate, and (most interestingly) the effects that increasing mobility (due to various reopening efforts) have on the transmission rate. I don't know how good their modeling is, but I do note (unhappily) that their May 21 report (https://doi.org/10.25561/79231) is estimating that the Massachusetts transmission rate remains around one (implying things are not under control). By their models, any increase in mobility at this point would result in a substantial jump in the numbers of infections and deaths in Massachusetts.
That, frankly, is depressing.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today; yesterday at 9:30PM, the town reported 159 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in Acton with 53 individuals in isolation, 85 recovered and 21 fatalities; that's one more case, four more persons recovered and no more deaths than the previous day's report. No more deaths, at least, is a good thing.
Again, most of the state-wide numbers went in the "good" direction today (fewer deaths, fewer cases, but a higher positive test ratio). Unfortunately, the seven-day weighted average of positive test rates (as reported on the "Dashboard of Public Health Indicators") jumped up to 9.3%.
I've seen references recently to modeling from the Imperial College London; on GitHub, they're posting national and state-level estimates of infection levels, the transmission rate, and (most interestingly) the effects that increasing mobility (due to various reopening efforts) have on the transmission rate. I don't know how good their modeling is, but I do note (unhappily) that their May 21 report (https://doi.org/10.25561/79231) is estimating that the Massachusetts transmission rate remains around one (implying things are not under control). By their models, any increase in mobility at this point would result in a substantial jump in the numbers of infections and deaths in Massachusetts.
That, frankly, is depressing.
The town of Acton has yet to post an update today; yesterday at 9:30PM, the town reported 159 cumulative cases of COVID-19 in Acton with 53 individuals in isolation, 85 recovered and 21 fatalities; that's one more case, four more persons recovered and no more deaths than the previous day's report. No more deaths, at least, is a good thing.